Revealed: oil-funded research in Palin's campaign against protection for polar bear

• Paper authored by known climate change sceptics
• Governor suing over threatened species ruling

The Republican Sarah Palin and her officials in the Alaskan state government drew on the work of at least six scientists known to be sceptical about the dangers and causes of global warming, to back efforts to stop polar bears being protected as an endangered species, the Guardian can disclose. Some of the scientists were funded by the oil industry.
In official submissions to the US government's consultation on the status of the polar bear, Palin and her team referred to at least six scientists who have questioned either the existence of warming as a largely man-made phenomenon or its severity. One paper was partly funded by the US oil company ExxonMobil.
The status of the polar bear has become a battleground in the debate on global warming. In May the US department of the interior rejected Palin's objections and listed the bear as a threatened species, saying that two-thirds of the world's polar bears were likely to be extinct by 2050 due to the rapid melting of the sea ice. Palin, governor of Alaska and the Republican nominee for US vice-president, responded last month by suing the federal government, to try to overturn the ruling. The case will be heard in January.
Though the state of Alaska has no polar bear specialists on its staff, the governor's stance has pitted it against the combined scientific fire-power of the US Fish and Wildlife Service, the US Geological Survey, and world experts on the mammal.
In its lawsuit, Alaska said it opposed the endangered label partly because the listing would "deter activities such as ... oil and gas exploration and development". Oil companies recently bid $2.7bn (£1.5bn) for rights to explore the Chuckchi sea, an established polar bear habitat.
The threatened species status might also impede the building of an Alaskan natural gas pipeline, which Palin has called the "will of God". In a letter last year to the US interior secretary, Dirk Kempthorne, she said she believed the polar bear population was "abundant, stable and unthreatened by direct human activity". She opposed the call for the listing because it "did not use the best available scientific and commercial information".
Her own Alaskan review of the science drew on a joint paper by seven authors, four of whom were well-known climate- change contrarians. Her paper argued that it was "certainly premature, if not impossible" to link temperature rise in Alaska with human CO2 emissions.
The paper, entitled Polar Bears of Western Hudson Bay and Climate Change, has been criticised for relying on old research and ignoring evidence that Arctic sea-ice is melting at a quickening pace. Walt Meier, a world authority on sea ice, based at the National Snow and Ice Data Centre, said: "The paper doesn't measure up scientifically."
One co-author of the paper, Willie Soon, completed the study with funding from ExxonMobil - which has oil operations in Alaska's North Slope - as well as from the American Petroleum Institute. Soon was a former senior scientist with the George C Marshall Institute, which acts as an incubator for climate-change scepticism. The institute has received $715,000 in funding from ExxonMobil since 1998.
In May, ExxonMobil announced that it was no longer funding Marshall and other groups linked with contrarian views. It said this was to avoid "distraction from the need to provide energy while reducing greenhouse gas emissions" and stressed that the company did not "control the research itself".
Another co-author of the document was Sallie Baliunas. In 2003 she and Soon were criticised when it was revealed that a joint paper had been partially funded by the American Petroleum Institute. Thirteen scientists whom they cited issued a rebuttal and several editors of the journal Climate Research resigned because of the "flawed peer review". A third co-author of the polar bear study, David Legates, a professor at Delaware University, is also associated with the Marshall Institute.
The citation by Palin and her officials prompted complaints from Congress. One member, Brad Miller, dubbed the polar bear study phony science.
Palin told Miller: "Attempts to discredit scientists ... simply because their analyses do not agree with your views, would be a disservice to this country." Miller now says that Palin's use of the paper shows she differs greatly from John McCain, the Republican presidential contender, who has pressed for scientific integrity. "Turning to the cottage industry of scientists who are funded because they spread doubt about global warming is not integrity," Miller said.
Palin's submission consulted J Scott Armstrong, a specialist in forecasting, who regards the global warming issue as "public hysteria".
Two other contrarian scholars were cited. One was Syun-Ichi Akasofu, formerly director of the International Arctic Research Centre, in Alaska, who argues that climate change could be a hangover from the little ice age. He is a founding director of the Heartland Institute, a thinktank that has received $676,500 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
Timothy Ball, a retired professor from Winnipeg, is cited for his climate and polar bear research. He has called human-made global warming "the greatest deception in the history of science". He has worked with both Friends of Science, and the Natural Resources Stewardship Project, which each had funding from energy firms.
Kert Davies, research director at Greenpeace US, said the state of Alaska under Palin's leadership had relied on scholars who argue the opposite view to that of the overwhelming consensus in the scientific community. "It shows that she is completely out of touch with the urgency of the climate crisis."
Last month Palin agreed that the Alaskan climate was changing but added: "I'm not one though who would attribute it to being man-made." She later tried to retract the statement.

 

Brazilian officials face charges over Amazon destruction caused by logging

Top 100 illegal loggers set to be sued after evidence shows 292 square miles of forest were chopped down in August


Forests in Brazil have been cut down to make way for crops such as soya. Photographer: Rodrigo Baleia/Greenpeace
Illegal logging has sharply accelerated destruction of the Amazon and the biggest culprit is the Brazilian government, according to new evidence.
Officials are expected to face criminal charges after satellite imagery revealed the worst-hit regions belonged to the Institute of Colonization and Agrarian Reform, or Incra, a state agency which distributes land.
The top 100 illegal loggers, with Incra at the top, would be sued, the environment minister, Carlos Minc, told a news conference. "It was a terrible result. We're going to blow all 100 of them out of the water and then some."
Official data released on Monday showed that 292 square miles of rainforest were chopped down in August, more than twice the rate for the same month last year. The National Institute of Space Studies said its findings would probably have been even worse had it obtained images of a quarter of the forest covered by dense clouds in August.
Until recently Brazil's government highlighted an apparent slowdown in the rate of deforestation as proof of conservation success. This week's announcement was all the more embarrassing because the six largest deforested areas since 2005 were owned by Incra.
Officials tasked with distributing land to the poor, along with vote-chasing mayors and other politicians in the Amazon, were accused of turning a blind eye to the tree-felling by peasants, big landowners and logging companies.
Upcoming elections aggravated the trend, said the environment minister, who blamed expanded agricultural activity as well as land theft through the falsification of property titles.
"When you have elections, the appetite of authorities to enforce laws is reduced," said Paulo Adario, of the advocacy group Greenpeace. "But the federal government has to step in and do its job."
Adario also blamed the dramatic global food price increases for encouraging cattle ranchers and soy farmers to push deeper into the forest and clear land. "The tendency of deforestation rising is deeply related to the fact that food prices are going up."
Big landowners have long argued that poor peasants resettled by Incra were driving the deforestation, a view bolstered by the estimates that since 2005 some 223,000 hectares (550,000 acres) of forest were destroyed on six Incra properties.
Incra's president, Rolf Hackbart, defended his agency by saying the affected areas had in fact been legally settled between 1995 and 2002. It was not immediately possible to verify the conflicting claims.
Other figures released by the environment ministry showed that private land holders deforested more than three times as much as Incra between January and August of this year, suggesting soy and cattle barons are still causing far more damage.
The government's green credentials have been under intense scrutiny since Marina Silva, a high-profile champion of the rainforest, quit as environment minister in May following bruising battles with cabinet colleagues.
Minc, her successor, said the government will create an environmental police force with 3,000 heavily armed and specially trained officers to help protect the Amazon.

 

 

Meat must be rationed to four portions a week, says report on climate change

• Study looks at food impact on greenhouse gases
• Return to old-fashioned cooking habits urged

People will have to be rationed to four modest portions of meat and one litre of milk a week if the world is to avoid run-away climate change, a major new report warns.

The report, by the Food Climate Research Network, based at the University of Surrey, also says total food consumption should be reduced, especially "low nutritional value" treats such as alcohol, sweets and chocolates.

It urges people to return to habits their mothers or grandmothers would have been familiar with: buying locally in-season products, cooking in bulk and in pots with lids or pressure cookers, avoiding waste and walking to the shops - alongside more modern tips such as using the microwave and internet shopping.

The report goes much further than any previous advice after mounting concern about the impact of the livestock industry on greenhouse gases and rising food prices. It follows a four-year study of the impact of food on climate change and is thought to be the most thorough study of its kind.

Tara Garnett, the report's author, warned that campaigns encouraging people to change their habits voluntarily were doomed to fail and urged the government to use caps on greenhouse gas emissions and carbon pricing to ensure changes were made. "Food is important to us in a great many cultural and symbolic ways, and our food choices are affected by cost, time, habit and other influences," the report says. "Study upon study has shown that awareness-raising campaigns alone are unlikely to work, particularly when it comes to more difficult changes."

The report's findings are in line with an investigation by the October edition of the Ecologist magazine, which found that arguments for people to go vegetarian or vegan to stop climate change and reduce pressure on rising food prices were exaggerated and would damage the developing world in particular, where many people depend on animals for essential food, other products such as leather and wool, and for manure and help in tilling fields to grow other crops.

Instead, it recommended cutting meat consumption by at least half and making sure animals were fed as much as possible on grass and food waste which could not be eaten by humans.

"The notion that cows and sheep are four-legged weapons of mass destruction has become something of a distraction from the real issues in both climate change and food production," said Pat Thomas, the Ecologist's editor.

The head of the United Nations intergovernmental panel on climate change, Rajendra Pachauri, also sparked global debate this month when he urged people to have at least one meat-free day a week.

The Food Climate Research Network found that measured by production, the UK food sector produces greenhouse gases equivalent to 33m tonnes of carbon. Measured by consumption - including imports - the total rises to 43.3m tonnes. Both figures work out at under one fifth of UK emissions, but they exclude the indirect impacts of actions such as clearing rainforest for cattle and crops, which other studies estimate would add up to 5% to 20% of global emissions.

The report found the meat and dairy sectors together accounted for just over half of those emissions; potatoes, fruit and vegetables for 15%; drinks and other products with sugar for another 15%; and bread, pastry and flour for 13%.

It also revealed which parts of the food chain were the most polluting. Although packaging has had a lot of media and political attention, it only ranked fifth in importance behind agriculture - especially the methane produced by livestock burping - manufacturing, transport, and cooking and refrigeration at home.

The report calls for meat and dairy consumption to be cut in developed countries so that global production remains stable as the population grows to an estimated 9bn by 2050.

At the same time emissions from farms, transport, manufacturing and retail could be cut, with improvements including more efficient use of fertilisers, feed and energy, changed diets for livestock, and more renewable fuels - leading to a total reduction in emissions from the sector of 50% to 67%, it says.

The UN and other bodies recommend that developed countries should reduce total emissions by 80% by 2050.

However, the National Farmers' Union warned that its own study, with other industry players, published last year, found net emissions from agriculture could only be cut by up to 50% if the carbon savings from building renewable energy sources on farms were taken into account.

The NFU also called for government incentives to help farmers make the changes. "Farmers aren't going to do this out of the goodness of their hearts, because farmers don't have that luxury; many of our members are very hard pressed at the moment," said Jonathan Scurlock, the NFU's chief adviser on renewable energy and climate change.

 

 

The mother of all rip-offs

'Could there be a finer reward for failure?

Hank Paulson has got to be kidding. He wants American taxpayers to hand a cool $US700 billion ($840 billion) to his pals on Wall Street in return for a gigantic bundle of their delinquent assets ... without his pals taking a pay cut.

Could there be a finer reward for failure? Could there be a worse deal for taxpayers?

No stake in the upside, no ceiling on extortionate Wall Street salaries, no guarantee the system will be stabilised. Just the mother of all rip-offs: a deal to privatise Wall Street's profits and socialise its losses.

How about this bit: "Decisions by the (Treasury) Secretary (Paulson) pursuant to the Authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to Agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency''. 

Paulson and his pals get an explicit protection against any review by the courts and Congress while taxpayers fork out top dollar for rubbish the banks can't sell. It is the quintessential dudding.

If the Paulson "cash for trash'' plan could avert systemic failure  and this is by no means assured - it could have legs but Congress is jacking up at the ample "trust me'' element. And rightly so.

There is no reason to trust Wall Street, or the regulators. As House Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi put it, Congress would not "simply hand over a $US700 billion blank cheque to Wall Street and hope for a better outcome."

Until now Americans have been mostly apathetic when it came to the excesses of their investment banks. But now that Main Street is being asked to bail out Wall Street, again, and in huge measure, the temperature is rising.

Congress wants a brake on salaries, some kind of guarantee that Paulson's pals won't simply load up the truck with billions in bonuses again, this time funded by Ma and Pa Kettle.

The four biggest investment banks on Wall Street, which included Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, shelled out $US30 billion in bonuses last year. Lehman just went under and Bear Stearns was bailed out earlier in the year.

While pushing through his emergency deal, Paulson says he wants to defer the debate on salaries. Someone should take him aside and tell him, "Pal, it's over''. The moral and philosophical underpinning for $US50 million salaries is gone, let alone $US10 million salaries care of government.

These remuneration structures were struck on the basis of a compact with the market, that is that pay is "at risk'' and should reflect performance. That compact is finished. What is the risk if the losses are nationalised?

And what is the performance? The fancy deals and the structured finance rubbish brewed up by this crew gave the world CDOs, CDOs squared and cubed, RMBS, CLOs, ABS, CDS and all manner of noxious excuses for a fee.

From the sub-prime to the ridiculous, this orgy of leverage on leverage mimicked in financial centres as far afield as Australia has whipped the world to the edge of recession and destroyed faith in the entire system.

And now here is another $US1 trillion ($US700 billion is just for starters) to add to Bush's $US9.6 trillion national debt. Where will the money come from? The issue of Treasury bonds. Who will buy them?

Good question. Anyone for some bonds in an entity which can't pay off its debt but has just taken a trillion dollars worth of delinquent assets on its balance sheet?

The US dollar has been sinking thanks to the daunting prospect of a bond market deluged with bits of paper nobody wants: more US Government debt. The more paper on issue the lower the price.

Either the US defaults on its obligations  an outcome many  regard as "unthinkable'' or taxes will have to go up. Higher taxes, deeper recession. Thanks Wall Street. 

All this makes it critical that Paulson and his pals demonstrate to the world that they understand the jig is up. The world changes.  

People and pay are central to this understanding. Industrialists or entrepreneurs with their own businesses can pay whatever they like but the failed managers of licensed institutions on corporate welfare can hardly expect a blank cheque from those they have blown up. The contract is finished. Wall Street has not fulfilled its obligations. 

As Paulson tries to shove his plan through in the face of congressional opposition the rewards for failure have already shamed the principal of pay for performance.

Fannie Mae boss Daniel Mudd and his opposite number at Freddie Mac, Richard Syron, walked last month with $US9.43 million in retirement and pension benefits on their way out the door. Failed, sacked and showered with money as their two giant mortgage operations were nationalised.

Lehman Brothers chairman and CEO Richard Fuld picked up $US22 million for 2007, the year  thousands of his staff found themselves on the street. He took $US35 million the year before. 

Merrill Lynch boss John Thain took a $US200 million payout with two offsiders for less than a year's work. Merrill was so close to obsolescence it sold itself to Bank of America for $US50 billion in scrip few days ago just as Lehman was biting the dust.

Thain was given a $US15 million bonus for signing on. Two former Goldman Sachs executives hired by Thain may do even better. Head of global trading, Thomas Montag, has already received a $US39 million bonus since signing on in August. With stock options accelerated by the buyout, he could finish up with $US76 million.
The bank's head of strategy, Peter Kraus, was bestowed with a $US95 million package just to beat what he was on at Goldman.
Paulson himself has shares in Goldman whose value was estimated at $US700 million. He is a direct beneficiary of his own bail-out proposal  blind trust or no blind trust.

On the positive news front, the former head of broken insurance company AIG, Robert Willumstad, voluntarily forfeited a $US22 million severance package after he was giving his marching orders. He was only appointed in June.

 "I prefer not to receive severance while shareholders and employees have lost considerable value in their AIG shares," wrote Willumstad in an email to his successor Edward Liddy.

Goldman boss Lloyd Blanfein took home $US54 million last year and Morgan Stanley's John Mack $US42 million.

The list goes on. Some of the investment bank's hedge funds clients have even been paying themselves more than $US1 billion. 

Regulatory oversight and the ramifications of Bush's tax-cuts-for-the-rich policy alongside his catastrophic jaunt in Iraq have come home to roost.

On top of its $US9.6 trillion national debt, America is heading for its first $US1 trillion deficit this year. Paulson's bailout will add another $US1 trillion to the bill.
America is in trouble.
mwest@fairfax.com.au
BusinessDay

 

 

 

Arctic sea ice at second lowest extent ever recorded

The area of ice at least five years old has fallen by more than half since 1985 and the Northwest and Northeast Passages are now navigable by sea

Sea ice
Sea ice limits ... red shows this year's limit, while yellow shows the average summer extent from 1979 to 2000. Click for a larger version
Arctic sea ice has reached the second lowest extent ever recorded, according to the US national snow and ice centre, and a new map shows how far the 2008 melt has receded compared to the historical average.
The map, produced by Collins, illustrates that the area of ice that is at least five years old has fallen by more than half since 1985. It comes as the Northwest Passage, above north America, and the Northeast Passage, over the top of Russia, are both free of ice for the first time.
"While slightly above the record-low minimum set last year, this season further reinforces the strong negative trend in summer sea ice extent observed during the past 30 years. Before last year, the previous record low for September was set in 2005", said a spokesman for the Snow and Ice center based at the University of Colorado.
A spokesman for WWF International said: "This means two years in a row of record lows. The trend of melting Arctic sea ice is alarming for the rest of the world. The Arctic is a key factor in stabilising the global climate so this is a global problem that demands an immediate and global response."
The daily rate of ice loss usually starts to slow in August as the Arctic begins to cool. But in August 2008, the daily decline rate remained steadily downward and strong.
The average daily ice loss rate for August 2008 was 78,000 square kilometers (30,000 square miles) per day. This was the fastest rate of daily ice loss that scientists had observed since satellite photographs were started in 1979

 

Rubber Dodo award for governor

Sarah Palin may have seen the light - sort of - on climate change but that did not spare her from being singled out yesterday as America's environmental enemy of the year.
The Centre for Biological Diversity awarded Palin its Rubber Dodo award for her insistence - despite evidence to the contrary - that the polar bear population was rising across the Arctic. The Arizona thinktank condemned the Alaska governor as a "global warming denier".
"Governor Palin has waged a deceptive, dangerous, and costly battle against the polar bear," Kieran Suckling, the centre's director, said. "Her position on global warming is so extreme, she makes Dick Cheney look like an Al Gore devotee."
The slap comes less than a week after Palin belatedly admitted the possibility of a human factor in climate change, in her first television interview since she was chosen as John McCain's running mate.
The conversion was followed by further revelations of Palin's tenuous relationship with scientific fact. News reports yesterday said that Palin bought a tanning bed and moved it into the governor's mansion soon after her election. A few months later, in May 2007, she issued a proclamation during skin cancer awareness month urging Alaskans to take preventive measures. "Skin cancer is caused, overwhelmingly, by overexposure to ultraviolet radiation from the sun and from tanning beds," she said in a press release.
McCain had skin cancers removed in 1993 and 2000, and is religious about using sun screen and wearing a hat outdoors.

 

Roll back time to safeguard climate, expert warns

A return to pre-industrial levels of carbon dioxide urged as the only way to prevent the worst impacts of global warming

Scientists may have to turn back time and clean the atmosphere of all man-made carbon dioxide to prevent the worst impacts of global warming, one of Europe's most senior climate scientists has warned.
Professor John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, told the Guardian that only a return to pre-industrial levels of CO2 would be enough to guarantee a safe future for the planet. He said that current political targets to slow the growth in emissions and stabilise carbon levels were insufficient, and that ways may have to be found to actively remove CO2 from the air.
Schellnhuber said: "We have to start pondering that it might not be enough to stabilise carbon levels. We should not rule out that it might be necessary to bring them down again."
Carbon levels have fluctuated over the last few hundred thousand years, but have rarely gone much beyond 280 parts per million (ppm), which is commonly referred to as the pre-industrial concentration. Over the last few centuries, human emissions of greenhouse gases have forced that concentration up as high as 387ppm, and it is rising at more than 2ppm each year.
World governments are currently trying to agree a deal that would restrict emissions and stabilise carbon levels at 450ppm, in an effort to limit global temperatures to 2C warmer than pre-industrial times.
Schellnhuber, who has advised the German government and European Commission on climate, said: "It is a compromise between ambition and feasibility. A rise of 2C could avoid some of the big environmental disasters, but it is still only a compromise."
He said even a small increase in temperature could trigger one of several climatic tipping points, such as methane released from melting permafrost, and bring much more severe global warming.
"It is a very sweeping argument, but nobody can say for sure that 330ppm is safe," he said. "Perhaps it will not matter whether we have 270ppm or 320ppm, but operating well outside the [historic] realm of carbon dioxide concentrations is risky as long as we have not fully understood the relevant feedback mechanisms."
He calls the plan to remove man-made emissions "atmospheric restitution" and has discussed it at recent seminars, but not written it up for a scientific journal. "It's such a bold idea and sounds very desperate," he said.
Schellnhuber said the most severe long-term impact could be sea-level rise. Over several centuries or more, a 1C global rise would correspond to a 15-20m rise in sea level. "Since we have built all our coastal zones for the current sea level we should not change [it] by tens of metres."
If CO2 levels are stabilised over the next decades, he said, then "science fiction" technology could be developed to bring the level down again by 2200. He suggested the large-scale burning of plant material for energy, with the resulting carbon dioxide captured and stored, could reduce CO2 levels by about 50ppm. Other techniques would be needed as well, he said.
Scientists in the US, led by Klaus Lackner at Columbia University, are developing a device that could scrub carbon dioxide from the air using absorbent plastic strips. Richard Branson has promised $25m (£14m) to the inventor of a machine that could take CO2 from the air on a large scale.
Schellnhuber's warning comes as climate experts say current emissions trends show the world is unlikely to stabilise carbon dioxide levels below 650ppm, which could see a 4C rise. Alice Bows and Kevin Anderson, of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of Manchester, say carbon pollution is rising faster than officially admitted. They say emissions would need to peak by 2015 and then decrease by up to 6.5% each year for atmospheric CO2 levels to stabilise at 450ppm.
Even a goal of 650ppm – way above most government projections – would need world emissions to peak in 2020 and then reduce 3% each year. They say this year's G8 pledge to cut global emissions 50% by 2050, in an effort to limit global warming to 2C, has no scientific basis and could lead to "dangerously misguided" policies.

 

 

The carbon footprint of Nuclear War

Almost 700m tonnes of CO2 would be released into the Earth's atmosphere by even the smallest nuclear conflict, according to a US study that compares the environmental costs of developing various power sources

A yellow and black pattern shows full (black) and additional space (yellow) at the temporar storage of High level radioactive nuclear waste at Sellafield nuclear plant
Nuclear waste stored at Sellafield. One of the side-effects of developing nuclear power is the risk of war, the report warns. Photograph: AFP
Just when you might have thought it was ethically sound to unleash a nuclear attack on a nearby city, along comes a pesky scientist and points out that atomic warfare is bad for the climate. According to a new paper in the journal Energy & Environmental Science, even a very limited nuclear exchange, using just a thousandth of the weaponry of a full-scale nuclear war, would cause up to 690m tonnes of CO2 to enter the atmosphere – more than UK's annual total.
The upside (kind of) is that the conflict would also generate as much as 313m tonnes of soot. This would stop a great deal of sunlight reaching the earth, creating a significant regional cooling effect in the short and medium terms – just like when a major volcano erupts. Ultimately, though, the CO2 would win out and crank up global temperatures an extra few notches.
The paper's author, Mark Z Jacobson, a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Stanford University, calculated the emissions of such a conflict by totting up the burn rate and carbon content of the fabric of our cities. "Materials have the following carbon contents: plastics, 38–92%; tyres and other rubbers, 59–91%; synthetic fibres, 63–86%; woody biomass, 41–45%; charcoal, 71%; asphalt, 80%; steel, 0.05–2%. We approximate roughly the carbon content of all combustible material in a city as 40–60%."
But why would a Stanford engineer bother calculating such a thing? Given that the nuclear exchange would also kill up to 17 million people, who's going to be thinking about the impact on global warming?
The purpose of the paper is to compare the total human and environmental costs of a wide range of different power sources, from solar and wind to nuclear and biofuels. One of the side-effects of nuclear power, the report argues, is an increased risk of nuclear war: "Because the production of nuclear weapons material is occurring only in countries that have developed civilian nuclear energy programs, the risk of a limited nuclear exchange between countries or the detonation of a nuclear device by terrorists has increased due to the dissemination of nuclear energy facilities worldwide."
"As such," Jacobson continues, "it is a valid exercise to estimate the potential number of immediate deaths and carbon emissions due to the burning of buildings and infrastructure associated with the proliferation of nuclear energy facilities and the resulting proliferation of nuclear weapons … Although concern at the time of an explosion will be the deaths and not carbon emissions, policy makers today must weigh all the potential future risks of mortality and carbon emissions when comparing energy sources."
I'm not a huge fan of nuclear energy, and I agree that a large roll-out of atomic power must on some level increase the likelihood of nuclear terrorism or war. However, it does strike me as faintly absurd to try and quantify this risk – particularly the way Jacobson does it. Here's how he crunches the numbers:
"If one nuclear exchange as described above occurs over the next 30 years, the net carbon emissions due to nuclear weapons proliferation caused by the expansion of nuclear energy worldwide would be 1.1–4.1g CO2 per kWh, where the energy generation assumed is the annual 2005 generation for nuclear power multiplied by the number of year being considered."
In other words, if nuclear power leads one exchange of fifty 15 kilotonne nuclear devices over 30 years, then that equates to 4.1 grams of extra CO2 for each kilowatt of nuclear energy produced. Why, you might ask, has Jacobson chosen one exchange, 50 nuclear war heads and 30 years? Good question. Those figures, as far as I can tell, are entirely arbitrary, and as such I'm rather surprised that the Royal Society for Chemistry are prepared to publish them in their journal.
Putting those doubts to one side for a moment, it's interesting to note that nuclear looks very bad in the report even if you ignore the warfare component of the carbon footprint. Far more serious (by a factor of 15 to 25) is nuclear's opportunity cost: the emissions savings lost during the decades of planning and building of each nuclear station. Once again, however, there's no explanation about how these figures are calculated, so it's hard to know whether they're valid.
Either way, nuclear doesn't come out as badly as first- or second-generation biofuels. These, the author remarks, are "ranked lowest overall and with respect to climate, air pollution, land use, wildlife damage, and chemical waste," and may actually "worsen climate and air pollution" relative to fossil fuels. Carbon capture and storage also gets a thumbs down. By contrast, wind, solar and marine energy score well on the wide-ranging criteria, which include carbon emissions, land demands and even thermal pollution.
As the first study to compare energy sources in so many different ways, the report is both interesting and welcome. Unfortunately, it's unlikely to make much of an impact – not just because there's no mention of the economics of each energy source, but because the half-baked quantification of nuclear war's climate impact makes the whole study seem somewhat unconvincing.

 

 

Nasa climate expert makes personal appeal to Obama

One of the world's top climate scientists has written a personal new year appeal to Barack and Michelle Obama, warning of the "profound disconnect" between public policy on climate change and the magnitude of the problem.
With less than three weeks to go until Obama's inauguration, Professor James Hansen, who heads Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, asked the recently appointed White House science adviser Professor John Holdren to pass the missive directly to the president-elect.
In it, he praises Obama's campaign rhetoric about "a planet in peril", but says that how the new president acts in office will be crucial. Hansen lambasts the current international approach of setting targets through "cap and trade" schemes as not up to the task. "This approach is ineffectual and not commensurate with the climate threat. It could waste another decade, locking in disastrous consequences for our planet and humanity," the letter from Hansen and his wife, Anniek, reads.
The letter will make uncomfortable reading for officials in 10 US states whose cap and trade mechanism - the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative - got under way yesterday. The scheme is the first mandatory, market-based greenhouse gas reduction programme in the US.
Hansen advocates a three-pronged attack on the climate problem. First, he wants a phasing out of coal-fired power stations - which he calls "factories of death" - that do not incorporate carbon capture. "Nobody realistically expects that the large readily available pools of oil and gas will be left in the ground. Caps will not cause that to happen - caps only slow the rate at which the oil and gas are used. The only solution is to cut off the coal source," the Hansens wrote.
Second, he proposes a "carbon tax and 100% dividend". This is a mechanism for putting a price on carbon without raising money for government coffers. The idea is to tax carbon at source, then redistribute the revenue equally among taxpayers, so that high carbon users are penalised while low carbon users are rewarded.
Finally, he urges a renewed research effort into so-called fourth generation nuclear plants, which can use nuclear waste as fuel.
Hansen argues that the current emphasis on reduction targets combined with carbon trading schemes make it too easy for countries to wriggle out of their commitments. He cites the example of Japan's increasing coal use, which it has offset by buying credits from China through the clean development mechanism - an instrument set up by the Kyoto protocol - yet China's emissions have continued to increase rapidly. China has overtaken the US as the biggest polluter in the world.
Hansen has been one of the most prominent advocates of action to tackle climate change since he first spoke on the issue in the 1980s. His testimony to the Senate featured in Al Gore's film An Inconvenient Truth and he has received numerous honours for his work on the issue, including the WWF's top conservation award.

Professor's wish list

• Moratorium on and phasing out of coal power stations without carbon capture, what Hansen calls the "sine qua non for solving the climate problem". Coal CO2 emissions are the same as those of other fossil fuels combined.
• Raising the price of emissions via a "carbon tax and 100% dividend". This is a tax mechanism to "decarbonise" the economy without a net take from taxpayers. Low carbon users are rewarded while high users are punished.
• Urgent research on "fourth generation" nuclear power with international co-operation. This offers one of the best options for nearly carbon-free power, according to Hansen. It would also help to solve the nuclear waste problem by using that material as fuel.

 

 

 

Climate Change:

The Carbon Atlas. Seeing is believing...:

 

 

 

Cyberspace has buried its head in a cesspit of climate change gibberish

The Stansted protesters get it. The politicians of Poznan don't quite. But online, planted deniers drive a blinkered fiction

We all create our own reality, and shut out the voices we do not want to hear. But there is no issue we are less willing to entertain than man-made climate change. Here, three worlds seem to exist in virtual isolation. In the physical world, global warming appears to be spilling over into runaway feedback: the most dangerous situation humankind has ever encountered. In the political world - at the climate talks in Poznan, for instance - our governments seem to be responding to something quite different, a minor nuisance that can be addressed in due course. Only the Plane Stupid protesters who occupied part of Stansted airport yesterday appear to have understood the scale and speed of this crisis. In cyberspace, by contrast, the response spreading fastest and furthest is flat-out denial.

The most popular article on the Guardian's website last week was the report showing that 2008 is likely to be the coolest year since 2000. As the Met Office predicted, global temperatures have been held down by the La Niña event in the Pacific Ocean. This news prompted a race on the Guardian's comment thread to reach the outer limits of idiocy. Of the 440 responses posted by lunchtime yesterday, about 80% insisted that manmade climate change is a hoax. Here's a sample of the conversation:

"This is a scam to get your money ... The only people buying into 'global warming' have no experience with any of the sciences."

"If we spend any money or cost one person their job because of this fraud it would be a crime. When will one of our politicians stand up and call this for what it is, bullshit!"

"What a set of jokers these professors are ... I think I understand more about climate change than them and I don't get paid a big fat salary with all the perks to go with it."

And so on, and on and on. The new figures have prompted similar observations all over the web. Until now, the "sceptics" have assured us that you can't believe the temperature readings at all; that the scientists at the Met Office, who produced the latest figures, are all liars; and that even if it were true that temperatures have risen, it doesn't mean anything. Now the temperature record - though only for 2008 - can suddenly be trusted, and the widest possible inferences be drawn from the latest figures, though not, of course, from the records of the preceding century. This is madness.

Scrambled up in these comment threads are the memes planted in the public mind by the professional deniers employed by fossil fuel companies. On the Guardian's forums, you'll find endless claims that the hockeystick graph of global temperatures has been debunked; that sunspots are largely responsible for current temperature changes; that the world's glaciers are advancing; that global warming theory depends entirely on computer models; that most climate scientists in the 1970s were predicting a new ice age. None of this is true, but it doesn't matter. The professional deniers are paid not to win the argument but to cause as much confusion and delay as possible. To judge by the Comment threads, they have succeeded magnificently.

There is no pool so shallow that a thousand bloggers won't drown in it. Take the latest claims from the former broadcaster David Bellamy. You may remember that Bellamy came famously unstuck three years ago when he stated that 555 of the 625 glaciers being observed by the World Glacier Monitoring Service were growing. Now he has made an even stranger allegation. In early November the Express ran an interview with Bellamy under the headline "BBC shunned me for denying climate change". "The sad fact is," he explained, "that since I said I didn't believe human beings caused global warming I've not been allowed to make a TV programme." He had been brave enough to state that global warming was "poppycock", and that caused the end of his career. "Back then, at the BBC you had to toe the line and I wasn't doing that."

This article, on the web, received more hits than almost anything else the Express has published; so 10 days ago the paper interviewed Bellamy again. He took the opportunity to explain just how far the conspiracy had spread. "Have you noticed there is a wind turbine on Teletubbies? That's subliminal advertising, isn't it?"

There is just one problem with this story: it is bollocks from start to finish. Bellamy last presented a programme on the BBC in 1994. The first time he publicly challenged the theory of manmade climate change was 10 years later, in 2004, when he claimed in the Daily Mail that it was "poppycock". Until at least the year 2000 he supported the theory.

In 1992, for instance, he signed an open letter, published in the Guardian, urging George Bush Sr "to fight global warming ... We are convinced that the continued emission of carbon dioxide at current rates could result in dramatic and devastating climate change in all regions of the world." In 1996 he signed a letter to the Times, arguing: "Continued increases in the global emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels are likely to lead to climate change at a rate greater than the Earth has experienced at any time during the last 10,000 years." In the same year he called for the replacement of fossil fuels with wind power. In 2000 he announced that he was supporting a plan to sue climate change "criminals": governments and industries that blocked attempts to stop global warming (all references are on my website). But Bellamy's new claims about the end of his career have been repeated as gospel in several newspapers and all over the web.

In his fascinating book Carbon Detox, George Marshall argues that people are not persuaded by information. Our views are formed by the views of the people with whom we mix. Of the narratives that might penetrate these circles, we are more likely to listen to those that offer us some reward. A story that tells us that the world is cooking and that we'll have to make sacrifices for the sake of future generations is less likely to be accepted than the more rewarding idea that climate change is a conspiracy hatched by scheming governments and venal scientists, and that strong, independent-minded people should unite to defend their freedoms.

He proposes that instead of arguing for sacrifice, environmentalists should show where the rewards might lie: that understanding what the science is saying and planning accordingly is the smart thing to do, which will protect your interests more effectively than flinging abuse at scientists. We should emphasise the old-fashioned virtues of uniting in the face of a crisis, of resourcefulness and community action. Projects like the transition towns network and proposals for a green new deal tell a story which people are more willing to hear.

Marshall is right: we have to change the way we talk about this issue. You don't believe me? Then just read the gibberish that follows when this article is published online.

 

 

 

The hidden cost of our growing taste for meat

As the west's appetite for meat increases, so too does the demand for soya - used as animal feed by farmers. But the planting of huge tracts of land is causing deforestation and destroying eco-systems in developing countries.

Burning rainforest
Ranchers, soybean farmers and loggers burned and cut down a near-record area of the Amazon rainforest last year. Photograph: Dado Galdier / AP
To the European eye, accustomed to square hedgerows and neatly tilled arable land, the countryside of eastern Paraguay is unexceptional, almost pretty. The rolling hills spread out to the far distance. The sky is vast, the horizon broken only by the occasional homestead, leafy copse or bulky metal silo.
But to 47-year-old Melitón Ramírez, this is no paradise. It's a wasteland. Juddering down a farm track in a muddy Jeep, he points to a wide field by the road. It has been sown with soya and the green-leafed plants are sprouting. It looks like a huge bed of wild clover.
'Thirty years ago, almost all of this was woodland,' says Ramírez, who's been a farmer in Alto Paraná state all his life. He grew up surrounded by the Interior Atlantic Forest, listening to the sound of bare-throated bellbirds and saffron toucanets. Before the advent of commercial farming, 85 per cent of eastern Paraguay was forest. Now, with roughly 12 per cent of it still standing, silence fills the air.
'There used to be 2,000 families living here. Now there are only 30, if that,' he continues.
The story of Ramírez's home village of Minga Porá is familiar in South America. It is a story that starts on the dinner tables of the UK and other rich nations, where a hunger for meat and dairy products fuels an ever-rising demand for the industrial farming of animals using high-protein feed. At the bottom of this food chain is the soya plant. Millions of hectares of intensively cultivated soya are gnawing at tropical forests and savannah - displacing farmers and communities, leading to poverty, ill-health and even violence, ruining habitats and exacerbating global warming.
A report by campaign group Friends of the Earth is to be published on Tuesday to focus the attention of UK consumers and the government on the scale of this destruction. It will detail for the first time the cutting, burning and spraying that occurs as a consequence. The report, What's Feeding our Food?, will start a campaign urging the government to take action, ending subsidies and other policies that encourage intensive farming and making sure public money spent on food is not propping up damaging practices.
Across the main soya-producing countries of Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay, an area the size of California has been cleared for this one crop, which is exported around the world, mainly to the European Union and China. As the third biggest customer in the European Union, the UK required nearly 1.2m hectares - an area the size of Devon and Cornwall - to generate the 1.7m tonnes of soya beans and 652,000 tonnes of crushed soya meal imported in the most recent year for which figures are available, 2006-7. That was most of the soya used by UK farmers producing 850 million broiler chickens, 10 billion eggs, 10 million turkeys, 4.9 million pigs and 10 million cattle for dairy and beef. Some of this food is exported, but imports, mostly from the EU, are also reared using soya feed, says the report.
'Even though bacon, burgers, milk and cheese may be produced in the UK, most will have come from animals fed on crops grown on the other side of the world,' it says. Nor is the pace of change slackening: this year official estimates judge that soya production will increase in all three major producers. Although demand for meat is largely flat in the UK, it is growing in developing countries.
Attracted by generous offers from Brazilian-born soya growers, Ramírez's neighbours began selling their plots. Soon herbicides began to contaminate the land and water supplies. His own crops began to fail. Worried the chemicals would harm his family, six years ago Ramírez decided to leave.
The destruction wreaked by soya has forced about 90,000 families in the neighbouring state of Caaguazú to leave their homes since the mid-Nineties, according to Javiera Rulli, a biologist for Asunción-based research group BASE, and the editor of a book on soya's expansion in South America. 'The expansion of GM soya is leading to social conflict and mass migration,' she says.
Some problems are easy to measure, particularly the damage to the Amazon and Atlantic forests and the Cerrado savannah. Only two per cent of Paraguay's tropical and subtropical Atlantic forest is left, according to the report - the same proportion of 16th-century woodland remaining in the UK.
Others problems are anecdotal, but the report cites dozens of incidents and statistics to build up a picture of the complex chain of social problems that can be traced back to the growth of the soya farms. Then there are the health impacts of spraying fertilisers and pesticides.
In Paraguay, in the tiny rural hamlet of San Isidro, resident Cipriano Vega says there has been a surge in diseases that were almost unknown in the community previously. Diarrhoea, rashes, headaches, allergies, chest infections and epilepsy are all commonplace now, he alleges.
The community has asked the local government to test the water supply, but to no avail. Without such data, Vega admits that it is difficult to prove a link to the herbicides. But he is in little doubt. 'The year before last, two kids were born without the ability to move their arms or legs, and two people recently died of brain haemorrhages,' he says.
Although it is hard to prove any one person or village has been poisoned by the farming chemicals, the World Health Organisation estimates that, excluding suicide, 355,000 people a year are poisoned by chemicals, and agrochemicals are a major contributor, particularly pesticides. 'Acute exposure can lead to death or serious illness,' particularly when people live close to where chemicals are used, adds the WHO briefing on toxic hazards.
Not everybody accepts, however, that the problems of soya production are as widespread as campaigners claim.
Robert Newbery, the National Farmers Union's chief poultry adviser, said soya products for animals were only part of a global industry that also produced soya oil for processed food, and most crops were planted on existing agricultural land. Newbery said the NFU would support action to tackle wrongdoing by soya farmers, but said they were confident 'the majority is grown ethically'.
Bunge, which with Cargill is one of the biggest soya production companies in the region, also said it had been working for many years, especially in Brazil, to make the industry more sustainable, backing a moratorium on buying soya from newly deforested parts of the Amazon, and working with the Brazilian Ministry of the Environment on promoting best practices among producers. 'A lot has been done, but there is always more to do,' said a spokesman.
Melitón Ramírez now lives in the optimistically named El Triunfo (The Triumph), a rural settlement off the trunk road heading west from Ciudad del Este. He and his fellow subsistence farmers hope to prevent soya's continual encroachment by joining the ownership of their lands together so the soya farmers can't pick them off one by one.
Back in the UK, FoE is calling for the government to axe subsidies that encourage intensive livestock production, lobby the EU to change trade policies and international aid that bolster the industry, and ensure that the £2.2bn a year spent on food by public bodies such as schools and hospitals does not buy products from intensive soya-fed animals.
'Most people don't realise that there's a hidden chain of events linking the meat and dairy they buy to factory farming and to climate change, deforestation and loss of livelihoods in developing countries,' said Clare Oxborrow, FoE's senior food campaigner. 'The government must revolutionise the way that meat and dairy is produced in this country to urgently tackle these impacts while supporting sustainable UK livestock farming.'

A versatile crop

• Cultivated for thousands of years in China, soya was considered one of five holy crops, along with rice, wheat, barley and millet.
• The beans can be eaten as sprouts, milk, tofu, tempeh, sauce or miso.
• Shoyu is the dark brown liquid produced by fermenting soya beans.
• According to a report in the journal Biology of Reproduction in 2004, soya may delay baldness and help to prevent prostate cancer.
• A two-year study by the Institute for Optimum Nutrition and Copenhagen University Hospital found that soy milk reduces bone loss in post-menopausal women.
• Candles made from soya burn for longer than ones made from pure wax.
• Compounds in soya known as phyto-oestrogens or plant oestrogens mimic the female hormone oestrogen, so a woman drinking two glasses of soya milk a day will alter the timing of her menstrual cycle.

Bad tidings

Vietnam is the country most at risk from rising sea levels, according to a new study, as rich nations are being called on to bail out vulnerable populations

vietnam

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Which country will be most affected by the steady rise of the seas? Which country could see more than a tenth of its population displaced, a tenth of its economic power crippled and a tenth of its towns and cities swamped by the end of this century? The answer, which may surprise you, is Vietnam, named by the World Bank as the nation with most to lose as global warming forces the oceans to reclaim the land.
Just a one-metre rise in sea level would flood more than 7% of the country's agricultural land, and wreck nearly 30% of its wetlands, the bank says. And the situation could be worse than that: a one-metre rise in sea level is at the conservative end of the predictions for the year 2100. Some climate experts, including Jim Hansen, director of Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, argue that the likely rise should be measured in several metres.
A one-metre rise would still be enough to cause chaos. In a study recently published in the journal Climatic Change, the World Bank says such a rise would impact on about 0.3% of the territory - some 194,000 sq km - of 84 developing countries. That might not sound much, but it would affect about 56 million people. Coastal populations across poorer countries generally do better economically, so the surge in the seas would impact on GDP even more - about 1.3%.
The study, which summarises the findings of a 50-page briefing paper published by the bank last year, comes as campaigners call for rich countries such as the UK to do more to help the developing world adapt to the inevitable effects of climate change.
Heather Coleman, senior climate change policy adviser with Oxfam, says: "Helping vulnerable people cope with the effects of climate change is desperately needed today because they already face increasingly severe and ever-worsening climate change impacts."
The charity released a report last week that called for at least $50bn (£33.85bn) a year to be channelled from international carbon trading schemes into adaptation efforts.
"With a global financial crisis unfolding, these mechanisms could raise enough money from polluters without governments having to dip into national treasuries," Coleman says. "Many negotiators agree that this is one of the more practical approaches. Billions of dollars can be raised and invested to prevent future climate change and to help poor people adapt to the negative impacts of global warming."
Bio-shields
Oxfam says poor countries need help to upgrade national flood early-warning systems, plant mangrove "bio-shields" along coasts to diffuse storm waves, and grow drought-tolerant crops.
The report comes as ministers are due to arrive at UN talks in Poznan, Poland, to continue negotiations on a new global climate treaty to replace the Kyoto protocol. With little progress on new carbon targets expected until the new US administration makes its position clear next year, adaptation could be a key issue at Poznan.
"It is extremely important for negotiators in Poznan to reach a broad understanding about how best to raise adaptation money, because they have paid lip service to the issue for too long," Coleman says. "It is a vital part of the overall deal, a litmus test of how serious rich countries are in tackling the problem.
"Poor people around the world bear the brunt of climate change, and yet they are least responsible for global warming. Even during tempestuous financial times, rich countries can and should help poor people to cope. We can't afford to exchange a short-term saving for a long-term disaster."
If countries fail to adapt to the new reality of climate change, Coleman warns, they would suffer far greater damage from floods, droughts and hurricanes.
Of those, the World Bank study, led by Susmita Dasgupta, of its Development Research Group, says some countries will suffer the effects of sea level rise much worse than others. Severe impactswill be limited to a "relatively small number of countries".
As well as Vietnam, the report highlights likely damage to the Bahamas, which could lose more than a tenth of its territory to a one-metre rise, and Egypt, which faces the flooding of 13% of its agricultural land. Mauritania, Guyana and Jamaica are also among the biggest losers.
In the bank's rankings of the top 10 countries affected by a sea level rise, across six different types of impact, Bangladesh - often associated with rising sea levels - features only once. The country is listed as the tenth most affected by land area, with just over 1% likely to be flooded.
The report says: "The overall magnitudes for the developing world are sobering: within this century, tens of millions of people are likely to be displaced by sea level rise, and the accompanying economic and ecological damage will be severe for many."
It adds: "International resource allocation strategies should recognise the skewed impact distribution we have documented. Some countries will be little affected by sea level rise, while others will be so heavily impacted that their national integrity may be threatened. Given the scarcity of available resources, it would seem sensible to allocate aid according to degree of threat."
The bank says the study is the first of its kind, but admits it is not foolproof. It did not investigate the effects of milder sea level rise, which will be felt in the next few decades. And its methods were too crude to assess the fate of small islands, which are particularly vulnerable. It also fails to take into account adaptation measures put in place over the next century, which would lessen the damages, or storm surges, which would worsen them.
Nevertheless, its central message is clear: "There is little evidence that the international community has seriously considered the implications of sea level rise for population location and infrastructure planning in many developing countries."A separate Oxfam report last month investigated the situation on the ground in Vietnam, in the provinces of Ben Tre and Quang Tri.
Achievements at risk
The charity warned that the effects of climate change threatened Vietnam's development achievements. It is one of the few countries on track to meet most of its millennium development goals by 2015, and it managed to reduce its poverty rate from about 58% of the population to 18% in 2006. "Such impressive achievements are now at risk," Oxfam says. In 2000, Vietnam produced just 0.35% of world greenhouse gas emissions - one of the lowest contributions in the world.
It is not just rising sea levels that pose a threat; higher temperatures, as well as more extremes of weather such as drought and typhoons, will have a "potentially devastating impact on the country's people and economy", the report says.
Some communities are already adapting to changing weather patterns. Rice farmers are harvesting earlier, before the main flooding season, or growing a rice variety with a shorter cycle. But the report found countless cases of poor people across both Ben Tre and Quang Tri, who were ill-equipped to cope with the consequences of the climate changing.
Oxfam says that rich countries must step in - and quickly. "The amounts of investment needed are beyond [Vietnam's] budgetary capacity," it says. "International adaptation finance will be needed in the face of unavoidable impacts."

 

Wetter and wilder: the signs of warming everywhere

In the third part of our series on the eve of the Poznan conference, we look at how climate change is already changing ordinary people's lives from Australia to Brazil

An aerial view of Gonaives, in Haiti, after the passing of tropical storm Hanna
An aerial view of Gonaives, in Haiti, after the passing of tropical storm Hanna. Photograph: Thony Belizaire/AFP/Getty images
Joao da Antonio's eyes are full of tears. If good rains do not come, he says, he will pack his bag, kiss his wife and two children goodbye and join the annual exodus of young men leaving hot, dry rural north-east Brazil for the biofuel fields in the south.
Da Antonio, 19, can earn about £30 a month for 10 hours gruelling work a day cutting sugar cane to make ethanol, and more than a million small farmers like him migrate south for six months of the year because the land can no longer support them. Tens of thousands a year never return, forced to move permanently to Sao Paulo or another of Brazil's cities in search of work.
"Life here is one of suffering," Da Antonio said. "I will do anything to earn some money. None of us want to die, but the lack of water here will kill us. "
Around the world, millions of people like Da Antonio are feeling the force of a changing climate. As UN negotiations towards a global climate deal continue in Poznan, Poland, this week, evidence is emerging of weather patterns in turmoil and the poorest nations disproportionately bearing the brunt of warming.
While rich countries at the talks seek to set up global carbon trading, using financial markets to tackle - and profit from - climate change, poor countries want justice. They are seeking environmental justice: money to adapt their economies to climate changes they did not cause, and technology and resources to allow them to escape poverty while preserving their forests and ecosystems.
The fast and unpredictable shifts in weather are not threats for the future, but happening right now. "The frequency of heatwaves and heavy precipitation is increasing; cyclones are becoming more frequent and intense; more areas are being affected by droughts; and flooding is now more serious," says Sheridan Bartlett, a researcher with the International Institute for Environment and Development in a new study looking at the effects of climate change on children.
"Increasingly unpredictable weather now affects hundreds of millions of farmers, resulting in food and water shortages, more illnesses and water-borne diseases, malnutrition, soil erosion, and disruption to water supplies," she says. Such changes confound the received wisdom of how to live on the land.
North-east Brazil has always known droughts, but they are becoming longer and more frequent, say scientists and farmers. "Climate change is biting. It is much hotter than it used to be and it stays hotter for longer. The rain has become more sporadic. It comes at different times of the year now and farmers cannot tell when to plant," says Lindon Carlos, an agronomist with Brazilian group Acev.
Brazilian scientists have recorded changes in the lifecycles of plants, greater oscillations in temperature and more water shortages, all consistent with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions of a devastating 3-4C rise in temperatures within 60 years if climate change is not halted. "All the research points to it becoming drier [in north-east Brazil]. In the last 30 years temperatures have risen by 1C. There is more very heavy rainfall over short periods and more evaporation," says Eneida Cavalcanti, a desertification specialist at the Joaquim Nabuco foundation in Recife.
On the other side of the world, the changing climate is wreaking havoc in a different way on low-lying and populous Bangladesh. There, government meteorologists this year reported a 10% increase in intensity and frequency in major cyclones hitting the country - two of the most powerful cyclones ever recorded have hit the country in the last three years.
"We are getting too much water in the rainy season and too little in the dry season. All this has implications for food security," says Raja Debashish Roy, Bangladesh's environment minister.
"We are learning about climate change," said Anawarul Islam, chair of the Deara district of about 2,500 people in the far south of the county. "This village is experiencing more rainfall and flooding every year. It has led to more homeless people and more conflict. "
"It's far warmer now," says one villager, Selina. "We do not feel cold in the rainy season. We used to need blankets, but now we don't. There is extreme uncertainty of weather. It makes it very hard to farm and we cannot plan. We have to be more reactive. The storms are increasing and the tides now come right up to our houses."
The balmy Caribbean is also being churned up with increasing frequency and ferocity. This year, the region experienced eight hurricanes and five major hurricanes, the second highest ever, and the hurricane season lasted a record five months.
"A warmer climate poses in some cases insurmountable challenges to the region. We face more hurricanes, coral bleaching and flooding," said Neville Trotz, science adviser to the Caribbean community climate change centre.
Across the Atlantic, in Africa, the theme unfolds further: climate change turning already bad situations in poor countries into potential catastrophe, and driving people to absolute poverty. Alexandre Tique, at Mozambique's national meteorological institute, says: "Analysis of the temperature data gathered in our provincial capitals, where we have meteorological stations that have kept continuous data over the years, shows a clear increase in temperature. Extreme events are becoming more frequent. We now see many more tropical cyclones that bring flooding, destruction and loss of lives."
Other African communities are suffering. In the village of Chikani, in Zambia, the farmers last year prepared their fields for planting in November, as they have always done, but the rains were very late for the third year running.
"We waited, but the first drop didn't fall till December 20. After a day, the rains stopped. Three weeks later, it started to rain again. But then it stopped again after a few days. Since then, we have had no rain. We have never known anything like this before," says Julius Njame.
From the plains of Africa, to mountaintop Nepal, where there is no respite from the weather in flux. Villages like Ketbari expect a small flood to wash off the hills every decade or so, now they seem to be annual and getting more serious.
"We always used to have a little rain each month, but now when there is rain it's very different. It's more concentrated and intense. It means that crop yields are going down," says Tekmadur Majsi, whose lands have been progressively washed away by the Trishuli river.
Nepalese villagers observe the minutiae of a changing climate. Some say that forest pigs now farrow earlier, others that some types of rice and cucumber will no longer grow where they used to. The common thread is that the days are hotter, some trees now flower twice a year and the raindrops are getting bigger.
The anecdotal observations of farmers are backed by scientists who are recording in Nepal some of the fastest increases in temperatures and rainfall anywhere in the world. Many lakes in Nepal and neighbouring Bhutan, which collect glacier meltwater, are said by the UN to be growing so rapidly that they could burst their banks.
Melting glaciers are creating anxiety about water supplies across the Earth. In Tajikistan, at current rates of change, thousands of small glaciers will have disappeared completely by 2050, causing more water to flow in spring followed by what is expected to be a disastrous decline of river flow in most rivers. In Peru, temperature increases have led to a 22% reduction in the total area of its glaciers in the last 35 years.
The developing nations on the climate frontline will argue strongly in Poznan that rich countries should pay to help them adapt to climate change. But development groups such as Oxfam and Tearfund say that almost all the money pledged so far has come out of existing aid funds. With a worldwide recession, many analysts expect rich countries to resist paying more.
The UN has established two funds - the Least Developed Countries and Special Climate Change funds - to raise money for the poorest countries to adapt, but the G8 countries have only pledged $6bn (£4bn). All the money is to be diverted from existing aid money.
"Every [official development assistance] dollar that goes to climate adaptation would mean a dollar less for health and education [programmes] in developing countries," said Antonio Hill, a senior policy adviser at Oxfam.
The scale of what is needed for adaptation is immense. Bangladesh says it needs £250m over three years to adapt, Ethiopia £450m, and other countries similar amounts. Development groups estimate that a minimum $50bn a year is needed worldwide.
"The resources currently available for adaptation are grossly inadequate to meet the needs of the least developed countries who bear the brunt of increased climate variability and unpredictability resulting from climate change," said Bangladesh's finance minister, Mirza Azizul Islam.
Back in north-east Brazil, the Pernambuco state environment minister, Aloysio Coasta, says: "In 20 years' time we could be a desert region. In some communities there are no young people left at all. This is an emergency. Food production is going down in many areas."
Joao da Antonio's wife, Luiza, is resigned to becoming a "drought widow". Clearly distressed, she says: "If there is no water, then he must leave."

 

European leaders clash over pledges on global warming

Germany, Italy and Poland pull in different directions at crunch summit on climate change

Global warming, climate change, environment
The EU summit must decide how the bloc will achieve its target of 20% emissions cuts by 2020. Photograph: PA/Haydn West
European leaders gather in Brussels on Thursday for a crunch summit, acutely divided over how to deliver on pledges to combat global warming almost two years after declaring they would show the rest of the world how to tackle climate change.
The EU is split between the poorer east and the wealthy west. Germany says that most of their industries need not pay to pollute, Italy says it cannot afford the ambitious scheme, and Britain says that the package on the table could result in huge windfall profits for companies.
"There is a very big chasm between the various parties," said a senior European diplomat.
Prime ministers and presidents appear to be getting cold feet over key decisions that need to be taken by the weekend to enact laws that will make the climate change package binding for 27 countries.
Failure is not an option, they say. But Polish veto threats, Italian resistance, and German insistence that it will not jeopardise jobs to help save the planet, suggest that the action plan will be diluted. The risk is the EU will draw withering criticism from climate campaigners and signal weakness and indecision to the US, China, India and other key players in the global warming fight.
"It's a question of credibility," said Jose Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission who described the summit as the most important of his five-year term. "It would be a real mistake for Europe to give the signal that we are watering down our position."
A negative outcome to the talks would moreover cast a pall over the latest round of UN negotiations to secure a post-Kyoto treaty to limit global greenhouse gases.
But at talks in Poznan, Poland, yesterday, EU environment commissioner Stavros Dimas, said: "There are a few issues left but I cannot imagine that we're not going to get an agreement on Friday. We are going to deliver the targets."
The EU package represents the most ambitious legislative effort on climate change anywhere which includes four laws that mandate cuts in greenhouse gases by one-fifth by 2020 compared with 1990 levels, reduce energy consumption in Europe by one-fifth by the same deadline and stipulate that 20% of Europe's energy mix comes from renewable sources.
Germany's chancellor Angela Merkel engineered the deal as EU president in March last year. Since then the EU has been bragging about leading the world in the race to keep global temperatures from rising by more than 2C.
It falls to Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, to end his dynamic six months in the EU hot seat with a deal that could see the entire package turned into law before Christmas.
Sarkozy is staring failure in the face. But he is widely viewed as a consummate fixer who may pull it off. The disputes are fundamentally about costs, a disagreement that has become magnified in the current economic climate. While everyone agrees the headline target of 20% cuts in greenhouse gases by 2020 is sacrosanct, the disputes are about how to get there.
The heart of the scheme is the "cap-and-trade" or emissions trading system which is to supply around half of the cuts in greenhouse gases. The ceiling for industrial pollution levels is progressively lowered and industries and companies pay to pollute by buying permits in an auction system.
The pay-to-pollute principle is supposed to kick in from 2013, but is hugely contentious. Germany, in particular, is demanding that 30 industrial sectors be given their permits free of charge. The sectors are responsible for 90% of emissions in the scheme. If the Germans win the argument, the incentives for going greener will be minimised and revenue from the scheme will collapse.
"The Germans have set out an extreme negotiating position," said another diplomat. "They want absolute protection for all of their industry."
The mighty industrial lobbies in Germany are complaining that their global competitiveness will be wrecked if they need to pay for the pollution permits and are threatening to move out of Europe.
Merkel this week said that the summit "must not take decisions that would endanger jobs or investments in Germany. I will see to that."
The dispute between "old" and "new" Europe is also deep, with many seeing it as the biggest obstacle to an agreement.
The poorer post-communist states of central Europe, led by Poland, feel they are getting a raw deal, that they cannot afford the package, that their economic development will be affected and that their costs of living will soar.
Poland, for example, generates more than 90% of its electricity from dirty coal. It wants its power stations exempted from buying the permits until 2019 as well as massive transfers of funds from west to east.
The subsidies are supposed to be funded from the proceeds of the permit auctions. But the pot of money will be small if Germany wins the free permits argument. Britain is leading opposition to this form of subsidy, arguing that transfers of money to central Europe should come from the EU budget.
Silvio Berlusconi, the unpredictable Italian prime minister, has also warned he could veto the package on the grounds that he was not in office when it was agreed in spring last year.
Since then, the financial meltdown and the threat of a deep economic recession have dampened enthusiasm among European leaders.
While Barroso and Gordon Brown emphasise the opportunities for investment and job creation through tackling climate change, the German and Italian leaders are spreading the gloomier message that fighting global warming will cost jobs and growth.
If a deal is struck, it will result from Sarkozy twisting arms in a series of face-to-face meetings with other leaders likely to run into the small hours of Saturday morning.
The deadline is daunting. If the laws are not enacted within a couple of months, the momentum will be lost because the current European parliament ends its term in the spring and a new European commission is due next October.
The Europeans will have forfeited the leadership role on global warming to the incoming Obama administration in Washington.

Fifth of world's coral reefs dead, say marine scientists

Climate change linked to warmer and more acidic seas pose biggest threat to coral survival, says report

Plight of the coral reefs

Plight of the coral reefs. Photograph: Cathie Page

A fifth of the world's coral reefs have died or been destroyed and the remainder are increasingly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, a new study says.

The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network says many surviving reefs could be lost over the coming decades as CO2 emissions continue to increase.

"If nothing is done to substantially cut emissions, we could effectively lose coral reefs as we know them, with major coral extinctions," said Clive Wilkinson of the GCRMN.

The report, released today at UN climate talks in Poznan, Poland, said warmer and more acidic seas posed the biggest threat in future. Other threats include overfishing, pollution and invasive species – as well as natural hazards, such as the earthquake that triggered the Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004, which forced reefs from the water.

Corals are crucial to the livelihoods of millions of coastal dwellers around the world. The UN's Millennium Ecosystem Assessment says reefs are worth about $30bn annually to the global economy through tourism, fisheries and coastal protection.

"If nothing changes, we are looking at a doubling of atmospheric CO2 in less than 50 years," said Carl Gustaf Lundin, head of the International Union for Conservation of Nature's global marine programme, which is one of the organisations behind the GCRMN. "As this carbon is absorbed, the oceans will become more acidic, which is seriously damaging a wide range of marine life from corals to plankton communities and from lobsters to seagrasses."

The report found that some 45% of the world's reefs are currently healthy, and that some retain the ability to recover after major bleaching events, such as the one caused by the El Niño event in 1998, and to adapt to climate change threats. But, globally, the downward trend of recent years has not been reversed.

David Obura, chair of the IUCN climate change and coral reefs working group, said: "Ten years after the world's biggest coral bleaching event, we know that reefs can recover – given the chance. Unfortunately, impacts on the scale of 1998 will reoccur in the near future, and there's no time to lose if we want to give reefs and people a chance to suffer as little as possible."

 

Nomad's land

  • Nick Maes
  • *editors note: I am including the full article for now, because I think it's an awesome read.

Adrère Amellal
Blast from the past ... Adrère Amellal has been constructed using ancient techniques
I'm a hopeless dreamer at heart - a sucker for mystery, history and romance. And if all three come wrapped up in heat rather than the pages of a Mills & Boon novel, then the formula is damn near faultless as far as I'm concerned. Which makes Siwa oasis my perfect winter sun destination, since it combines all three elements.
This place has never been easy to get to. The Persian army lost 50,000 men while trying to reach this isolated Saharan oasis in the Great Sand Sea. Admittedly that was in 500BC, but the brutal landscape has changed surprisingly little since then.
Perhaps the biggest change here occurred 20 years ago when a permanent asphalt road connecting Siwa to the outside world was built. That says a lot about the town's extraordinary isolation. Clinging to the edge of the Qattara Depression, just shy of the Libyan border, it's enveloped for hundreds of miles by the Sahara desert. For centuries, only caravans passed through, leaving Siwans in their exceptional seclusion to evolve a distinct identity, cultural heritage and Berber language (Siwi) all their own.
Siwa sand dunes Siwa sand dunes. Photograph: Alamy
Siwa is still hard to reach by modern standards. A cab from Cairo takes the best part of 10 hours and comes at a price (I paid US$400 return) - the bus journey is considerably cheaper but can take even longer. However you travel, the 21st century sprawls inexorably beside the road for the first 100 miles: giant billboards exhort you to buy anything from hair gel to real estate, lonely advertising that seems utterly surreal deep in the desert wastes. After sundown another type of strangeness quickly gripped me; the trance induced by mile after endless mile of road disappearing into night.
I thought I'd be pleased when I finally arrived at Siwa's Adrère Amellal eco lodge; but I was surprised by its disturbing magic instead. The moon bathed what appeared to be a ghost town in an eery silver light. Had I not known I was staying here I'd have believed it deserted. Not a single light shone, the windows were black and the heavy silence was unnerving.
A man padded out of the shadows into the moonlight, courteously showed me my candlelit room and vanished. Knackered, I slugged on a bottle of duty-free vodka, crept into bed and blew the candles out feeling, it must be said, nonplussed.
Morning was revelatory. My doubts dissolved in dazzling sunshine that revealed a warren of traditional village houses that hugged the base of the high rock face that gave the eco lodge its name. Adrère Amellal is Siwi for White Mountain - although that's a little inflationary. Mont Blanc it is not. It is, however, a marvellous layer-cake of a cliff that looms above the scattering of buildings below.
Unlike a more traditional hotel, Adrère Amellal doesn't have a reception or obvious fixed public areas. This flexible environment takes a while to get used to. Some spaces are used in winter, others in summer. Dinner and lunch are moveable feasts that could happen anywhere around the grounds.
I must have looked lost - I certainly didn't know where I was going. And then a voice called out and asked if I wanted breakfast, and at that moment I fell in love with Adrère Amellal.
I found myself jabbering to a newly hitched gay couple from America over a delicious breakfast of local breads, beans and eggs (although the olive jam is an acquired taste). Apparently it wasn't uncommon for Siwan men to have same-sex marriages until as late as the 1940s, although that's certainly not the case now. Modern Egypt isn't particularly well known for its liberal attitude to homosexuality.
I enthused about my new passion, and judging by the dreamy look in the couple's eyes, they too had succumbed to Adrère's charms, although it may be that they were glazed and desperate to escape from the garrulous singleton.
The simple building materials here - kershef, or mud plastered with rock salt - have remained unchanged for centuries. But the traditional techniques of construction were nearly lost forever before they were revived for the construction of Adrère Amellal. The results are spectacular.
Perched beside Lake Siwa, an immense, shimmering salt lake, the buildings are all but invisible from a distance, merging perfectly into the environment like an inverted mirage. Doors and furniture are made from olive wood, and electricity, which they have in town a few miles away, has been banned. Using the beeswax candles to light the cell-like loo at night is almost a religious experience.
Geometric blocks of light, shade and architecture create stunning vistas and windows into the oasis. There's real beauty in the simplicity and crudeness - think Kelly Hoppen meets the Flintstones - and an obsession with salt that borders on bonkers. There are salt tables, salt chairs, salt bedside tables and beds, windows, wall tiles, even an entire building. Of course, this might be a problem if you had a sodium intolerance, and it'd be a disaster if it ever rained.
Dr Mounir Neamatalla and his company, the Cairo-based Environmental Quality International, created the lodge as part of a bigger scheme to preserve both Siwan tradition and the fragile ecosystem. Since 1997, EQI has invested heavily in four local objectives: eco lodging, traditional artisanship, organic agriculture and renewable energy.
The initiatives are already having an impact. Most of the local population are smallholders who haven't always found the best deals for their produce. EQI champions the use of organic farming methods and pre-purchases their crops at a fair market price as well as providing micro-finance schemes. They're currently experimenting with a biofeeder to create a natural source of cooking gas and organic fertiliser, and have set up a large olive factory, built from the ubiquitous kershef.
But it's their work with local women that deserves special mention. Women are all but invisible to outsiders in Siwa; they live in a strictly conservative society, even by Egyptian standards. Gradually EQI is encouraging their economic self-sufficiency and empowerment through a women's artisanship initiative. You can buy their exquisite embroideries in the lodge.
I wanted to see the projects in action, but as a man's presence would not have been acceptable, I went to see a shepherd and his flock instead, and inadvertently created a stampede by leaving the barn door open. Three dozen animals made a frantic bid for freedom in a hail of dust and grit, and the shepherd spent the next 10 minutes wiping tears from his face - tears of laughter.
Red-faced, I sought sanctuary in the simple luxury of a spring-fed Roman pool - as you do. There aren't many hotels on the planet that can lay claim to one of these, let alone two. Extraordinary turquoise waters bubble up from the seemingly bottomless wells then trickle into a series of stone cisterns and on into the palm-shaded gardens. It was magical.
So good, in fact, that Alexander the Great might have dipped his toe into one of these pools when he visited. Not that he'd come to chill out. He had an oracle to consult. And incredibly, the temple that housed Siwa's Oracle of Amun still exists, along with Cleopatra's bath, another extraordinary Roman plunge pool; it's that kind of place. Other royals have come, too - the Prince of Wales, for example.
Shali Lodge Shali Lodge
You'd be right to guess from all this that a holiday here isn't cheap. The good news is that EQI has two other places to stay that are a fraction of the price and just as beautiful, if not quite as spacious and tranquil. Shali Lodge and Albabenshal Heritage Hotel are both in the old part of Siwa town. Of the two, it was Albabenshal that entranced me. Its 11 rooms, connected through a network of alleys and terraces that overlook the centre of town, are built in the ruins of the Shali Fortress, a 13th-century citadel that remained all but impregnable until 1926. Then the unimaginable happened: three days of rain all but destroyed it. Shali Lodge is simply furnished with palm frond furniture and colourful Bedouin carpets.
Days at Adrère Amellal drift lazily into one another; it's part of the magic of the place. I wasn't there when the hotel was full, but it's difficult to imagine that it would ever feel cramped or busy. If it did then you'd make for the dunes.
A late afternoon trip into the shallows of the great sand sea should be compulsory. As the sun begins to dip, the dunes become luminous, looking laser-cut, cruel and perfect. We stopped briefly for tea, sandwiched between a roiling sunset and the endless desert. I found the experience quite overpowering, feeling wonderment and a sense of my frailty and inconsequence. My stomach broke the reverie; I wanted supper.
Dinner was in one of the fabulous cubby holes dotted around the hotel grounds, away from other guests. They create the fantasy that this might be a private house or dinner party. And for me it was; I met a wonderful group of people from Bolivia, Norway, Egypt and the States and we partied late into the night over fierce red wine and some really good vegetarian cuisine (meat dishes are available too).
But EQI's success is, perversely, double-edged. Others have seen what it is so stylishly doing and have opened less ecologically friendly and socially aware places as a result. Imitation may be the most sincere form of flattery, but it soon plays havoc with local resources.
At present, the long journey from Cairo is still a deterrent to those who don't truly want to visit, but rumour has it that an airport is planned and the results could be catastrophic; this engaging culture and beautiful, magical oasis would be lost forever.

 

 

Learning Biocapacity

World is facing a natural resources crisis worse than financial crunch

• Two planets need by 2030 at this rate, warns report
• Humans using 30% more resources than sustainable

The world is heading for an "ecological credit crunch" far worse than the current financial crisis because humans are over-using the natural resources of the planet, an international study warns today.

The Living Planet report calculates that humans are using 30% more resources than the Earth can replenish each year, which is leading to deforestation, degraded soils, polluted air and water, and dramatic declines in numbers of fish and other species. As a result, we are running up an ecological debt of $4tr (£2.5tr) to $4.5tr every year - double the estimated losses made by the world's financial institutions as a result of the credit crisis - say the report's authors, led by the conservation group WWF, formerly the World Wildlife Fund. The figure is based on a UN report which calculated the economic value of services provided by ecosystems destroyed annually, such as diminished rainfall for crops or reduced flood protection.

The problem is also getting worse as populations and consumption keep growing faster than technology finds new ways of expanding what can be produced from the natural world. This had led the report to predict that by 2030, if nothing changes, mankind would need two planets to sustain its lifestyle. "The recent downturn in the global economy is a stark reminder of the consequences of living beyond our means," says James Leape, WWF International's director general. "But the possibility of financial recession pales in comparison to the looming ecological credit crunch."

The report continues: "We have only one planet. Its capacity to support a thriving diversity of species, humans included, is large but fundamentally limited. When human demand on this capacity exceeds what is available - when we surpass ecological limits - we erode the health of the Earth's living systems. Ultimately this loss threatens human well-being." Speaking yesterday in London, the report's authors also called for politicians to mount a huge international response in line with the multibillion-dollar rescue plan for the economy. "They now need to turn their collective action to a far more pressing concern and that's the survival of all life on planet Earth," said Chief Emeka Anyaoku, the president of WWF International.

Sir David King, the British government's former chief scientific adviser, said: "We all need to agree that there's a crisis of understanding, that we're removing the planet's biodiverse resources at a rate which is as fast if not faster than the world's last great extinction."

At the heart of the Living Planet report is an index of the health of the world's natural systems, produced by the Zoological Society of London and based on 5,000 populations of more than 1,600 species, and on an "ecological footprint" of human demands for goods and services.

For the first time the report also contains detailed information on the "water footprint" of every country, and claims 50 countries are already experiencing "moderate to severe water stress on a year-round basis". It also shows that 27 countries are "importing" more than half the water they consume - in the form of water used to produce goods from wheat to cotton - including the UK, Switzerland, Austria, Norway and the Netherlands.

 

 

 

Protective shield of the sun is shrinking

October 20, 2008

LONDON: The protective bubble around the sun that helps to shield the Earth from harmful interstellar radiation is shrinking and getting weaker, NASA scientists have discovered.

New data from the Ulysses deep-space probe show that the heliosphere, the protective shield of energy that surrounds our solar system, has weakened by 25 per cent over the past decade and is now at it lowest level since the space race began 50 years ago.

Scientists, baffled at what could be causing the barrier to shrink in this way, were set to launch a mission overnight to study the heliosphere.

The Interstellar Boundary Explorer, or Ibex, will orbit 240,000 kilometres above the Earth and "listen" for the shock wave that forms as our solar system meets interstellar radiation.

Dr Nathan Schwadron, a co-investigator on the Ibex mission at Boston University, said: "There is a very high-energy galactic radiation that is dangerous to living things.

"Around 90 per cent of [it] is deflected by our heliosphere, so the boundary protects us from this harsh galactic environment."

The heliosphere is created by the solar wind meeting the intergalactic gas that fills the gaps in space between solar systems. Where they meet, a shock wave is formed that deflects interstellar radiation away from the solar system as it travels through the galaxy. The scientists hope Ibex will enable them to better understand what happens at this boundary.

If the heliosphere continues to weaken, it is feared intergalactic cosmic radiation reaching Earth will increase, disrupting electrical equipment, damaging satellites and potentially harming life

 

 

Met Office's bleak forecast on climate change

The head of the Met Office centre for climate change research explains why the momentum on emissions targets must not be lost

  • Vicky Pope

When it comes to climate change, the scientific evidence has to be at the core of any decision-making. Governments need to understand the consequences of choosing particular targets, but they also need to understand what will happen if targets are missed or if they cannot be agreed on by all countries. Failures could have far-reaching consequences.
The latest climate model projections from the Met Office Hadley Centre show clearly that such failures could have worrying and significant consequences for the world's climate. Even with large and early cuts in emissions, these projections indicate that temperatures are likely to rise to around 2C above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century. If action is delayed or is slow, then there is a significant risk of much larger increases in temperature. The uncertainties in the science mean that even if the most likely temperature rise is kept within reasonable limits, we cannot rule out the possibility of much larger increases. Adaptation strategies are therefore needed to deal with these less likely, but still real, possibilities.
Temperature rises
Jason Lowe, a climate scientist, and other colleagues at the Hadley Centre have conducted a series of "what if" climate projections, to give a better understanding of the temperature rises we could expect if action on reducing greenhouse gas emissions is slow or delayed.
In the first scenario, emissions continue to rise throughout the century. In the other scenarios, emission reductions have been imposed at various times and at various rates.
In the most optimistic scenario, emissions start to decrease in 2010, and reductions quickly reach 3% per year. This contrasts sharply with current trends, where the world's overall emissions are increasing at 1% per year - faster than even the worst cases used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarios.
What is very clear is that some increase in temperature is inevitable in the next century, and that the decisions and actions that the world takes now will have a profound impact on the climate later this century.
Even if emissions start to decrease in the next two years and reach a rapid and sustained rate of decline of 3% per year, temperatures are likely to rise to 1.7C above pre-industrial levels by 2050 and to around 2C by 2100. This is because carbon dioxide already in the atmosphere will be around for many years to come and the climate takes some time to respond to these changes. Only an early and rapid decline in emissions gets anywhere close to the target of 50% reduction in emissions by 2050 put forward by the G8.
Contrast that with a world where no action is taken to curb global warming. Then, temperatures could rise as high as 7C above pre-industrial values by the end of the century. This would lead to significant risks of severe and irreversible impacts.
Lowe's two other scenarios are also significant. The consequences of a late decline in emissions are apparent by 2050. Delaying reduction of emissions until 2030, results in a further 0.5C of warming by 2050 compared with early, if slow, reduction from 2010. By the end of the century the differences are even greater - more than 1C.
The consequences of an early but slow decline in emissions of 1% per year, compared with a rapid decline, appear to be small in 2050. However, they increase to 0.8C by the end of the century.
Overall, a delayed and slow decline in emissions would probably lead to nearly 2C more warming than an early and rapid decline in global emissions - a total temperature rise of 4C above pre-industrial levels.
The implications of these levels of temperature change are very serious, but the central projections are not the only things we should be worried by. When commentators look at these projections, they tend to concentrate on the most likely temperature rises. However, if we are concerned about keeping to a minimum the risks of avoiding dangerous climate change, we should also consider the worst case outcome. This will occur if the climate turns out to be particularly sensitive to increases in greenhouse gases and the Earth's biological systems cannot absorb very much carbon.
Dangerous impacts
The risks for worst case outcomes amplify much more quickly than the risks for most likely outcomes. For an early and rapid decline in emissions, the worst case outcome is around 0.7C higher than the most likely temperature rise. With much slower action taken much later, the difference between the most likely and worst case outcome is almost twice as wide, at 1.2C. This takes a worst case temperature rise of less than 3C to one just above 5C by the end of this century, bringing with it significant risk of dangerous impacts to our environment, society and economy.
A major reason for this amplification is the so-called "carbon cycle effect". Plants, soils and oceans currently absorb about half of the carbon dioxide emitted by humankind's activities, limiting rises in atmospheric CO2 and slowing global warming. As temperatures increase, this absorption is very likely to decrease.
For example, plant matter in the soil breaks down more quickly at higher temperatures, releasing carbon more quickly, and amplifying the warming trend. Methane released from the thawing of permafrost will add to the warming. This methane release is currently not included in the calculations, and becomes more of a risk for larger temperature rises.
Hence, the risks of dangerous climate change will not increase slowly as greenhouse gases increase. Rather, the risks will multiply if we do not reduce emissions fast enough.
• Vicky Pope is head of climate change for government at the Met Office's Hadley Centre

 

 

Revealed: oil-funded research in Palin's campaign against protection for polar bear

• Paper authored by known climate change sceptics
• Governor suing over threatened species ruling

The Republican Sarah Palin and her officials in the Alaskan state government drew on the work of at least six scientists known to be sceptical about the dangers and causes of global warming, to back efforts to stop polar bears being protected as an endangered species, the Guardian can disclose. Some of the scientists were funded by the oil industry.
In official submissions to the US government's consultation on the status of the polar bear, Palin and her team referred to at least six scientists who have questioned either the existence of warming as a largely man-made phenomenon or its severity. One paper was partly funded by the US oil company ExxonMobil.
The status of the polar bear has become a battleground in the debate on global warming. In May the US department of the interior rejected Palin's objections and listed the bear as a threatened species, saying that two-thirds of the world's polar bears were likely to be extinct by 2050 due to the rapid melting of the sea ice. Palin, governor of Alaska and the Republican nominee for US vice-president, responded last month by suing the federal government, to try to overturn the ruling. The case will be heard in January.
Though the state of Alaska has no polar bear specialists on its staff, the governor's stance has pitted it against the combined scientific fire-power of the US Fish and Wildlife Service, the US Geological Survey, and world experts on the mammal.
In its lawsuit, Alaska said it opposed the endangered label partly because the listing would "deter activities such as ... oil and gas exploration and development". Oil companies recently bid $2.7bn (£1.5bn) for rights to explore the Chuckchi sea, an established polar bear habitat.
The threatened species status might also impede the building of an Alaskan natural gas pipeline, which Palin has called the "will of God". In a letter last year to the US interior secretary, Dirk Kempthorne, she said she believed the polar bear population was "abundant, stable and unthreatened by direct human activity". She opposed the call for the listing because it "did not use the best available scientific and commercial information".
Her own Alaskan review of the science drew on a joint paper by seven authors, four of whom were well-known climate- change contrarians. Her paper argued that it was "certainly premature, if not impossible" to link temperature rise in Alaska with human CO2 emissions.
The paper, entitled Polar Bears of Western Hudson Bay and Climate Change, has been criticised for relying on old research and ignoring evidence that Arctic sea-ice is melting at a quickening pace. Walt Meier, a world authority on sea ice, based at the National Snow and Ice Data Centre, said: "The paper doesn't measure up scientifically."
One co-author of the paper, Willie Soon, completed the study with funding from ExxonMobil - which has oil operations in Alaska's North Slope - as well as from the American Petroleum Institute. Soon was a former senior scientist with the George C Marshall Institute, which acts as an incubator for climate-change scepticism. The institute has received $715,000 in funding from ExxonMobil since 1998.
In May, ExxonMobil announced that it was no longer funding Marshall and other groups linked with contrarian views. It said this was to avoid "distraction from the need to provide energy while reducing greenhouse gas emissions" and stressed that the company did not "control the research itself".
Another co-author of the document was Sallie Baliunas. In 2003 she and Soon were criticised when it was revealed that a joint paper had been partially funded by the American Petroleum Institute. Thirteen scientists whom they cited issued a rebuttal and several editors of the journal Climate Research resigned because of the "flawed peer review". A third co-author of the polar bear study, David Legates, a professor at Delaware University, is also associated with the Marshall Institute.
The citation by Palin and her officials prompted complaints from Congress. One member, Brad Miller, dubbed the polar bear study phony science.
Palin told Miller: "Attempts to discredit scientists ... simply because their analyses do not agree with your views, would be a disservice to this country." Miller now says that Palin's use of the paper shows she differs greatly from John McCain, the Republican presidential contender, who has pressed for scientific integrity. "Turning to the cottage industry of scientists who are funded because they spread doubt about global warming is not integrity," Miller said.
Palin's submission consulted J Scott Armstrong, a specialist in forecasting, who regards the global warming issue as "public hysteria".
Two other contrarian scholars were cited. One was Syun-Ichi Akasofu, formerly director of the International Arctic Research Centre, in Alaska, who argues that climate change could be a hangover from the little ice age. He is a founding director of the Heartland Institute, a thinktank that has received $676,500 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
Timothy Ball, a retired professor from Winnipeg, is cited for his climate and polar bear research. He has called human-made global warming "the greatest deception in the history of science". He has worked with both Friends of Science, and the Natural Resources Stewardship Project, which each had funding from energy firms.
Kert Davies, research director at Greenpeace US, said the state of Alaska under Palin's leadership had relied on scholars who argue the opposite view to that of the overwhelming consensus in the scientific community. "It shows that she is completely out of touch with the urgency of the climate crisis."
Last month Palin agreed that the Alaskan climate was changing but added: "I'm not one though who would attribute it to being man-made." She later tried to retract the statement.

 

Brazilian officials face charges over Amazon destruction caused by logging

Top 100 illegal loggers set to be sued after evidence shows 292 square miles of forest were chopped down in August


Forests in Brazil have been cut down to make way for crops such as soya. Photographer: Rodrigo Baleia/Greenpeace
Illegal logging has sharply accelerated destruction of the Amazon and the biggest culprit is the Brazilian government, according to new evidence.
Officials are expected to face criminal charges after satellite imagery revealed the worst-hit regions belonged to the Institute of Colonization and Agrarian Reform, or Incra, a state agency which distributes land.
The top 100 illegal loggers, with Incra at the top, would be sued, the environment minister, Carlos Minc, told a news conference. "It was a terrible result. We're going to blow all 100 of them out of the water and then some."
Official data released on Monday showed that 292 square miles of rainforest were chopped down in August, more than twice the rate for the same month last year. The National Institute of Space Studies said its findings would probably have been even worse had it obtained images of a quarter of the forest covered by dense clouds in August.
Until recently Brazil's government highlighted an apparent slowdown in the rate of deforestation as proof of conservation success. This week's announcement was all the more embarrassing because the six largest deforested areas since 2005 were owned by Incra.
Officials tasked with distributing land to the poor, along with vote-chasing mayors and other politicians in the Amazon, were accused of turning a blind eye to the tree-felling by peasants, big landowners and logging companies.
Upcoming elections aggravated the trend, said the environment minister, who blamed expanded agricultural activity as well as land theft through the falsification of property titles.
"When you have elections, the appetite of authorities to enforce laws is reduced," said Paulo Adario, of the advocacy group Greenpeace. "But the federal government has to step in and do its job."
Adario also blamed the dramatic global food price increases for encouraging cattle ranchers and soy farmers to push deeper into the forest and clear land. "The tendency of deforestation rising is deeply related to the fact that food prices are going up."
Big landowners have long argued that poor peasants resettled by Incra were driving the deforestation, a view bolstered by the estimates that since 2005 some 223,000 hectares (550,000 acres) of forest were destroyed on six Incra properties.
Incra's president, Rolf Hackbart, defended his agency by saying the affected areas had in fact been legally settled between 1995 and 2002. It was not immediately possible to verify the conflicting claims.
Other figures released by the environment ministry showed that private land holders deforested more than three times as much as Incra between January and August of this year, suggesting soy and cattle barons are still causing far more damage.
The government's green credentials have been under intense scrutiny since Marina Silva, a high-profile champion of the rainforest, quit as environment minister in May following bruising battles with cabinet colleagues.
Minc, her successor, said the government will create an environmental police force with 3,000 heavily armed and specially trained officers to help protect the Amazon.

 

 

Meat must be rationed to four portions a week, says report on climate change

• Study looks at food impact on greenhouse gases
• Return to old-fashioned cooking habits urged

People will have to be rationed to four modest portions of meat and one litre of milk a week if the world is to avoid run-away climate change, a major new report warns.

The report, by the Food Climate Research Network, based at the University of Surrey, also says total food consumption should be reduced, especially "low nutritional value" treats such as alcohol, sweets and chocolates.

It urges people to return to habits their mothers or grandmothers would have been familiar with: buying locally in-season products, cooking in bulk and in pots with lids or pressure cookers, avoiding waste and walking to the shops - alongside more modern tips such as using the microwave and internet shopping.

The report goes much further than any previous advice after mounting concern about the impact of the livestock industry on greenhouse gases and rising food prices. It follows a four-year study of the impact of food on climate change and is thought to be the most thorough study of its kind.

Tara Garnett, the report's author, warned that campaigns encouraging people to change their habits voluntarily were doomed to fail and urged the government to use caps on greenhouse gas emissions and carbon pricing to ensure changes were made. "Food is important to us in a great many cultural and symbolic ways, and our food choices are affected by cost, time, habit and other influences," the report says. "Study upon study has shown that awareness-raising campaigns alone are unlikely to work, particularly when it comes to more difficult changes."

The report's findings are in line with an investigation by the October edition of the Ecologist magazine, which found that arguments for people to go vegetarian or vegan to stop climate change and reduce pressure on rising food prices were exaggerated and would damage the developing world in particular, where many people depend on animals for essential food, other products such as leather and wool, and for manure and help in tilling fields to grow other crops.

Instead, it recommended cutting meat consumption by at least half and making sure animals were fed as much as possible on grass and food waste which could not be eaten by humans.

"The notion that cows and sheep are four-legged weapons of mass destruction has become something of a distraction from the real issues in both climate change and food production," said Pat Thomas, the Ecologist's editor.

The head of the United Nations intergovernmental panel on climate change, Rajendra Pachauri, also sparked global debate this month when he urged people to have at least one meat-free day a week.

The Food Climate Research Network found that measured by production, the UK food sector produces greenhouse gases equivalent to 33m tonnes of carbon. Measured by consumption - including imports - the total rises to 43.3m tonnes. Both figures work out at under one fifth of UK emissions, but they exclude the indirect impacts of actions such as clearing rainforest for cattle and crops, which other studies estimate would add up to 5% to 20% of global emissions.

The report found the meat and dairy sectors together accounted for just over half of those emissions; potatoes, fruit and vegetables for 15%; drinks and other products with sugar for another 15%; and bread, pastry and flour for 13%.

It also revealed which parts of the food chain were the most polluting. Although packaging has had a lot of media and political attention, it only ranked fifth in importance behind agriculture - especially the methane produced by livestock burping - manufacturing, transport, and cooking and refrigeration at home.

The report calls for meat and dairy consumption to be cut in developed countries so that global production remains stable as the population grows to an estimated 9bn by 2050.

At the same time emissions from farms, transport, manufacturing and retail could be cut, with improvements including more efficient use of fertilisers, feed and energy, changed diets for livestock, and more renewable fuels - leading to a total reduction in emissions from the sector of 50% to 67%, it says.

The UN and other bodies recommend that developed countries should reduce total emissions by 80% by 2050.

However, the National Farmers' Union warned that its own study, with other industry players, published last year, found net emissions from agriculture could only be cut by up to 50% if the carbon savings from building renewable energy sources on farms were taken into account.

The NFU also called for government incentives to help farmers make the changes. "Farmers aren't going to do this out of the goodness of their hearts, because farmers don't have that luxury; many of our members are very hard pressed at the moment," said Jonathan Scurlock, the NFU's chief adviser on renewable energy and climate change.

 

 

The mother of all rip-offs

'Could there be a finer reward for failure?

Hank Paulson has got to be kidding. He wants American taxpayers to hand a cool $US700 billion ($840 billion) to his pals on Wall Street in return for a gigantic bundle of their delinquent assets ... without his pals taking a pay cut.

Could there be a finer reward for failure? Could there be a worse deal for taxpayers?

No stake in the upside, no ceiling on extortionate Wall Street salaries, no guarantee the system will be stabilised. Just the mother of all rip-offs: a deal to privatise Wall Street's profits and socialise its losses.

How about this bit: "Decisions by the (Treasury) Secretary (Paulson) pursuant to the Authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to Agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency''. 

Paulson and his pals get an explicit protection against any review by the courts and Congress while taxpayers fork out top dollar for rubbish the banks can't sell. It is the quintessential dudding.

If the Paulson "cash for trash'' plan could avert systemic failure  and this is by no means assured - it could have legs but Congress is jacking up at the ample "trust me'' element. And rightly so.

There is no reason to trust Wall Street, or the regulators. As House Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi put it, Congress would not "simply hand over a $US700 billion blank cheque to Wall Street and hope for a better outcome."

Until now Americans have been mostly apathetic when it came to the excesses of their investment banks. But now that Main Street is being asked to bail out Wall Street, again, and in huge measure, the temperature is rising.

Congress wants a brake on salaries, some kind of guarantee that Paulson's pals won't simply load up the truck with billions in bonuses again, this time funded by Ma and Pa Kettle.

The four biggest investment banks on Wall Street, which included Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, shelled out $US30 billion in bonuses last year. Lehman just went under and Bear Stearns was bailed out earlier in the year.

While pushing through his emergency deal, Paulson says he wants to defer the debate on salaries. Someone should take him aside and tell him, "Pal, it's over''. The moral and philosophical underpinning for $US50 million salaries is gone, let alone $US10 million salaries care of government.

These remuneration structures were struck on the basis of a compact with the market, that is that pay is "at risk'' and should reflect performance. That compact is finished. What is the risk if the losses are nationalised?

And what is the performance? The fancy deals and the structured finance rubbish brewed up by this crew gave the world CDOs, CDOs squared and cubed, RMBS, CLOs, ABS, CDS and all manner of noxious excuses for a fee.

From the sub-prime to the ridiculous, this orgy of leverage on leverage mimicked in financial centres as far afield as Australia has whipped the world to the edge of recession and destroyed faith in the entire system.

And now here is another $US1 trillion ($US700 billion is just for starters) to add to Bush's $US9.6 trillion national debt. Where will the money come from? The issue of Treasury bonds. Who will buy them?

Good question. Anyone for some bonds in an entity which can't pay off its debt but has just taken a trillion dollars worth of delinquent assets on its balance sheet?

The US dollar has been sinking thanks to the daunting prospect of a bond market deluged with bits of paper nobody wants: more US Government debt. The more paper on issue the lower the price.

Either the US defaults on its obligations  an outcome many  regard as "unthinkable'' or taxes will have to go up. Higher taxes, deeper recession. Thanks Wall Street. 

All this makes it critical that Paulson and his pals demonstrate to the world that they understand the jig is up. The world changes.  

People and pay are central to this understanding. Industrialists or entrepreneurs with their own businesses can pay whatever they like but the failed managers of licensed institutions on corporate welfare can hardly expect a blank cheque from those they have blown up. The contract is finished. Wall Street has not fulfilled its obligations. 

As Paulson tries to shove his plan through in the face of congressional opposition the rewards for failure have already shamed the principal of pay for performance.

Fannie Mae boss Daniel Mudd and his opposite number at Freddie Mac, Richard Syron, walked last month with $US9.43 million in retirement and pension benefits on their way out the door. Failed, sacked and showered with money as their two giant mortgage operations were nationalised.

Lehman Brothers chairman and CEO Richard Fuld picked up $US22 million for 2007, the year  thousands of his staff found themselves on the street. He took $US35 million the year before. 

Merrill Lynch boss John Thain took a $US200 million payout with two offsiders for less than a year's work. Merrill was so close to obsolescence it sold itself to Bank of America for $US50 billion in scrip few days ago just as Lehman was biting the dust.

Thain was given a $US15 million bonus for signing on. Two former Goldman Sachs executives hired by Thain may do even better. Head of global trading, Thomas Montag, has already received a $US39 million bonus since signing on in August. With stock options accelerated by the buyout, he could finish up with $US76 million.
The bank's head of strategy, Peter Kraus, was bestowed with a $US95 million package just to beat what he was on at Goldman.
Paulson himself has shares in Goldman whose value was estimated at $US700 million. He is a direct beneficiary of his own bail-out proposal  blind trust or no blind trust.

On the positive news front, the former head of broken insurance company AIG, Robert Willumstad, voluntarily forfeited a $US22 million severance package after he was giving his marching orders. He was only appointed in June.

 "I prefer not to receive severance while shareholders and employees have lost considerable value in their AIG shares," wrote Willumstad in an email to his successor Edward Liddy.

Goldman boss Lloyd Blanfein took home $US54 million last year and Morgan Stanley's John Mack $US42 million.

The list goes on. Some of the investment bank's hedge funds clients have even been paying themselves more than $US1 billion. 

Regulatory oversight and the ramifications of Bush's tax-cuts-for-the-rich policy alongside his catastrophic jaunt in Iraq have come home to roost.

On top of its $US9.6 trillion national debt, America is heading for its first $US1 trillion deficit this year. Paulson's bailout will add another $US1 trillion to the bill.
America is in trouble.
mwest@fairfax.com.au
BusinessDay

 

 

 

Arctic sea ice at second lowest extent ever recorded

The area of ice at least five years old has fallen by more than half since 1985 and the Northwest and Northeast Passages are now navigable by sea

Sea ice
Sea ice limits ... red shows this year's limit, while yellow shows the average summer extent from 1979 to 2000. Click for a larger version
Arctic sea ice has reached the second lowest extent ever recorded, according to the US national snow and ice centre, and a new map shows how far the 2008 melt has receded compared to the historical average.
The map, produced by Collins, illustrates that the area of ice that is at least five years old has fallen by more than half since 1985. It comes as the Northwest Passage, above north America, and the Northeast Passage, over the top of Russia, are both free of ice for the first time.
"While slightly above the record-low minimum set last year, this season further reinforces the strong negative trend in summer sea ice extent observed during the past 30 years. Before last year, the previous record low for September was set in 2005", said a spokesman for the Snow and Ice center based at the University of Colorado.
A spokesman for WWF International said: "This means two years in a row of record lows. The trend of melting Arctic sea ice is alarming for the rest of the world. The Arctic is a key factor in stabilising the global climate so this is a global problem that demands an immediate and global response."
The daily rate of ice loss usually starts to slow in August as the Arctic begins to cool. But in August 2008, the daily decline rate remained steadily downward and strong.
The average daily ice loss rate for August 2008 was 78,000 square kilometers (30,000 square miles) per day. This was the fastest rate of daily ice loss that scientists had observed since satellite photographs were started in 1979

 

Rubber Dodo award for governor

Sarah Palin may have seen the light - sort of - on climate change but that did not spare her from being singled out yesterday as America's environmental enemy of the year.
The Centre for Biological Diversity awarded Palin its Rubber Dodo award for her insistence - despite evidence to the contrary - that the polar bear population was rising across the Arctic. The Arizona thinktank condemned the Alaska governor as a "global warming denier".
"Governor Palin has waged a deceptive, dangerous, and costly battle against the polar bear," Kieran Suckling, the centre's director, said. "Her position on global warming is so extreme, she makes Dick Cheney look like an Al Gore devotee."
The slap comes less than a week after Palin belatedly admitted the possibility of a human factor in climate change, in her first television interview since she was chosen as John McCain's running mate.
The conversion was followed by further revelations of Palin's tenuous relationship with scientific fact. News reports yesterday said that Palin bought a tanning bed and moved it into the governor's mansion soon after her election. A few months later, in May 2007, she issued a proclamation during skin cancer awareness month urging Alaskans to take preventive measures. "Skin cancer is caused, overwhelmingly, by overexposure to ultraviolet radiation from the sun and from tanning beds," she said in a press release.
McCain had skin cancers removed in 1993 and 2000, and is religious about using sun screen and wearing a hat outdoors.

 

Roll back time to safeguard climate, expert warns

A return to pre-industrial levels of carbon dioxide urged as the only way to prevent the worst impacts of global warming

Scientists may have to turn back time and clean the atmosphere of all man-made carbon dioxide to prevent the worst impacts of global warming, one of Europe's most senior climate scientists has warned.
Professor John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, told the Guardian that only a return to pre-industrial levels of CO2 would be enough to guarantee a safe future for the planet. He said that current political targets to slow the growth in emissions and stabilise carbon levels were insufficient, and that ways may have to be found to actively remove CO2 from the air.
Schellnhuber said: "We have to start pondering that it might not be enough to stabilise carbon levels. We should not rule out that it might be necessary to bring them down again."
Carbon levels have fluctuated over the last few hundred thousand years, but have rarely gone much beyond 280 parts per million (ppm), which is commonly referred to as the pre-industrial concentration. Over the last few centuries, human emissions of greenhouse gases have forced that concentration up as high as 387ppm, and it is rising at more than 2ppm each year.
World governments are currently trying to agree a deal that would restrict emissions and stabilise carbon levels at 450ppm, in an effort to limit global temperatures to 2C warmer than pre-industrial times.
Schellnhuber, who has advised the German government and European Commission on climate, said: "It is a compromise between ambition and feasibility. A rise of 2C could avoid some of the big environmental disasters, but it is still only a compromise."
He said even a small increase in temperature could trigger one of several climatic tipping points, such as methane released from melting permafrost, and bring much more severe global warming.
"It is a very sweeping argument, but nobody can say for sure that 330ppm is safe," he said. "Perhaps it will not matter whether we have 270ppm or 320ppm, but operating well outside the [historic] realm of carbon dioxide concentrations is risky as long as we have not fully understood the relevant feedback mechanisms."
He calls the plan to remove man-made emissions "atmospheric restitution" and has discussed it at recent seminars, but not written it up for a scientific journal. "It's such a bold idea and sounds very desperate," he said.
Schellnhuber said the most severe long-term impact could be sea-level rise. Over several centuries or more, a 1C global rise would correspond to a 15-20m rise in sea level. "Since we have built all our coastal zones for the current sea level we should not change [it] by tens of metres."
If CO2 levels are stabilised over the next decades, he said, then "science fiction" technology could be developed to bring the level down again by 2200. He suggested the large-scale burning of plant material for energy, with the resulting carbon dioxide captured and stored, could reduce CO2 levels by about 50ppm. Other techniques would be needed as well, he said.
Scientists in the US, led by Klaus Lackner at Columbia University, are developing a device that could scrub carbon dioxide from the air using absorbent plastic strips. Richard Branson has promised $25m (£14m) to the inventor of a machine that could take CO2 from the air on a large scale.
Schellnhuber's warning comes as climate experts say current emissions trends show the world is unlikely to stabilise carbon dioxide levels below 650ppm, which could see a 4C rise. Alice Bows and Kevin Anderson, of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of Manchester, say carbon pollution is rising faster than officially admitted. They say emissions would need to peak by 2015 and then decrease by up to 6.5% each year for atmospheric CO2 levels to stabilise at 450ppm.
Even a goal of 650ppm – way above most government projections – would need world emissions to peak in 2020 and then reduce 3% each year. They say this year's G8 pledge to cut global emissions 50% by 2050, in an effort to limit global warming to 2C, has no scientific basis and could lead to "

 

biofuel caused food crisis

Internal World Bank study delivers blow to plant energy drive

Corn used for biofuel
A handful of corn before it is processed. Photograph: Charlie Neibergall/AP


Biofuels have forced global food prices up by 75% - far more than previously estimated - according to a confidential World Bank report obtained by the Guardian.
The damning unpublished assessment is based on the most detailed analysis of the crisis so far, carried out by an internationally-respected economist at global financial body.
The figure emphatically contradicts the US government's claims that plant-derived fuels contribute less than 3% to food-price rises. It will add to pressure on governments in Washington and across Europe, which have turned to plant-derived fuels to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and reduce their dependence on imported oil.
Senior development sources believe the report, completed in April, has not been published to avoid embarrassing President George Bush.
"It would put the World Bank in a political hot-spot with the White House," said one yesterday.
The news comes at a critical point in the world's negotiations on biofuels policy. Leaders of the G8 industrialised countries meet next week in Hokkaido, Japan, where they will discuss the food crisis and come under intense lobbying from campaigners calling for a moratorium on the use of plant-derived fuels.
It will also put pressure on the British government, which is due to release its own report on the impact of biofuels, the Gallagher Report. The Guardian has previously reported that the British study will state that plant fuels have played a "significant" part in pushing up food prices to record levels. Although it was expected last week, the report has still not been released.
"Political leaders seem intent on suppressing and ignoring the strong evidence that biofuels are a major factor in recent food price rises," said Robert Bailey, policy adviser at Oxfam. "It is imperative that we have the full picture. While politicians concentrate on keeping industry lobbies happy, people in poor countries cannot afford enough to eat."
Rising food prices have pushed 100m people worldwide below the poverty line, estimates the World Bank, and have sparked riots from Bangladesh to Egypt. Government ministers here have described higher food and fuel prices as "the first real economic crisis of globalisation".
President Bush has linked higher food prices to higher demand from India and China, but the leaked World Bank study disputes that: "Rapid income growth in developing countries has not led to large increases in global grain consumption and was not a major factor responsible for the large price increases."
Even successive droughts in Australia, calculates the report, have had a marginal impact. Instead, it argues that the EU and US drive for biofuels has had by far the biggest impact on food supply and prices.
Since April, all petrol and diesel in Britain has had to include 2.5% from biofuels. The EU has been considering raising that target to 10% by 2020, but is faced with mounting evidence that that will only push food prices higher.
"Without the increase in biofuels, global wheat and maize stocks would not have declined appreciably and price increases due to other factors would have been moderate," says the report. The basket of food prices examined in the study rose by 140% between 2002 and this February. The report estimates that higher energy and fertiliser prices accounted for an increase of only 15%, while biofuels have been responsible for a 75% jump over that period.
It argues that production of biofuels has distorted food markets in three main ways. First, it has diverted grain away from food for fuel, with over a third of US corn now used to produce ethanol and about half of vegetable oils in the EU going towards the production of biodiesel. Second, farmers have been encouraged to set land aside for biofuel production. Third, it has sparked financial speculation in grains, driving prices up higher.
Other reviews of the food crisis looked at it over a much longer period, or have not linked these three factors, and so arrived at smaller estimates of the impact from biofuels. But the report author, Don Mitchell, is a senior economist at the Bank and has done a detailed, month-by-month analysis of the surge in food prices, which allows much closer examination of the link between biofuels and food supply.
The report points out biofuels derived from sugarcane, which Brazil specializes in, have not had such a dramatic impact.
Supporters of biofuels argue that they are a greener alternative to relying on oil and other fossil fuels, but even that claim has been disputed by some experts, who argue that it does not apply to US production of ethanol from plants.
"It is clear that some biofuels have huge impacts on food prices," said Dr David King, the government's former chief scientific adviser, last night. "All we are doing by supporting these is subsidising higher food prices, while doing nothing to tackle climate change."

 

Raging Wildfire Forces Evacuation

bigsurfire
 AP

BIG SUR, Calif. —  Authorities ordered the remaining residents of this scenic coastal community to leave Wednesday because an out-of-control wildfire, one of hundreds in California, had jumped a fire line and was threatening more homes.
Flames raged in the hills above and ash fell from orange skies as evacuees in packed cars streamed north along Highway 1, the only major road out of Big Sur. Sheriff's deputies told residents they needed to leave the area by late afternoon.
"The fire is just a big raging animal right now," said Darby Marshall, spokesman for the Monterey County Office of Emergency Services.
Photos from the California firefight
The blaze near Big Sur is one of more than 1,100 wildfires, mostly ignited by lightning, that have scorched more than 770 square miles and destroyed 64 homes and buildings across northern and central California since June 20, according to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection.
New mandatory evacuation notices were issued Wednesday for a 31-mile stretch along Highway 1. Authorities have closed a total of 25 miles of the scenic roadway, blocking access to popular resorts, restaurants, shops and art galleries that attract tourists from around the world.
The blaze had destroyed 16 homes and charred about 81 square miles of forest since it was started by lightning on June 21 in the Los Padres National Forest. It was only about 3 percent contained and officials told evacuees at a public meeting Wednesday evening that they didn't expect full containment until the end of the month.
The new evacuation notice means that all of the roughly 850 residents who live along the Big Sur coast from Andrew Molera State Park to Limekiln State Park have been ordered to leave, Marshall said.
Janna Fournier, a Big Sur resident for eight years, was heading back to her house to retrieve artwork and rescue her pet tarantula.
"I feel sad for the wilderness and the people who lost their homes," Fournier said. "We chose to live in a wilderness among all this beauty, so I know there's that chance you always take."
Helicopters hauling large containers of water droned loudly overhead as Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and the head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, R. David Paulison, visited Big Sur on Wednesday.
"This is a very dangerous fire right now because of the wind and because of how dry things are and how early in the year it is," Paulison said in an interview. "If people evacuate like they're told to, we shouldn't lose any lives. ... My only concern is that people don't take it seriously enough."
Federal fire managers predict an increase in severe wildfire activity in Northern California through October because of the unusually hot, dry weather and scant rain.
In Southern California, a fire in the southern extension of the Los Padres National Forest north of Santa Barbara caused mandatory evacuations of about 45 people in the foothills of the Santa Ynez Mountains.
Officials said the fire had burned 1,200 acres of rough terrain by Wednesday evening.
About 150,000 Southern California Edison customers in Goleta and Santa Barbara were without electricity shortly after 7 p.m. when thick smoke forced the shutdown of power transmission lines, utility spokeswoman Lois Pitter Bruce said. Power has been restored to about half of the affected customers.
Santa Barbara city fire Battalion Chief Christopher Blair said the power lines were "putting a light show on the hill" as they shot sparks and lights blinked on and off.
In the Sequoia National Forest east of Bakersfield, crews struggled to contain a 13,500-acre blaze. Powerful gusts and choking smoke traveling up the steep canyons hampered their progress, and residents of neighboring towns were ordered to evacuate.
Rough terrain in the Santa Ynez area hampered firefighters, said Santa Barbara County spokesman William Boyer. "It's mostly an aerial battle," he said.
Elsewhere, a wildfire threatened 15 homes and the Okanogan tribal bingo casino near Okanogan, Wash., and some residents had been evacuated, said Ron Bowen of the state fire marshal's office. The blaze had covered 1,500 acres — just over 2 square miles — and the state sent people and equipment to help Bureau of Indian Affairs firefighters, officials said.
Firefighters near Crown King, Ariz., were hacking away at brush and trees and burning back land near the town on Wednesday to try to quell a blaze that had burned nearly 12 square miles of land.

 

Go sustainable to survive the crunch

Will recession force people to ditch good environmental habits? It shouldn't: going green is the best solution to a financial squeeze
All comments (14)

Over the last five years we have witnessed what I describe as a "greenrush". Businesses and consumers alike – one driven by the other – have sought to become more environmentally and socially responsible, with varying degrees of practical and perceived success.
However, today, as we sit on our forest stewardship council-certified wooden chairs, on the verge of a recession, we find ourselves asking whether this trend can survive. As the prices of many everyday items spiral out of control, are consumers now set to "dump values for value"? The answer is both yes, and no.
In the last decade, public awareness of the key sustainability issues of our generation has risen as has public perception of the power of big business. Ten years of mega-mergers, each more substantial than the next, have done little to alter this perception. The new breed of behemoth brands and businesses has been at the forefront of the greenrush; desperate to prove to consumers and regulators that big does not necessarily equate to bad. This behaviour, coupled with the invasive transparency of the digital revolution, has resulted in an unprecedented growth in public expectation of business.
By enthusiastically showing that they can be part of the solution, businesses have inadvertently opened Pandora's box. There can be no going back.
Today's consumers want more from business, and following an unprecedented period of economic growth, they have become unaccustomed to compromise. They are looking for value, but they are also looking for authenticity, transparency and responsibility. As a recession takes hold, it's true that consumers may themselves be willing to compromise, but they are unlikely to react sympathetically if businesses and brands try the same trick.
As consumers get used to questioning what they spend their hard earned money on, they will place businesses under an unprecedented level of scrutiny. Ironically, in doing so they may inadvertently find themselves making some fundamentally more sustainable choices. This is certainly true in the automotive market where consumers are currently downshifting from large 4x4s to more economical vehicles in their droves.
Throughout the recent greenrush a fundamental misunderstanding had become established in the consumer mindset – namely that buying products and services that have a lower environmental impact is costly and therefore a luxury. This is a direct result of the premium pricing strategy that many businesses have adopted, and the lack of easily accessible and credible information on environmental impact.
This misunderstanding is fundamentally wrong on a number of levels.
Firstly, there is the obvious point that in general, consuming less equates to less environmental impact. This is the paradox of environmental consumerism. And then there is the observation that products that are more environmentally friendly tend to have used (and use) fewer resources than their conventional counterparts, and should therefore be cheaper to buy or run.
Following the principles of environmental efficiency enables us to do more with less. I can't think of a better message during a downturn. Smart businesses, governments and individuals will seek out efficiency and the competitive advantage that it brings.
In the short term, there will be a number of unsavoury consequences. For example, as the oil price soars perhaps to the $200 mark within the next year, businesses like Shell and BP will seek to exploit hard-to-extract oil resources like Canada's carbon-heavy tar sands. But in the long-term this trend will be self-defeating: it will act only to stabilise oil prices at a high level, while simultaneously increasing the economic viability of alternatives. The investment that oil majors are making in unconventional reserves is only viable if the oil price remains high. Big oil will very soon have a vested interest in maintaining a price that will ultimately lead to a decisive shift towards renewable energy.
From a corporate perspective, there is no doubt that many shortsighted businesses will stop, or even reverse, investment in sustainability and corporate social responsibility initiatives. But I don't view this as a serious cause for concern – instead, I argue that it could and should be viewed as a bonus. We have all had more than enough of greenwash.
Sustainability will simply enter a new, and more robust, phase of its development. A recession is likely to foster a more genuine sustainability, removing inefficient and vacuous programmes, and leaving the most effective and authentic in their place.
Although an economic downturn will have many negative consequences, the pain won't last forever. It's my contention that those businesses that use the time to lay reputational and practical foundations for success, by working on relevant issues that matter to real people, will be those that emerge with real competitive advantage when the downturn lifts.

 

07/01/2008

Operation Musashi – Designed for Controversy
Commentary by Captain Paul Watson
Founder and President of Sea Shepherd Conservation Society
seashepherd2009 I knew that when I chose the name for our next Antarctic campaign to defend the whales that it would be controversial. That was the point.
Some critics have suggested that I have foolishly named our next campaign to Antarctica as Operation Musashi without understanding who Musashi was.
They are wrong!
Apparently some people seem to think that I was ignorant of the legend of Miyamoto Musashi, and specifically of the famous woodcut depicting him slaying a whale with his sword.
Why would I choose a whale killer as a symbol for our campaign to protect and defend whales?
I will tell you why.
First I have read the biographies of Miyamoto Musashi and I used his Book of Five Rings, along with Sun Tzu’s Art of War in writing my book Earthforce! – The Earth Warrior’s Guide to Strategy.
Musashi may very well be depicted as slaying a whale with his sword but there is no evidence that he actually slew a whale. Musashi is the greatest legendary warrior in Japanese history and legends have a tendency to be embellished. St. Patrick did not in actual fact drive the snakes out of Ireland – they were never there to be driven out. St. George did not literally slay a dragon, and William Wallace despite Mel Gibson’s efforts never met either Robert the Bruce or the Princess of Wales.
The woodcut of Musashi killing a whale was created by the artist Utagawa Kuniyoshi (1798-1861) over four hundred years after the death of the legendary Samurai warrior.
The work was done sometime between 1847 and 1852.
This is quite interesting because it coincides with the publication of Moby Dick by Herman Melville in 1851.
In the woodcut, Musashi appears like Ahab.
I have always felt that Ahab was the most sympathetic character in Moby Dick because he was the one man who considered the whale to be equal to man and thus his rage was directed at Moby Dick motivated by desire for revenge at the loss of his leg. Starbuck by contrast dismisses Moby Dick as a dumb beast. Ahab knew better.
That was why in 1976, the Greenpeace campaign to protect whales was named Project Ahab by Robert Hunter. I sailed on that voyage as 1st Officer and Hunter often referred to us as Ahab’s Children. Hunter understood that we had a duty to reverse the bad karma of our ancestors for killing whales by saving them in the present.
But more interesting yet is the fact that Moby Dick was based on the legend of Mocha Dick, a real whale who lived in the early part of the 19th Century and who had slain numerous whalers. His name was feared throughout the Pacific Ocean and the stories of this great warrior whale had indeed reached Japan through the trade routes with the Dutch.
It would be reasonable to assume that a Japanese artist like Kuniyoshi would have resurrected Musashi the hero to subdue this new “monster.” Legends are like modern comic book heroes and heroes are often used in a revisionist manner to entertain and to dramatize current events.    
Whaling was not a part of Musashi’s reality while he lived and I highly doubt that he ever ate whale meat because he was a vegetarian.
Musashi was a man of simple tastes. He was not an eater of meat. He grew his own food and writes of his efforts to do so claiming that the challenges of farming required the discipline of a warrior.
Could Musashi have slain a whale with his sword? Not likely in a culture and a time where few were inclined nor permitted by law to venture onto the sea. Could he have jumped upon a swimming whale and stabbed it repeatedly with his sword? Again not likely and why would he have done so?
If Musashi did slay a whale then he would have done so out of compassion and such a killing would have been a mercy slaying of a beached and dying whale. From what I know of Musashi, he would have indeed allowed his sword to be used to relieve suffering.
Musashi did not kill thoughtlessly nor needlessly and he did not participate in the destruction of nature’s beauty.  And the one thing that Musashi distained more than anything else were the politicians and the bureaucrats of his day.
It must be remembered that Miyamoto Musashi was an outlaw, the Robin Hood and the Jesse James of his era and his country.
As an Outlaw his approach was that of a pirate and as a man who had no use for materialism, he was a pirate warrior for truth and self awareness and his enemy was – the system. He always chose the underdog and notably he fought on the losing side – he opposed the Tokugawa dynasty. He was no lap dog to the Shogun. He was his own man.
I choose Musashi because of his specific strategy of the two-fold way of pen and sword. In other words, victory in the campaign to end Japanese whaling can be found in a combination of high seas dramatic confrontations and media exposure of these confrontations that expose the crimes of the whalers to the international public.
I also choose Musashi because he is someone most Japanese are familiar with. He is also the most anti-Japanese, Japanese hero in Japanese history. Musashi thought for himself and was an individual non-conformist in a culture of rigid conformity. He was a seeker of truth and knowledge. He rejected the position of sword-master to the Shogun of Japan because he was not a servant to any man but was a servant to both nature and to the discipline of his arts.
In choosing Musashi I selected a name that would reflect respect upon Japanese culture and thus would expose the contradictions of the bureaucrats who seek to use nationalism to justify their illegal international crimes.
Musashi represented the true characteristics of the Japanese people when not controlled by government and bureaucracy – the virtues of compassion, the search for truth, and respect for nature.
I believe that Musashi would be on our ship if he were here today just as “Yoko” was on our last campaign.
“Yoko” had come from Japan because she was repulsed by the horror of the Japanese slaughter of the whales and the dolphins. It took great courage to join our crew in our campaign against the Japanese whaling fleet. It took courage for her to speak to the Japanese media about the truth of whaling – she was a true daughter of the spirit of Musashi.
She masked her identity to protect her family from harassment in Japan and we called her Yoko Musashi.
The Sea Shepherd Conservation Society is not anti-Japanese. We share some very similar values with the tradition of the Samurai.
Samurai means to serve. We, the warriors of Sea Shepherd serve the cause of the whales. The way of the Samurai is the resolute acceptance of death and in this there is no doubt that Sea Shepherd campaigns have seen crewmembers take awesome risks to protect marine species.
My crew demonstrates the courage of the Samurai and they respect the fact that our duty is to serve our clients first and foremost and we serve the whales in this campaign.
And in this approach we are students of Miyamoto Musashi and I believe that Musashi’s strategies are part of the key towards attaining victory over the enemies of the whale, the enemies of nature and the enemies of our future.
As the legendary Lakota warrior Crazy Horse would have said, “hoka hey.”
Operation Musashi will be the most aggressive and most effective campaign against illegal Japanese whaling ever and we intend to sink the Japanese fleet economically and we intend to save the lives of as many whales as we can and we intend to do it with the sword of compassion meaning we will cause no harm in our efforts to prevent harm.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Japan to suspend humpback hunt until 2009

Japan is expected to agree to suspend hunting humpback whales for at least another year, the head of the International Whaling Commission (IWC) says.

IWC chair Bill Hogarth said he had convinced the Japanese not to include humpbacks in their scientific whaling program until at least 2009.

Dr Hogarth said allowing the Japanese fleet to include the species in its quota would have further split an already deeply-divided IWC.

"I think Japan ... will honour that until 2009 or get to the point when we do make bargains or don't make bargains," Dr Hogarth said.

Japan had planned to include 50 humpbacks in last summer's hunt but backed down after strong condemnation from the global community.

Australian Environment Minister Peter Garrett, who has arrived in Chile for the IWC meeting, plans to present a proposal to have the commission focus on the conservation of whales through non-lethal scientific research.

"What I will be emphasising is Australia's clear views on opposing the killing of whales in the Southern Ocean in the name of science and advocating a well researched proposal to modernise the IWC by introducing conservation management plans for whales, developing collaborative research partnerships and bringing about an end to so-called scientific whaling," Mr Garrett said.

Mr Garrett said the federal government would not compromise over the killing of whales for commercial or scientific purposes.

"Australia hasn't come to the whaling commission to compromise at all," Mr Garrett said.

"We are absolutely strongly of the view that we do not want to see the commercial exploitation of whale populations ... This commission needs to concentrate on the science of conservation, not on the science of killing whales, and that is the view we are taking to this meeting this week."

Mr Garrett said that in order to resolve these issues the IWC must be reformed into a legitimate scientific body.

"Australia comes to this IWC with the clearest of views and that is we need to reform an organisation which has not been able to satisfactorily resolve any of these issues in the past," he said.

"All that's happened is that we've had a sequence of arguments and acrimony and failed process.

"If we're serious about the whaling commission being a body that resolves these issues then it needs to be based in legitimate, grounded and agreed science."

AAP

Bush to Congress: Embrace energy exploration now

By H. JOSEF HEBERT, Associated Press Writer
WASHINGTON - With gasoline topping $4 a gallon, President Bush urged Congress on Wednesday to lift its long-standing ban on offshore oil and gas drilling, saying the United States needs to increase its energy production. Democrats quickly rejected the idea.
"There is no excuse for delay," the president said in a statement in the Rose Garden. With the presidential election just months away, Bush made a pointed attack on Democrats, accusing them of obstructing his energy proposals and blaming them for high gasoline costs. His proposal echoed a call by Republican presidential candidate John McCain to open the Continental Shelf for exploration
"Families across the country are looking to Washington for a response," Bush said.
Congressional Democrats were quick to reject the push for lifting the drilling moratorium, saying oil companies already have 68 million acres offshore waters under lease that are not being developed.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called Bush's proposals "another page from (an)... energy policy that was literally written by the oil industry — give away more public resources."
Sen. Barack Obama, the Democrats' presumptive presidential nominee, rejected lifting the drilling moratorium that has been supported by a succession of presidents for nearly two decades.
"This is not something that's going to give consumers short-term relief and it is not a long-term solution to our problems with fossil fuels generally and oil in particular," said Obama. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, lumping Bush with McCain, accused them of staging a "cynical campaign ploy" that won't help lower energy prices.
"Despite what President Bush, John McCain and their friends in the oil industry claim, we cannot drill our way out of this problem," Reid said. "The math is simple: America has just three percent of the world's oil reserves, but Americans use a quarter of its oil."
Bush said offshore drilling could yield up to 18 billion barrels of oil over time, although it would take years for production to start. Bush also said offshore drilling would take pressure off prices over time.
There are two prohibitions on offshore drilling, one imposed by Congress and another by executive order signed by Bush's father in 1990. Bush's brother, Jeb, fiercely opposed offshore drilling when he was governor of Florida. What the president now proposes would rescind his father's decision — but the president took the position that Congress has to act first and then he would follow behind.
Asked why Bush doesn't act first and lift the ban, Keith Hennessey, the director of the president's economic council, said: "He thinks that probably the most productive way to work with this Congress is to try to do it in tandem."
Before Bush spoke, the House Appropriations Committee postponed a vote it had scheduled for Wednesday on legislation doing the opposite of what the president asked — extending Congress' ban on offshore drilling. Lawmakers said they wanted to focus on a disaster relief bill for the battered Midwest.
Bush also proposed opening the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for drilling, lifting restrictions on oil shale leasing in the Green River Basin of Colorado, Utah and Wyoming and easing the regulatory process to expand oil refining capacity.
With Americans deeply pessimistic about the economy, Bush tried to put on the onus on Congress. He acknowledged that his new proposals would take years to have a full effect, hardly the type of news that will help drivers at the gas stations now. The White House says no quick fix exists.
Still, Bush said Congress was obstructing progress — and directly contributing to consumers' pain at the pump.
"I know the Democratic leaders have opposed some of these policies in the past," Bush said. "Now that their opposition has helped drive gas prices to record levels, I ask them to reconsider their positions."
Bush said that if congressional leaders head home for their July 4 recess without taking action, they will need to explain why "$4 a gallon gasoline is not enough incentive for them to act. And Americans will rightly ask how high gas prices have to rise before the Democratic-controlled Congress will do something about it."
Bush said restrictions on offshore drilling have become "outdated and counterproductive."
In a nod to the environmental arguments against drilling, Bush said technology has come a long way. These days, he said, oil exploration off the coastline can be done in a way that "is out of sight, protects coral reefs and habitats, and protects against oil spills."
Congressional Democrats, joined by some GOP lawmakers from coastal states, have opposed lifting the prohibition that has barred energy companies from waters along both the East and West coasts and in the eastern Gulf of Mexico for 27 years.
On Monday, McCain made lifting the federal ban on offshore oil and gas development a key part of his energy plan. McCain said states should be allowed to pursue energy exploration in waters near their coasts and get some of the royalty revenue.
Obama retorted that the Arizona senator had flip-flopped on that issue.

Mississippi River levees break, more at risk

By Nick Carey

FORT MADISON, Iowa (Reuters) - The swollen Mississippi River ran over the top of at least nine more levees

on Wednesday as floodwaters swallowed up more U.S. farmland, feeding inflation fears as corn prices soared to a record high.

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said a levee broke at 1 a.m. CDT near Meyer, Illinois, leaving more than 17,000 acres of prime farmland at risk from the floodwaters.

The rising river also ran over the tops of eight more levees north of St. Louis overnight, bringing the total number of compromised levees on the most important U.S. inland waterway to 19.

"They were lower level agricultural levees," said spokesman Alan Dooley. "We're also watching another seven levees that may overtop in the next couple of days ... all agricultural levees."

The slow-rolling disaster, the worst U.S. Midwest floods for 15 years, has flooded vast sections of the U.S. farm belt and forced tens of thousands of people from their homes.

Estimates are that 5 million acres have been ruined and will not produce a crop this year. That has sent U.S. grain and livestock soaring, along with food price inflation worries.

The Army Corps of Engineers, which operates U.S. river locks and dams, on Tuesday identified 26 levees protecting about 285,000 acres of prime cropland that were already under high water or were at high risk of flooding. Another seven were seen as potential risks.

"Those levees were designed for a storm not the size that that has hit for now," U.S. Army Corps Brigadier General Michael Walsh told NBC's "Today" show.

"We do need to work on our infrastructure in this country and certainly levees as well," he said.

Drier weather since Sunday has helped the worst-flooded areas of Iowa, Illinois and Wisconsin to dry out. But as rivers have receded, the run-off has swollen the south-bound rush of the Mississippi, leading to more flooding and stress on levees.

WEATHER WATCH

Weather forecasters said thunderstorms may return to Iowa and Illinois starting on Thursday.

Iowa and Illinois usually produce one-third of all U.S. corn and soybeans. So expected smaller crops from the main sources of livestock feed, renewable fuels like ethanol, starch and edible oils has sent commodity prices to record highs.

Chicago Board of Trade corn prices, the world benchmark, hit a record high of $8.07 a bushel in overnight trading.

Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated or forced from their homes, with the worst flooding striking Iowa. Evacuations have also affected parts of Indiana, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Minnesota.

(Additional reporting by Lisa Shumaker, Peter Bohan and Christine Stebbins in Chicago; Debbie Charles in Washington; Writing by Andrew Stern; Editing by Frances Kerry)

 

 

No sign of floods receding

An aerial image of downtown shows flood-affected areas.
An aerial image of downtown shows flood-affected areas.
Photo: AFP
June 14, 2008

Rising flood waters swamped the central US river city today, forcing residents to flee their homes and officials to abandon city hall amid a wider crisis that has left 20 dead.
"We've been in a major flood fight for about 10 days now," Bret Voorhees, spokesman for the Iowa Homeland Security and Emergency Management, told AFP.
"Nine of our major rivers are at record or new record levels. We're designating it a 500-year flood."
The state capital Des Moines, population 200,000, urged residents living within the "500-year flood zone" to evacuate as the Des Moines River was expected to rise to near the top of the levee.
A total of 15 lives have been lost in Iowa and thousands were left homeless, Voorhees said, while 10 counties are under evacuation orders and 83 of the state's 99 counties have been declared disaster areas.
Two people were killed by floodwaters in Indiana and two delivery people drowned Sunday when their car fell off a washed out road into a flooded creek, the National Weather Service said.
Another person was killed Wednesday when a tornado ripped through the town of Chapman, Kansas.
The disaster began when a major tornado struck on May 25. It was followed by heavy rains, with more thunderstorms expected this weekend, and on Wednesday another twister touched ground in western Iowa, killing four boy scouts.
Serious flooding has hit the entire region, including parts of South Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas and was expected to continue through next week.
At least 53 locations in those states were expected to see "major flooding" in the next two days, the National Weather Service said.
The river in Cedar Rapids crested at 9.5 metres and was not expected to return to its previous record depth of six metres until later next week, it said. Meanwhile, more rain was forecast for the weekend.
"We're trapped with nowhere to go," said Gloria Hines, who lives about a dozen blocks from where the river spilled over in Cedar Rapids.
The floodwaters had not reached her home yet, but the street was made impassable by water gushing out of storm drains. A few small fish spilled out of the contaminated sewage ways.
Torrential rains yesterday left downriver towns preparing for the worst and the National Guard called in to help an army of volunteers with sandbagging and rescue efforts.
"Our predictions of a 100-year flood, or greater, are really coming to pass," said Iowa City Mayor Regenia Bailey. "The flows will continue to increase."
A boat ride through Cedar Rapid's water-logged downtown saw every organ of government crippled by the floods.
The library, the federal building and city hall were all filled with water, which rippled through basements and pulled files and furniture out through the windows.
Inmates in the county jail were evacuated along with their mattresses.
On one building, clutching the cats that nearly cost them their lives, perched Charles Schmitt, 19, and girlfriend Kayla Lambreacht.
They had fled their nearby home when the basement filled with water. But when they stopped to take a picture, one of the cats jumped into the river, prompting Schmitt to go in after it, and his girlfriend to follow.
Clutching two storage bins that Lambreacht tossed into the water, they floated for 45 minutes before they found a building to climb into.
"We kept calling 911 but the phone went out," Schmitt said. "We were up there for two hours."
AFP

Six dead, 100 hurt as quake strikes Japan

June 14, 2008 - 11:15PM

A powerful earthquake tore up hills, fields and roads in northern Japan on Saturday, killing at least six people, injuring around 100 more and trapping guests at a levelled resort hotel.
The earthquake, which measured 7.2 on the Richter scale, also caused a small leak of radioactive water from a power plant, although the company said there was no cause for public concern.
Japan deployed nearly 800 troops to the largely agricultural region in Miyagi and Iwate prefectures, where military helicopters plucked to safety residents, many of them elderly, who were suddenly cut off from the world.
Landslides snapped highways, which abruptly turned into cliffs of falling mud and dirt, and clogged rivers to create a series of "quake lakes."
"I was driving my car when the earthquake hit," said Makoto Katsurashima, 72. "I just turned white as I saw the road disappear before my eyes a few metres (yards) away."
The quake, which struck just eight kilometres (five miles) underground, was strong enough to shake buildings in Tokyo, 350 kilometres (220 miles) to the south, and was followed by around 160 aftershocks.
Dozens of residents flocked in the evening to makeshift shelters set up in public buildings, either out of fright or because power and running water were cut off to their homes.
"The top priority is to save lives," Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda said in Tokyo as he dispatched the military and his disaster minister. "We're doing our best in rescue operations."
Six people were killed and another 90 were injured, officials said, while public broadcaster NHK put the number of injured at 162.
The dead included two construction workers, aged 53 and 54, caught in a landslide, with their bodies retrieved hours afterwards.
"One of them for a while hung onto a tree, but then he fell with the tree," said an official at the construction project.
The other dead included a 60-year-old man who rushed out of his home in panic and was hit by a truck.
Twelve people remained missing including three foreigners, whose nationalities were unclear, who were out camping.
The earthquake tore to pieces a hot-spring resort, which turned into a pile of wooden rubble with access cut off by a landslide.
Five people were rescued from the Komanoyu hotel in a remote scenic forest, two of them with broken bones, but several remained missing, police said.
Ayako Inomata, whose daughter worked there, said she took a helicopter to the resort hotel and found that 31 customers and workers were safe.
"I was so relieved because today I couldn't get through on her mobile or on her landline. But my daughter and her colleagues and other customers there looked OK," Inomata said.
Kyoichi Suzuki, a 50-year-old beekeeper, said he was just 100 metres away from a landslide that buried a car.
"I escaped by a hair's breadth," he said with relief afterwards. "If I had been in that car, I would have been killed."
Japan endures about 20 percent of the world's powerful earthquakes and has built an infrastructure intended to withstand the impact of tremors.
Tokyo Electric Power Co. said that 14.8 litres (3.8 gallons) of water came out of a pool in which radioactive equipment is stored at a reactor in Fukushima prefecture, but the company said there were no risks to the public.
Japan's land ministry said around five "quake lakes" were formed when landslides blocked rivers. But it said it did not expect dangers from the lakes, which posed a major risk after last month's devastating earthquake in China's Sichuan province.
Masanori Oikawa, a local official in Oshu, said that people in his town were responding calmly, even though they were in shock.
"The jolt was so strong that I couldn't stand without holding onto the wall," he said. "We saw electric poles swinging and the walls of homes were damaged."
"We're used to earthquakes, but this was really scary."

 

Scores dead in China mine blast

Miners wait for the news of their colleagues trapped in the Anxin Coal Mining Co. Ltd. in Xiaoyi, Shanxi.
Miners wait for the news of their colleagues trapped in the Anxin Coal Mining Co. Ltd. in Xiaoyi, Shanxi.

June 14, 2008 - 12:31PM

Twenty seven workers have been found dead while seven remain trapped after an explosion at a coal mine in northern China, state media said today.
Some 100 rescuers have been searching for the workers since the blast at the mine in Shanxi province, one of China's main coal-producing areas, on yesterday morning, Xinhua news agency said.
Twenty seven bodies have since been found while efforts to find the seven others still missing were ongoing, the agency said.
Fifteen workers managed to escape by themselves after the explosion at the mine in Xiaoyi city, and nine were pulled out alive by rescuers, it said.
China's coal mines are among the most dangerous in the world, with safety standards often ignored in the quest for profits and the drive to meet sky-rocketing Chinese demand for coal.
The mine was operating with all required licences the country's work safety administration said on its website yesterday without providing further details.
Coal is the source of about 70 per cent of China's energy.
Nearly 3800 lives were lost in Chinese coal mines last year, down 20 per cent from the year before, according to official figures.
However, many independent labour groups suspect the actual death toll is much higher, saying many accidents are covered up to prevent costly shutdowns and legal action.
AFP

 

 

BBC uncovers lost Iraq billions

By Jane Corbin
BBC News


Henry Waxman
Waxman: "It may well turn out to be the largest war profiteering in history."

A BBC investigation estimates that around $23bn (£11.75bn) may have been lost, stolen or just not properly accounted for in Iraq.


The BBC's Panorama programme has used US and Iraqi government sources to research how much some private contractors have profited from the conflict and rebuilding.
A US gagging order is preventing discussion of the allegations.
The order applies to 70 court cases against some of the top US companies.


War profiteering
While Presdient George W Bush remains in the White House, it is unlikely the gagging orders will be lifted.
To date, no major US contractor faces trial for fraud or mismanagement in Iraq.
The president's Democratic opponents are keeping up the pressure over war profiteering in Iraq.
Henry Waxman, who chairs the House committee on oversight and government reform, said: "The money that's gone into waste, fraud and abuse under these contracts is just so outrageous, it's egregious.
"It may well turn out to be the largest war profiteering in history."
In the run-up to the invasion, one of the most senior officials in charge of procurement in the Pentagon objected to a contract potentially worth $7bn that was given to Halliburton, a Texan company which used to be run by Dick Cheney before he became vice-president.
Unusually only Halliburton got to bid - and won.


Missing billions
The search for the missing billions also led the programme to a house in Acton in west London where Hazem Shalaan lived until he was appointed to the new Iraqi government as minister of defence in 2004.


Judge Radhi Hamza al-Radhi
Judge Radhi al Radhi: "I believe these people are criminals."

He and his associates siphoned an estimated $1.2bn out of the ministry. They bought old military equipment from Poland but claimed for top-class weapons.
Meanwhile they diverted money into their own accounts.
Judge Radhi al-Radhi of Iraq's Commission for Public Integrity investigated.
He said: "I believe these people are criminals.
"They failed to rebuild the Ministry of Defence, and as a result the violence and the bloodshed went on and on - the murder of Iraqis and foreigners continues and they bear responsibility."
Mr Shalaan was sentenced to two jail terms but he fled the country.
He said he was innocent and that it was all a plot against him by pro-Iranian MPs in the government.
There is an Interpol arrest warrant out for him but he is on the run - using a private jet to move around the globe.
He stills owns commercial properties in the Marble Arch area of London.

Panorama: Daylight Robbery will be on BBC One at 9pm on Tuesday 10 June 2008.

 

A home near  Lake Delton in Wisconsin collapses as flood waters breach the bank on  Monday. Three houses were washed away.
Floodwaters wash away homes as freak storms Hit

A home near Lake Delton in Wisconsin collapses as flood waters breach the bank on Monday. Three houses were washed away.
Photo: AP

June 10, 2008 - 10:01AM

Floodwater washed away three houses and threatened dams in Wisconsin as military crews joined desperate sandbagging operations to hold back Indiana streams surging toward record levels.
The East Coast simmered through temperatures climbing toward the century mark.
Ten deaths were blamed on stormy weekend weather, most in the Midwest.
Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle declared an emergency for 29 counties and President Bush on Sunday declared a major disaster in 29 Indiana counties.
Iowa Governor Chet Culver said nearly a third of his state's 99 counties need federal help.
Rivers in several parts of the Midwest swelled with the runoff from heavy weekend rainfall, topped by the 11 inches that fell Saturday in Indiana.
Water was pouring over the top of Wisconsin's Dell Creek Dam on Lake Delton in Sauk County, and had swept away three houses, county emergency management director Jeff Jelinek said. He was not sure whether there were any injuries, but said people had been told to evacuate the area, which is about 50 miles north of Madison.
A couple of thousand people in Columbia County, about 30 miles north of Madison, were urged to evacuate below the Wyocena and Pardeeville dams, said Pat Beghin, a spokesman for the county's emergency management.
The Wyocena Dam's spillway had washed out, and workers were sandbagging to try to save the dam, Beghin said. The Pardeeville dam was overflowing, creating a risk for the nearly 10,000 people downstream in Portage, he said.
The Upper Spring Dam in Palmyra was failing, state emergency management officials said. But only one house in the rural area was in danger, Palmyra town chairman Stewart Calkins said.
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources engineers were being sent across the state to survey other dams.
Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle had declared states of emergency for 30 counties. At least 130 inmates from the Department of Corrections were helping sandbag in nine areas, according to the state emergency management. The Red Cross had 11 shelters open across the state and was preparing a 12th, officials said.
A new storm system was headed toward the Ohio Valley from the southern Plains on Monday and the weather service posted a tornado warning for south-central Illinois and a severe thunderstorm warning for Indiana.
While the Midwest fought to cope with flooding, the East was locked in a sauna. Heat advisories were posted Monday from the Carolinas to Connecticut, with temperatures expected to hit 100 from Georgia to New York, the National Weather Service said. Raleigh-Durham, N.C., hit a record 101 on Sunday.
"It's just crazy. ... It's really, really hot," said New York City street worker Jessica Pena as she swept a midtown Manhattan street at around 8:15 a.m. The temperature already was in the upper 80s.
AP

 

Aftershocks threaten swollen China 'quake lake'

June 10, 2008 - 8:17AM
Powerful aftershocks continued to threaten the stability of a swollen "quake lake" in southwest China Monday, amid urgent efforts to drain its rising waters to prevent a flood downstream.
A 5.0-magnitude aftershock rattled the area of quake-devastated Sichuan province where the lake is located on Monday, US seismologists reported. An aftershock of the same strength struck the region on Sunday.
A local official in the city of Mianyang, not far from the Tangjiashan lake, said the aftershocks had so far not affected the unstable body of water.
But state-run Xinhua news agency said Sunday's tremor had caused "massive landslides" on nearby mountains, and state television said Monday that the situation remained "highly dangerous," with hundreds of thousands of people living downstream.
The lake has become one of the most pressing issues in the aftermath of the May 12 quake that struck mountainous Sichuan, killing 69,142 and leaving 17,551 others missing, according to the latest toll issued Monday.
Millions more have been left homeless by the 8.0-magnitude quake, which triggered huge landslides that blocked rivers and created more than 30 unstable "quake lakes," including the Tangjiashan one on the Jianjiang river.
Soldiers were rushing Monday to clear a third channel to drain water from the lake, the state-run China Daily reported, in a race against time to reduce the risk that it might burst its banks.
Troops began draining water through one hastily dug channel on Saturday to stop the lake from emptying all at once.
"Yesterday's (Sunday) rain and aftershock disrupted our work, but we are working against time to make up for it," Xu Qiangguo, an officer with the police's hydropower force, was quoted by Xinhua as saying.
The water resources ministry said Monday the water level had risen by nearly one metre (three feet) in a 24-hour period -- double the rate of the water flowing out through the drainage channels.
About 6,900 cubic metres of water -- the equivalent of nearly three Olympic-sized swimming pools -- were flowing into the lake every minute, the ministry said.
Troops working at the lake triggered 10 explosions on Monday to accelerate drainage, but only 3,000 cubic metres of water were now flowing out every minute, Xinhua reported.
Torrential rain was forecast for much of southern China over the next few days, but was not expected to affect quake-hit areas of Sichuan, the country's meteorological centre said.
The quake zone was however due to see searing hot temperatures -- unwelcome news for the millions of displaced people living in tents.
Heatstroke and related ailments are bringing increasing numbers of people from the makeshift refugee camps to a field hospital in quake-ravaged Dujiangyan.
"This could be a very big problem as the weather gets hotter," said Zou Hejian, who heads the medical staff at the temporary facility.
Premier Wen Jiabao warned Monday there could be no let up as epidemic prevention work remained a tough task in the quake zone, Xinhua reported.
At a quake relief meeting in Beijing, Wen also urged greater efforts to treat the injured to minimise fatalities and disability, it said.
The government also urged coal mines to "take effective measures" to increase output, Xinhua said Monday, as parts of the country run low following the quake. It said mines forced to close for safety should strive to resume operations as soon as possible.
China's coal industry has been under stress due to shortages this year, a situation worsened by the May 12 quake, which damaged a "considerable" number of hydropower stations, Xinhua said.
Meanwhile, 15 local officials in Sichuan have been dismissed from their posts because they engaged in malpractice in quake relief efforts, Xinhua said late Monday.
The officials were blamed for malfeasance related to the relief efforts, as well as for responding slowly to the disaster, Xinhua said, citing the organisation department of the Communist Party of China's provincial committee.
© 2008 AFP

 

 

Dolphins die in UK mass stranding

At least 21 dolphins have died after becoming stranded in a river in southwest England.

Rescuers believe a pod of about 15 striped dolphins swam up the Percuil River in Cornwall and were beached, and that other dolphins responded to their distress cries.

Rescuers managed to save seven of the stranded mammals and the last two were taken out to sea in stretchers attached to boats. Other dolphins in the pod were prevented from swimming up the river.

While such strandings are relatively common in Australia, they are rare in Britain.

Tony Woodley of British Divers Marine Life Rescue said it was the biggest mass stranding of marine life in Britain for 27 years.

"We haven't seen a stranding anywhere near this scale since 1981, when pilot whales were beached on the east coast. This is extremely rare," he said.

Woodley said the striped dolphins normally did not swim near coasts, but perhaps they had moved in to feed on fish attracted to a large algae bloom.

"Logistically a rescue like this is a minefield. It is very difficult to manage," Woodley said. "You have to get all the dolphins together. If one or two leave, the river system they will just come back to rejoin the main social group."

© 2008 AP

 

NASA Office Is Criticized on Climate Reports

By ANDREW C. REVKIN
Published: June 3, 2008
Two years after James E. Hansen, the leading climate scientist at NASA, and other agency employees described a pattern of distortion and suppression of climate science by political appointees, the agency’s inspector general has concluded that such activities occurred and were “inconsistent” with the law that established the space program 50 years ago.
Across NASA, researchers and career public affairs workers spoke up to alert The New York Times to rising political interference with the flow of science news to the public. A week after The Times' first story, Michael Griffin, the NASA administrator, issued a statement "on scientific openness" to the agency's 19,000 employees saying changes would be made.
In a 48-page report issued on Monday as a result of a request in 2006 by 14 senators, the internal investigative office said the activities appeared limited to the headquarters press office.
No evidence was found showing that officials higher at NASA or in the Bush administration were involved in interfering with the release of climate science information, the report said.
It also credited Michael Griffin, the agency administrator, for swiftly ordering a review and policy changes when the pattern came to light after articles in The New York Times early in 2006.
The report, signed by Kevin H. Winters, assistant inspector general for investigations, criticized what it said was a sustained pattern of activities, largely supervised by senior political appointees, that included muting or withholding news releases on global warming and, at least in Dr. Hansen’s case, limiting a scientist’s interactions with reporters.
“Our investigation,” the report said, “found that during the fall of 2004 through early 2006, the NASA Headquarters Office of Public Affairs managed the topic of climate change in a manner that reduced, marginalized or mischaracterized climate change science made available to the general public.”
The report said most evidence supported contentions that politics was “inextricably interwoven” into operations at the public affairs office in that period and that the pattern was inconsistent with the statutory responsibility to communicate findings widely, “especially on a topic that has worldwide scientific interest.”
A NASA spokesman, Michael Cabbage, said: “The issues mentioned in the inspector general’s report are more than two years old, and after learning of those issues, NASA revised the agency’s policy for disseminating science information.”
Dean Acosta, who was deputy assistant administrator for public affairs at the agency when the problems surfaced, sharply attacked the credibility of the report. Mr. Acosta was appointed by President Bush in 2003 and resigned in 2007.
“My entire career has been dedicated to open and honest communications,” Mr. Acosta, who now is director of communications for the Boeing space-exploration business, wrote in an e-mail message. “The inspector general’s assertions are patently false. The report itself does nothing but raise questions about a three-year investigation that has yielded nothing but flimsy allegations aimed at hard-working public servants.”
Senator Frank R. Lautenberg, the New Jersey Democrat who wrote the request for the inquiry, had a markedly different reaction.
“Global warming is the most serious environmental threat we face, but this report is more evidence that the Bush administration’s appointees have put political ideology ahead of science,” Mr. Lautenberg said in an e-mailed statement. “Our government’s response to global warming must be based on science, and the Bush administration’s manipulation of that information violates the public trust.”
John Schwartz contributed reporting.

 

 

Bid to uncover secrets of pygmy right whale

May 10, 2008

An international team of scientists is trying to unlock some of the secrets of the pygmy right whale at a New Zealand museum.
Very little is known about the creatures because sightings in the wild are unusual, Australian team member Catherine Kemper, of the South Australian Museum, says.

A pygmy whale found beached in the north of New Zealand a year ago is allowing the scientists from Australia, New Zealand and the United States a chance to dissect the species.

Dissection was a good way to learn more about them, Dr Kemper said at Wellington's Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa.

She said pygmy right whales were probably not rare, but it was unusual for specimens to be available for dissection.

"The muscles and bones can tell you a lot about how the animals live," she said.

Scientists have been keen to determine where the animal fits into whale evolution, as it is not thought to be closely related to the right whale.

"One peculiarity is the number of ribs the species has - more numerous than other whale species, some of which are flattened and overlap," said a statement from the museum.

Pygmy right whales are most often found around New Zealand and southern Australia.

They only grow to about 6.5 metres long, making them the smallest baleen (great) whale, and far smaller than right whales, which grow up to 18 metres and can weigh more than 100 tonnes.

AAP

 

 

Whaling action against Japan still possible

Justin Norrie in Tokyo
May 9, 2008
Australia and New Zealand have denied ditching the possibility of legal action to stop Japanese whaling.
Rejecting a report that New Zealand had abandoned the legal route to stop the annual Southern Ocean cull of almost 1000 whales, the countries said it remained an option, although a diplomatic solution remained the preferred course of action.
The New Zealand Conservation Minister, Steve Chadwick, said New Zealand had "examined legal options for taking a case against Japan with great care".
"In the past we have identified obstacles to legal action. That said, New Zealand continues to be open minded about the possibility of taking a case against Japanese whaling," Ms Chadwick said.
On a visit to Tokyo yesterday, the Australian Foreign Affairs Minister, Stephen Smith, said the Government would continue to build a case to take Japan to the International Court of Justice in The Hague over its research whaling program.
But he re-affirmed an undertaking he gave the Japanese Foreign Minister, Masahiko Koumura, that Australia would not "announce or initiate or undertake legal action without letting the Japanese government know that that's the conclusion we've come to".
A Japanese government official said that "a decision to drop this case would be in the interests of all countries involved. It's a groundless case."
The $1 million legal campaign to gather evidence against Japan's scientific whaling program generated considerable friction between the two nations during Japan's annual hunt.
In February footage captured by Australian customs vessel Oceanic Viking, which trailed the Japanese whaling fleet for several weeks, challenged Japan's claims that its whaling methods were humane and efficient.
The Environment Minister, Peter Garrett, stirred resentment in Tokyo when he said he felt sick at seeing photographs of the "indiscriminate killing" of a mother minke whale and its calf.
In response, the director general of the Institute of Cetacean Research in Tokyo, Minoru Morimoto, said the whales were not related and accused the Australian Government of "emotional propaganda".
As tensions mounted thousands of Australians and Japanese traded angry remarks beneath a YouTube video made in Japan, which accused Australia of racism and hypocrisy.
Relations between Canberra and Tokyo were eroded by the efforts of activists aboard environmental ship Sea Shepherd, who hounded Japanese whalers for weeks and on one occasion threw "acid" at whalers aboard Japanese ship the Nisshin Maru. Whalers detained two of the activists for days after they boarded the Japanese ship.
As a result of the harassment the whaling fleet only caught 551 minke whales, compared with the planned catch of 850, and failed to catch any fin whales, despite setting a target of 50.
In an effort to ease tensions, Mr Smith insisted again yesterday that Australia would press on with efforts to reach a "diplomatic solution to this issue" before resorting to legal action. So far Tokyo had given no sign that it intended to make concessions to its annual whaling targets.
The trip to Tokyo, which is the second by Mr Smith this year, is in part an attempt to smooth the way for a hastily-arranged visit by the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, next month. Mr Rudd was pressured into making the trip after criticism, mostly from Australia, that he had snubbed his counter part Yasuo Fukuda by choosing not to include Japan in a 17-day world trip last month.
with AAP

 

 

 

 

 

Stevens: Smoking pot akin to drinking during prohibition


stevensonpotIn his dissent on a recent free-speech case, Justice John Paul Stevens wades into the war-on-drugs debate, comparing modern-day pot smokers with "otherwise law-abiding patrons of bootleggers and speakeasies," during the prohibition era.
Stevens, who the Washington Post notes turned 87 on April 20, said the current climate surrounding the war on drugs "is reminiscent of the opinion that supported the nationwide ban on alcohol consumption when I was a student."
The Supreme Court this week ruled against an Alaska student who displayed a "BONG HiTS 4 JESUS" sign at an event outside his high school, and Stevens wrote the dissent for the four justices who believed the student's free-speech rights should be protected.
"Today the actions of literally millions of otherwise law-abiding users of marijuana, and of the majority of voters in each of the several States that tolerate medicinal uses of the product, lead me to wonder whether the fear of disapproval by those in the majority in silencing opponents of the war on drugs," Stevens wrote.
Most debate over the efficacy of the war on drugs focuses on government crackdowns on users of medical marijuana, for whom the drug eases chronic pain. But in comparing pot smoking to social drinking, Stevens suggests that the drug could be legalized in all cases.
In his opinion, Stevens insists "no one seriously maintains that drug advocacy ... can be prohibited because of its feared consequences." Later, Stevens observes the shift in Americans' views on alcohol since the 1920s and 30s.
"While alcoholic beverages are now regarded as ordinary articles of commerce, their use was then condemned with the same moral fervor that now supports the war on drugs," Stevens writes.
In a 2005 case, Stevens wrote for the court's 6-3 majority that upheld the federal government's right to prosecute medical marijuana patients in states that have legalized medical use of the drug.
But his opinion was based strictly on Congress's ability to regulate interstate commerce, and that opinion included mention that credible research showing marijuana could be medically effective would "cast serious doubt" on the government's classification of the drug as a Schedule I narcotic. And he all but encouraged the advocates to take their argument directly to Congress.

 

 

'Interference' saves 434 whales from the harpoon

Whale cry … a minke whale is harpooned by the Japanese Yushin Maru No 2.
Andrew Darby in Hobart
April 15, 2008

JAPAN'S whalers blamed "relentless interference" from environmentalists and Australia's official surveillance as they detailed the poor results of their Antarctic hunt.
On the eve of the fleet's return to Tokyo today, the whalers confirmed that out of a maximum quota of 935 minke whales they killed 551, and of 50 giant fin whales they took none at all.
The whalers said they lost 31 days in the Antarctic to the harassment of Greenpeace and Sea Shepherd and were "constrained" by 22 days of surveillance by the Australian patrol ship Oceanic Viking.
Nevertheless the fleet's "scientific research" took it deep into the waters of the Australian Antarctic whale sanctuary, a statement by the Institute of Cetacean Research shows.
The fleet dropped plans to take humpback whales after protests led by Australia last December. Their failure to take any endangered fin whales was blamed on the relatively fewer sightings of this species compared to last year.
According to the Whale and Dolphin Conservation Society, it showed the logistical problems of killing and processing these 20-metre, 60-tonne animals were too great.
"I suspect that this may be partly the result of the greater scrutiny under which the fleet found itself this year, including from the Australian Government, and questions raised about the welfare issues associated with killing these huge whales," a society biologist, Philippa Brakes, said.
A map with the institute's statement gives a snapshot of the fleet's movements close to the Antarctic coast in the Davis Sea, far south- west of Perth, where dozens of minkes were harpooned.
This showed the whalers breached a Federal Court order restraining the fleet from killing or harming whales inside the Australian whale sanctuary, according to Humane Society International.
Japan does not recognise the Australian Antarctic claim, nor the sanctuary. But the Humane Society campaigns manager, Nicola Beynon, said it was the Rudd Government's responsibility to enforce the court order and ensure the whalers did not make the sanctuary their hunting ground again.
With the fleet's return, the Japanese Coast Guard and police will investigate possible charges including assault and obstruction of business through threats. Authorities expected to have a hard time identifying suspects, Kyodo news agency said.
Meanwhile in the International Whaling Commission, anti-whaling nations are believed to have picked up a new ally with Romania's decision to join European neighbours in the finely balanced organisation.
Romania's membership is the first to be posted on the commission website before the its annual meeting, when both sides seek control.

 

 

 

Seal hunt: protests reach Melbourne

Documenting seal hunt ... Merryn Redenbach was detained, then released, by Canadian authorities.
Documenting seal hunt ... Merryn Redenbach was detained, then released, by Canadian authorities.
Photo: Sky News

Arjun Ramachandran
April 14, 2008 - 1:29PM

Two Australians are among the crew of the Sea Shepherd vessel detained over anti-sealing protests in Nova Scotia, Canada.
Anger at the arrest of anti-sealing activists by the Canadian Government has reached the Canadian Consulate in Melbourne.
About 30 anti-sealing protesters at the consulate today demanded authorities drop charges against the captain and first-officer of anti-sealing ship Farley Mowat, which was seized over the weekend.
Two Australians - Merryn Redenbach, 32, and her partner Sky Christensen - were also aboard the seized ship, but were released earlier today. However, they remained on a hunger strike to protest the detention of the ship's captain.
The ship, owned by US-based group Sea Shepherd Conservation Society, was documenting Canada's annual seal hunt. It had repeatedly and illegally entered Canadian waters, the Canadian Government said.
Crew members were detained by Canadian authorities after refusing to fill in immigration papers to enter Canada, Sea Shepherd spokeswoman Allison Lance said.
"Six crew members refused to sign it [because] they didn't want to come into Canada. They were over 12 miles off Canada," she said.
Ms Redenbach, from Victoria, was one of the six, she said.
This morning [Australian time], Canadian authorities released all members of the crew, except for ship captain Alex Cornelissen and first officer Peter Hammarstedt, she said.
"But the crew are all on a hunger strike until the other two men have been released," Ms Lance said.
Dr Redenbach's mother, Elva, said she last spoke to her daughter on Friday and had not been able to contact her since. Her daughter was the volunteer ship's doctor and her partner was also a crew member, she said.
Ms Redenbach said the couple joined the ship in Bermuda in March.
The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade would not release the names of Australians involved, but confirmed a 33 year-old man and 32 year-old woman, both from Victoria, had been onboard the seized vessel.
Both were free to depart Canada and had been given money and temporary accommodation by Canadian authorities, a spokeswoman said. The Australian high commission in Ottawa was attempting to contact the pair to provide any further assistance, she said.
Animal rights activists believe the seal hunt is cruel and poorly monitored. The Farley Mowat had been documenting the hunt, but had been warned against going too close - a charge it denied, Ms Lance said.
"[The arrest of the crew] stems from a March 30 charge ... going too close to document the slaughter of seals. It's OK to kill a seal but not OK to video it," she said.
The activists and the Canadian Government differed over whether the ship had been seized in international or Canadian waters.
Dr Redenbach, a pediatrician at Melbourne's Royal Children's Hospital, told ABC Radio: "We were arrested originally yesterday on charges of violations of the Marine Mammals Act but later released without charge having been arrested in international waters."
Ms Lance said: "They [Canadian authorities] boarded illegally, at gun point. They slammed one of the crew into the ground leaving a bump on her head ... and handcuffed the crew to railings and made them stand outside in the cold to intimidate them."
The two Farley Mowat members still under arrest were expected to be released on bail, ahead of a hearing on May 1, Ms Lance said.
Authorities had seized crew members' personal belongings - including video equipment, cameras and toiletries - Ms Lance said. Another Australian had also been on the vessel, but left before it was seized by Canadian authorities, she said.
Sealers and the Canadian fisheries department say seal hunting is sustainable, humane and provides income for isolated fishing communities. Fishermen sell seal pelts mostly to the fashion industry in Norway, Russia and China, as well as blubber for oil.
The United States has banned Canadian seal products since 1972.
- with AAP

 

Chimps are more like us than we think: Goodall

April 14, 2008

Jane Goodall gets a kiss from one-year old orphaned chimpanzee Pola, during a visit to the Municipal Zoo in Budapest in 2004.
Jane Goodall gets a kiss from one-year old orphaned chimpanzee Pola, during a visit to the Municipal Zoo in Budapest in 2004.
Photo: AP
Jane Goodall is famous for studying chimpanzees in Africa and as an advocate for the environment.
She talks about her work and the secret life of chimpanzees.
Q: In your years of studying chimpanzees, what has surprised you the most?
A: The fact that they were capable of violence and a kind of primitive war was an unpleasant surprise. They were more like us than I thought. I was very sad, and shocked, because in some cases there were chimpanzees killing others who they had previously been quite close associates with. It was brutal and shocking.
Q: Since your initial work in the 1960s, how has our understanding of chimpanzee behaviour changed?
A: We know a whole lot more about paternity because you can do genetic profiling from faecal samples, so we know who some of the fathers are. Since chimpanzees can live to be over 60, we really are building up case histories, finding out more about personality, how skills of the mother can affect the child over time, different techniques by which males get to be No.1. It's a very long-term study.
Q: Of the criticisms sometimes levelled at your work - not enough emotional distance, research designs that might have distorted animal behaviour, and so on - which do you feel had the most substance?
A: Basically by offering bananas we brought together individuals who might have only seen each other occasionally. Chimpanzees wander around in small, constantly changing groups. Possibly we created friendships which wouldn't otherwise have happened, or we created some hostilities that might not have happened. But by and large, a recent study [at her centre in Africa] found that very little had changed.
Q: What is the most important thing you would like everyone to know about chimpanzees?
A: They're far more like us than everybody ever used to think. There isn't a sharp line dividing us from the rest of the animal kingdom. Once you realise that we're not the only beings with personalities, minds and, above all, emotions, then you start getting ethical concerns about the way we're using so many beings, in medical research or intensive farming, which is worse, because it's involving millions and millions of sentient beings and keeping them in absolutely horrendous conditions.
Q: What prompted you to move away from extensive field work in Africa in the 1980s?
A: Realising that chimpanzees were becoming extinct - the forests were going - and realising that the environmental and social problems of Africa could often be laid at the door of the elite communities around the world.
Q: What are you working on now?
A: We are trying to conserve chimpanzees across Africa basically by working with the local people, improving their lives and creating partners instead of potential poachers. Our youth program, Roots & Shoots, is now in nearly 100 countries. The youth program is encouraging groups of young people from preschool to university and beyond to take action to make the world a better place for people, for animals and for the environment, with a theme of learning to live in peace and harmony with each other and between nations, between cultures, between religions and between us and the natural world.
Q: You're just coming from a conference on fundraising - what can you share with us about the nitty-gritty of raising money?
A: It's very hard work. It's really important for some aspects of what we're doing to raise an endowment so it will go on in perpetuity after I'm gone. I have to do lectures that pay a lot rather than go and lecture to the people who might need it more. I try to do both, but there's a limit to what one person can do, even if you are on the road 300 days a year.
Q: If you could encourage everyone you encounter to do just one thing, what would it be?
A: Start to think about the effect on the environment and society of the small choices you make each day. What we eat, what we wear, where it has come from, how it's prepared, was it ethically made. Once you start thinking about that, then you make little changes, and in fact, a lot of people start gradually making bigger changes. That is the most important thing.
MCT

 

 

Melting glacier empties lake in Chile

April 11, 2008 - 6:07AM

Melting ice in southern Chile caused a glacial lake to swell and then empty suddenly, sending a "tsunami" rolling through a river, a scientist said. No one was injured in the remote region.

Glacier scientist Gino Casassa said the melting of the Colonia glacier, which he blamed on rising world temperatures, filled the Cachet Lake and increased pressure on the ice sheet.

The water bored an eight kilometre tunnel through the glacier and finally emptied into the Baker River on April 6.

"The remarkable thing is that the mass of water moved against the current of the river," Casassa said. "It was a real river tsunami."

The lake was nearly full again by late yesterday, he said.

Casassa said temperatures were unusually high during the recent southern hemisphere summer.

"This is a phenomenon that occurs periodically during the summer season, caused by the melting of large masses of ice that swell some lakes," he said. "The basic cause is global warming."

The Tempano lake in Chile's Bernardo O'Higgins National Park abruptly disappeared last year and has since recovered just some of its former volume.

AP

 

Migratory and resident bird populations collapse

April 10, 2008

Almost three-quarters of Australia's migratory and resident shore birds have disappeared over the past 25 years, a study has revealed.
About 2 million migratory birds, from 36 species, are gathering around Broome in Western Australia before making a 10,000-kilometre annual journey to their northern hemisphere breeding grounds.
A large-scale aerial survey of eastern Australia by researchers from the University of NSW shows migratory shorebird populations were once much larger and have plunged by 73 per cent between 1983 and 2006.
During that same period, the populations of Australia's 15 resident shorebird species have dropped by 81 per cent, according to the study, published in the scientific journal Biological Conservation.
Richard Kingsford, author of the report, said the bird populations were in decline because their habitats were disappearing in Australia, South-East Asia, China and Russia.
"The wetlands and resting places that they rely on for food and recuperation are shrinking virtually all the way along their migration path," Professor Kingsford said in a statement.
Ten wetland areas in Australia, eight inland and two coastal, are identified in the report as supporting the highest number of shorebirds.
Roebuck Bay (around Broome), Port Phillip Bay (Melbourne), the Hunter River estuary (NSW) and Hervey Bay (Queensland) are the best known coastal wetlands.
"Loss of wetlands due to river regulation is one of the more significant contributors to this drastic decline," Professor Kingsford said.
"But it appears such a threat is largely unrecognised in Australia's conservation plans and international agreements."
Australia had migratory bird agreements with Korea, Japan and China but they did not appear to help in stopping the birds' long-term decline, Professor Kingsford said.
Key staging areas for the birds are the shores of the Yellow Sea, between China and Korea, which are inhabited by 600 million people.
Agriculture and industry continue to encroach on the tidal feeding grounds of the Yellow Sea, where migratory birds build up their body reserves before embarking on the next part of their annual journey.
Professor Kingsford said Australia must lead by example in its international obligations to protect key wetlands.
"We must try to meet our side of the bargain for their conservation if we are to influence other countries to protect their breeding and staging grounds."
AAP

 

 

Two Australians are among the crew of the Sea Shepherd vessel detained over anti-sealing protests in Nova Scotia, Canada.

 

Sea Shepherd and coast guard ships collide

A Canadian Coast Guard ship and the Farley Mowat collide.
A Canadian Coast Guard ship and the Farley Mowat collide.
Photo: Sea Shepherd Conservation Society
April 1, 2008
A coast guard icebreaker and a ship owned by an activist conservation group have collided in the Gulf of St Lawrence as tensions mount over the annual Canadian seal hunt.
A spokesman for Canada's federal Fisheries Department said on Monday the icebreaker was "grazed" twice yesterday by the Farley Mowat, a 54-metre vessel owned by the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society.
But the conservation group countered that its ship was rammed twice by the 98-metre icebreaker Des Groseilliers about 65 kilometres north of Cape Breton.
"It rammed the stern end of the Farley Mowat and when the Farley Mowat was stopped, it came back and hit them again," Paul Watson, head of the society, said from Los Angeles.
"It was twice, so it was intentional," said Watson, who also recently led the Sea Shepherd Coalition's intervention campaign against the Japanese whaling fleet in the Southern Ocean.
The collision came just days after four seal hunters were killed when their small boat capsized as they were being towed by the coast guard icebreaker, Sir William Alexander.
Witnesses have said the crew aboard the Alexander were not monitoring the tow as they ploughed through thick ice floes north of Cape Breton.
Several agencies have said they will investigate the accident that killed the sealers.
Alex Cornelissen, captain of the Farley Mowat, said in a statement his vessel was "twice rammed" in the port stern after he ignored warnings not to approach sealers on the third day of Canada's annual hunt.

"They are ramming ships in dangerous ice conditions," Cornelissen said.

"This is unbelievable. It's like the Coast Guard has declared war on seal defenders."

Cornelissen said the Coast Guard's  "incompetence" cost the lives of the four sealers and now it "has demonstrated extreme recklessness" by bumping into the Farley Mowat.

"It appears that Canada is prepared to use violence to cover up the truth of this slaughter," Watson said. "Our duty is to resist their violence and continue to document the truth."

He added that the crew "have already seen enough evidence to understand that the Canadian Government's pretence that the slaughter is humane has no basis in reality - in other words it's a state-sponsored lie".
 
Fisheries and Oceans department spokesman Phil Jenkins denounced the claims, calling them "absolutely false" and part of a strategy to discredit the coast guard.
"The allegations that the Des Groseilliers rammed the Farley Mowat are complete nonsense. That's a piece of fiction," he said.
There was no damage done and no injuries were reported, Jenkins said.
"It's despicable that the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society would use the death of Canadian sealers to try and advance its campaign of misinformation against the seal hunt," he said.

"This is really a new low and it's extremely distasteful."
 
Ottawa maintains the hunt poses no threat to the harp seal population, and insists the commercial cull is humane and an economic mainstay of its Atlantic Coast communities.

The seal hunting industry finds itself under pressure from animals rights activists who believe the hunt is cruel and badly monitored. Sealers and the fisheries department defend it as sustainable, humane and well-managed, and say it provides supplemental income for isolated fishing communities that have been hurt by the decline in cod stocks.

AP, AFP

 

EU considering protest against Canadian seal hunt

March 27, 2008 - 4:48PM

The European Union is considering measures against Canada to protest against its annual seal hunt set to start later this week off its Atlantic coast.
EU Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas is "looking into the nature of the inhumane killing of seals" and is drafting a text to be presented before June, EU spokeswoman Barbara Helfferich told reporters on Wednesday.
She would not say if the measures could include an import ban on products derived from Canadian seals, or other economic or political sanctions.
Animal rights campaigners and MPs are putting increasing pressure on the EU's executive office to take a tougher stand against the annual hunt, which has been criticised as cruel.
Seal hunts also are carried out in Greenland, Norway, Russia, Namibia and EU-member Finland, but none has been scrutinised by European activists as much as Canada's - which has frustrated Canadian officials.
Animal rights groups often try to sway European opinion on the issue by showing photographs or film footage of cute and cuddly seal pups, and of dead and bloodied seals on ice flows.
British EU MP Neil Parish appealed to the commission to impose a ban on seal fur imports from Canada.
"As the culling season gets under way, the time has come for the commission to take action," said Mr Parish, who chairs a European Parliament animal welfare panel.
"The slaughter of seals in Canada, including seals that are just a few weeks old, is barbaric and the EU should not condone it. The methods used, cudgelling with a 'hakapik' or shooting, have too often not killed the seal outright, and I am not satisfied with Canadian assertions that seals are not still being skinned alive."
The European Parliament last year called on the EU to impose a fur import ban.
However, this year's Canadian hunt will be conducted under new rules meant to appease European concerns, with extra steps added to make sure the animals are dead before they are skinned - a recommendation made in an EU report released in December. That report was inconclusive on recommending a full EU ban.
Canadian authorities have set this year's total allowable catch at 275,000 seals, up from 270,000 last year. Seventy per cent of the seals will be taken in an area off Newfoundland's north coast known as the Front, while 30 per cent will be taken in the Gulf of St Lawrence - the first stage of the hunt.
Animal rights groups say Canada's seal hunt is difficult to monitor, ravages the seal population and does not provide a lot of money for sealers.
But sealers and the Canadian Government have defended the hunt as sustainable, humane, well-managed and a necessary source of income for hunters. Many of them live in isolated fishing communities and rely on the seal hunt because their cod fishing died out years ago.
The slaughter of some 335,000 seals in 2006 brought about $US25 million ($27 million).
AP

 

 

Murray-Darling buys water to save

30,000 ibis chicks

Daniel Lewis Regional Reporter
March 25, 2008
THE Murray-Darling Basin Commission bought 11,000 megalitres of water over Easter weekend to help save the biggest ibis breeding event on the river system since 2000.
It is hoped the extra water will stop up to 30,000 chicks from being abandoned by their parents at the Narran Lakes colony in north-western NSW.
An estimated 30,000 breeding pairs - mostly straw-necked ibises - have arrived at Narran since mid-January thanks to heavy rain.
However, in recent weeks the water level has been dropping and it was feared the adult birds could start to flee by the end of this month unless there were more inflows to the wetlands.
The lakes are an internationally recognised bird breeding site, but drought and the development of the cotton industry upstream in Queensland have greatly reduced flows in the Narran River. There has been no major bird breeding at the lakes for nearly a decade.
The commission's chief executive, Wendy Craik, said the water had been bought from Queensland for $180 a megalitre, or $1.98 million.
It is the first time the commission has bought water for a one-off environmental event. "We moved quickly to take advantage of nature's window of opportunity to supplement recent natural flows into the area," Dr Craik said.
"We are pleased to have reached a commercial arrangement with a seller to secure the water, which began to flow on Easter Saturday and will continue to be delivered over the next six weeks."
Richard Kingsford, a rivers, waterbird and wetlands expert at the University of NSW, welcomed the purchase but said it raised serious questions about the environmental sustainability of water management in Queensland.
"Clearly their water planning has failed in terms of providing adequate water [for a major breeding event in Narran Lakes]," Professor Kingsford said.
Water from flooding summer rains in western Queensland attracted about 15,000 breeding pairs of ibises in mid-January. Another 15,000 arrived in mid-February.
Each pair usually establishes a nest with two eggs. The 30,000 chicks of the first arrivals are now fledglings, but those of the later arrivals will not be able to fly until the end of next month.
The NSW Government said Queensland had allowed extra water to flow across the border to help the Narran Lakes breeding event, but not enough arrived to guarantee the last 30,000 chicks would make it to fledglings.
Professor Kingsford said that 48,000 megalitres had flowed into the Narran Lakes since December, but modelling showed there had been a 75 per cent decline in natural median flows into the lakes due to development upstream.

 

 

 

 

Google unveils 'white space' airwaves plans

March 25, 2008 - 1:30PM
Google has unveiled plans for a new generation of wireless devices to operate on soon-to-be-vacant television airwaves, and sought to alleviate fears that this might interfere with TV broadcasts or wireless microphones.
In comments filed with the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC), the internet leader outlined plans for low-power devices that use local wireless airwaves to access the "white space" between television channels. A Google executive called the plan "Wi-Fi 2.0 or Wi-Fi on steroids".
"The airwaves can provide huge economic and social gains if used more efficiently ...," Google said in the comments.
Rick Whitt, Google's Washington telecom and media counsel, said this class of Wi-Fi devices could eventually offer data transmission speeds of billions of bits per second - far faster than the millions of bits per second available on most current broadband networks. Consumers could watch movies on wireless devices and do other things that are currently difficult on slower networks.
The white-space airwaves could become available in February 2009, when American TV broadcasters switch from analog to digital signals. Whitt said he expects devices using white-space spectrum could be available by the end of 2009.
Shares of Google surged $US27.36, or 6.3 per cent, to $US460.91 amid a sharp rise in US stock markets. The Nasdaq composite index was up 3.3 per cent.
Google sees the white-space spectrum as a natural place to operate a new class of phones and wireless devices based on Android, Google's software that a variety of major equipment makers plan to use to build internet-ready phones.
The Silicon Valley company also said that, in general, it stands to benefit whenever consumers have easier access to the internet. Google's primary business is selling online ads as people perform web searches.
The FCC filing comes less than two weeks after Bill Gates, co-founder of Google rival Microsoft, urged the agency to free up the white-space spectrum so it could be used to expand access of wireless broadband.
Google and Microsoft are part of a coalition of technology companies that has been lobbying the FCC to allow unlicensed use of white-space spectrum.
The group also includes Dell, Intel, Hewlett-Packard and the north American unit of Philips Electronics.
The idea is opposed by US broadcasters and makers of wireless microphones, who fear the devices would cause interference.
The FCC currently is testing equipment to see if the white-space spectrum can be used without interfering with television broadcasts.
In a compromise designed to mollify some interest groups opposed to expanding use of white-space spectrum, Google proposed a "safe harbour" on channels 36-38 of the freed-up analog TV spectrum for exclusive use by wireless microphones, along with medical telemetry and radio astronomy devices. In effect, no white-space devices could use these channels.
Google said "spectrum-sensing technologies" could be used that would automatically check to see whether a channel was open before using it, thereby avoiding interference with other devices. It said such technology is already being used by the US military.
Google said the enhancements "will eliminate any remaining legitimate concerns about the merits of using the white space for unlicensed personal/portable devices".

 

 

Dalai Lama appeals for help

March 20, 2008 - 6:06AM


The Dalai Lama has appealed to world leaders for help in resolving the dispute over Tibet through "dialogue" with China, according to a letter released by his office.

The exiled Tibetan spiritual leader also asked the international community to press Beijing to show "restraint" in dealing with unrest in his Himalayan homeland.

"We remain committed to ... pursuing a process of dialogue in order to find a mutually beneficial solution to the Tibetan issue," the Dalai Lama wrote.

"I also seek the international community's support for our efforts to resolve Tibet's problems through dialogue.

"I urge them to call upon the Chinese leadership to exercise the utmost restraint in dealing with the current disturbed situation and to treat those who are being arrested properly and fairly," he wrote in the letter released today.

He repeated his accusation that China was engaged in "cultural genocide" in Tibet.

"Whether it was intended or not, I believe that a form of cultural genocide has taken place in Tibet, where the Tibetan identity has been under constant attack," he said.

"The distinctive Tibetan cultural heritage with its characteristic language, customs and traditions is fading away.

"There is no religious freedom in Tibet. Even to call for a little more freedom is to risk being labelled a separatist," he added.

The letter, issued from his base in the northern Indian hill town of Dharamshala, also repeated his call for an international probe into the unrest.

"Since the Chinese government has accused me of orchestrating these protests in Tibet, I call for a thorough investigation by a respected body, which should include Chinese representatives, to look into these allegations," he said.

"I believe the demonstrations and protests taking place in Tibet are a spontaneous outburst of public resentment built up by years of repression," he added.

AFP

 

Dalai Lama raises prospect of quitting

John Garnautin Beijing and Matt Wade in Dharamsala
March 19, 2008
Warning … Wen Jiabao's broadcast yesterday, criticising the  Dali Lama's 'clique'.

Warning … Wen Jiabao's broadcast yesterday, criticising the Dali Lama's "clique".
Photo: AP

 

THE Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao, says his door is open for dialogue with the Dalai Lama, despite claiming that he has evidence proving the exiled spiritual leader "masterminded" the bloody riots that have swept through Tibet and neighbouring provinces.

The Dalai Lama later said he would resign from public life if the situation in Tibet got out of control.

For the first time Mr Wen also directly answered the Dalai Lama's claim that the Chinese Government had conducted "a form of cultural genocide".

"Those claims that the Chinese Government is engaged in cultural genocide are nothing but lies," he said.

"There is ample fact and plenty of evidence proving this incident was organised, premeditated, masterminded and incited by the Dalai clique."

Mr Wen did not say what that evidence was, but added that the motive was to "incite the sabotage of the Olympic Games in order to achieve their unspeakable goal".

In Dharamsala, India, the Dalai Lama responded to Mr Wen's accusations by inviting him to sit down and talk about the problem.

"If the Chinese side … accepts the reality and addresses the Tibetan problem realistically, within a few hours we can solve this problem," he said.

He said he would retire from public life if the conflict got out of control. "If things become out of control then my only option is to completely resign."

However, he said he remained hopeful he would one day be able to return to Tibet. He also said he expressed his wish for protesters in Tibet "to cool down".

His spokesman, Tenzin Taklha, had earlier rejected allegations the spiritual leader had instigated the protests, saying: "This was very spontaneous."

Mr Wen was speaking at a news conference that is an annual event marking the end of the sitting of the National People's Congress, or legislature. The questions on Tibet were raised by CNN and Financial Times reporters. It is understood Chinese authorities were warned of the broad subject matter, but did not vet details of the questions.

The Tibet riots and subsequent security crackdown have been reported but played down in official Chinese media and completely blocked in most other media and websites. Yesterday's unusually frank news conference by Mr Wen was televised live throughout China on both national and regional TV.

For many Chinese it was the first opportunity to learn of the seriousness of the conflict and the intense interest it has generated around the world. Mr Wen said he was open to talks if the Dalai Lama's actions supported his verbal support for Chinese sovereignty.

"As long as the Dalai recognises that Tibet is an inalienable part of Chinese territory and that Taiwan is an inalienable part of Chinese territory, our door for dialogue with him is wide open," Mr Wen said.

For his part, the Dalai Lama said a resolution to the problems in Tibet was necessary for China to emerge the global leader it deserved to be. "It must have moral authority in order to be a super power. The Chinese people must know that."

Chinese authorities accused rioters of killing 16 "innocent civilians", saying security forces used only "non-lethal" weapons. Tibetan exile groups say that about 100 people were killed in the subsequent police crackdown.

Mr Wen said the authorities had "exercised massive restraint" and "quickly quelled this incident, and protected the rights of Lhasa residents and of people of all ethnic groups in Tibet".

On the streets of Beijing yesterday most Chinese interviewed by the Herald knew nothing of the Tibetan riots or had only seen brief reports. Overwhelmingly they viewed Tibet as a clean, colourful and desirable holiday destination.

Wang Yuzhi, a young woman waiting for a subway train, said she had not heard of any trouble in Tibet and that she wanted to travel there this northern spring.

"They are very warm, hospitable people," she said.

A middle-aged man called Wang Xin said he also planned to tour Lhasa soon. "The Tibetan question is not such a big thing," he said. "I'm not concerned about safety. I'll go with a travel group."

A journalist with the official Xinhua news agency told the Herald Tibet had traditionally been a war-mongering society ruled by tyrannical monks.

Protesters took to the streets of Dharamsala in support of Tibet soon after Mr Wen made his comments.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Satellite debris alert

Washington
February 20, 2008

 

Australia and other nations are on alert for falling debris as the US prepares an attempt to shoot down an out-of-control spy satellite as early as tomorrow.

CNN reported a US warship would fire a missile to bring down the satellite safely in the northern Pacific Ocean.

The satellite was due to break into the Earth's atmosphere on March 6. Without intervention, it could crash on land and spill its 450-kilogram load of toxic fuel.

The shoot-down plan has drawn criticism from China and Russia. The Russian Defence Ministry said it looked like a veiled weapons test.

 

Arctic ice-cap loss twice the size of France

January 24, 2008 - 10:40AM

The Arctic ice cap has shrunk by an area twice the size of France's land mass over the last two years, the Paris-based National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS) said on Wednesday.

"The year 2008 promises to be a critical year on every level," said Jean-Claude Gascard, the body's research director and coordinator of European scientific mission Damocles, which is monitoring the effects of climate change across the Arctic.

September 2007 measurements show ice covering 4.13 million square kilometres, down from 5.3 million square kilometres in 2005.

"Melting could result in the loss of another million in one (2008) summer," he added at a press conference.

"Summer 2007 was marked by a major retreat in the ice-cap, one we were not anticipating," Gascard said. "The rate of decline is also two or three times faster than (observed) beforehand."

International models used to predict retreating ice have some "catching-up" to do, he said.

Over the last 20 years, 40 per cent of the ice-cap has melted with the average thickness halved from three to 1.5 metres.

Year-round ice coverage has reduced, with summer melting also lasting longer, the centre reported.

Damocles's exploration vessel Tara has been able to cross the 5000-kilometre Arctic Ocean in just over 16 months - less than half the time taken by a late 19th-century Norwegian explorer.

Gascard said the ship had been able to travel at "twice the pace expected by organisers and three times the speed models suggested".

Disruption to the thermal layers of atmosphere stacked over Earth's far north was cited as the principal cause by Swedish researchers earlier this month, in a study published in the journal Nature.

The Tara team recorded a temperature of 10 degrees Celsius at altitudes between 500 and 1000 metres.

"The reduction in the intensity of cold (temperatures) during winter over these last 20 years corresponds to an accumulation (rise) of 1000 degrees celsius," Gascard said.

The team highlighted the role of ocean currents, namely in the northern Pacific, behind the warming of waters.

Gascard's research colleague, Gerard Ancellet, also spoke of recently-formed Arctic mist, pollution clouds which "trap" Earth's naturally emitted infrared rays thereby raising temperatures.

"Internal" Arctic pollution is the source, Ancellet said, highlighting Russian and northern Scandinavian gas and oil exploitation.

Carbon dioxide emissions among the major north American, European and South-East Asian economies was not the only other factor, he added.

Shipping traffic with additional nitrogen oxide emissions is a growing complication, given he estimated that 25 per cent of the increase in future maritime transport "will be confined to the Arctic zone".

In summer 2007, the Northwest Passage, historically an ice-jammed potential shortcut between Europe and Asia, was "fully navigable" for the first time since monitoring began in 1978, according to the European Space Agency.

It lasted five weeks, according to Canada's environment ministry, with 100 vessels getting through.

AFP

 

 

It's Time Whaling Became Extinct

nisshinmaru.jpg
I am a huge fan of Japan, and have travelled there many times. I eat sashimi, I watch sumo, and I'm regularly mocked by my friends for pronouncing "karaoke" correctly. But there is one element of Japanese culture that leaves a sour taste in my mouth, and that's whaling. I have to admit, I've never tried whale meat – sorry, I mean, never conducted valuable primary whale research – so I don't know what I'm missing. But then again, I've never eaten human either, for similar moral reasons.

And what's more, the vast majority of Japanese people have never eaten whale either. According to an Asahi Shimbun survey from 2002, 96 per cent of Japanese have never eaten or rarely eat whale. And despite the protestations that it's a vitally important part of their culture, the lack of consumption has resulted in a substantial stockpile. And as a result a lot of the whale meat has started to be used for dog food. The Japanese Government has launched a campaign to try and encourage people to eat it, with a pamphlet series amusingly entitled "Scrumptious Whale Meat!", but it's failing. And no surprise – why bother with boring old whale meat when you now have universal access to the Teriyaki McBurger?

Kazuo Shima, Japan's former delegate to the International Whaling Commission was quoted in the SMH on Saturday as saying that the West had tried to turn the whale into the equivalent of a sacred cow. He's spot on. We want whales to be inviolate because many species are endangered, and the harpooning process is inherently cruel, resulting in a painful death. And we shouldn't apologise for that. There are times when it's important to maintain cultural relativism, and respect different countries' right to devise their own norms, but there are times when, frankly, one particular set of values is purely and simply better – in the case of the death penalty, for instance. Whaling, similarly, is one practice that simply shouldn't be tolerated.

What's more, the cultural argument seems fairly bogus. We aren't talking about a flotilla of small, traditional fishing boats using centuries-old techniques, like the Inuit whalers do. It's a modern, mechanised fleet, hunting thousands of kilometres from Japanese waters with a high-powered, high-tech explosive harpoon that kills more than 1000 whales. So really, the only bit of the cultural practice that is actually alive and well is the killing bit.

Shima accused the West of propagating WWII propaganda in portraying Japan as the villain. And while some uncomfortable memories remain around the region, the bottom line is that people do perceive Japan as the villain here, not because of the history, but because of its present actions. There's no point in arguing really, the simple fact is that whaling tarnishes Japan's reputation, much as nuclear testing tarnished France's in this region, and the only way around that is simply to stop.

Whenever I see footage of the Japanese whaling ships, I'm always amused because, if we're talking about propaganda, Japan's is so transparent. The word "RESEARCH" is painted in massive letters on the side, as if that somehow would reverse our perception that there isn't any scientific justification for slaughtering nearly a thousand minke whales. Honestly, what do you learn about the 935th dead whale that the first 934 didn't tell you?

Besides, scientific advances must always be weighed against ethical considerations. It's perverse to say that to properly research a species, you need to kill large quantities of them year after year. It's not surprising that most people in the West think Japan's whale research is primarily into how delicious they taste when lightly grilled in soy sauce.

Shima admitted that one of Japan's primary motivations was pride. That seems more convincing than the spurious research argument. And that's what needs to change. Of course Japan should be proud of its culture – most of it is wonderful. But Australia and other Western nations will never give ground on this, so it's come to the point where one antiquated practice, which doesn't even cater to modern Japanese culinary tastes, is doing Japan's reputation tremendous damage.

This year's whale hunt, with the now-annual pitched battles between the Japanese vessels and Sea Shepherd has descended into farce. Capturing protesters, the throwing of stink bombs, and the accusation of "terrorist attacks" from the Japanese – it's a whole lot of hassle just for a bunch of whale meat. Which is a brilliant strategy by Sea Shepherd, aboard its amusingly but aptly named ship, the Steve Irwin, which also gets uncomfortably close to its quarry. Personally, I'm probably more comfortable with the less provocative Greenpeace approach, but you have to admire Sea Shepherd's chutzpah. The Japanese have complained today that our Government has given the environmental groups "limousine service". Long may it do so.

Whaling has become purely a matter of principle for Japan, an obsession apparently disproportionate to its importance that even determines Japanese foreign policy, with aid being parcelled out to smaller nations in return for support at the International Whaling Commission. This behaviour, which smacks of bribery, is beneath a nation which is widely respected for its modern-day pacifism in world affairs. What's more, it must be costing Japan a fortune to keep producing this food that virtually no one wants to eat. Is it really worth infuriating the rest of the world and detracting from the reputation of an otherwise magnificent culture just so Japanese dogs can eat leftover whale?

Culture isn't destiny. Just because your country has always done something doesn't mean it needs to keep doing it. The area where I grew up in Sydney, around Neutral Bay, has a rich heritage as a whaling port – in fact, I grew up in Whaling Road. But guess what? We stopped doing it. It isn't that hard. Just as Britain needed to give up its empire, and India needs to continue working towards giving up the caste system, Japan needs to admit it's time it gave up whaling. That way, those like myself who have great affection for Japan need not have our affection so significantly blemished.

Posted by Dom Knight
January 21, 2008 2:08 PM

 

 

12/30/2007  
U.S. Government Backing Pirate Whalers in Antarctica

According to the Japanese Institute for Cetacean Research (The bogus front company for Japanese commercial whaling), the United States government is providing logistical support for the criminal whaling operations being conducted by Japan in the Antarctic Whale Sanctuary.

The link is:     http://www.icrwhale.org/eng/060105Release.pdf

And it reads:

Sea Shepherd and Greenpeace's movements are being monitored by the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence Civil Maritime Analysis Department's worldwide piracy report, which provides information on threat to and criminal action against merchant shipping worldwide. http://pollux.nss.nima.mil/onit/onit_j_main.html

The following was found on the NIMA site at http://www.nga.mil/MSISiteContent/StaticFiles/MISC/wwtts/wwtts_20070228100000.txt

After reviewing a list of pirate activities the reference is given to the confrontation with the Japanese in February 2007 as a threat to merchant shipping.

What this means is that the United States regards the so called research activities of the Japanese whaling fleet as “merchant shipping activity” and regards any interference with this activity as piracy.

So on one hand, the United States is condemning Japan 's illegal whaling activities and at the same time providing military monitoring of activist groups that are opposing this illegal activity.


From the NIMA files:

1. This message provides information on threats to, and criminal action against merchant shipping worldwide in the last 30 days.
2. Designation of a high threat area is based on an assessment of all source information relating to the existence of, or potential for piracy and other crime, terrorism, civil unrest or low intensity conflict. Every effort is made to ensure that incidents are not double-counted. In the event double counting is detected or an event is later learned not to be as initially reported, an explanation of the cancellation of the inaccurate report will be made in at least one message prior to dropping the erroneous report. Specific incidents will be reported for one month.
3. This week's highlights:
    A. Tanker boarded, robbed 3 Feb, Lagos Roads, Nigeria ( Para 5.G.1.).
    B. Gunmen kidnapped two Italians 25 Feb, near Port Harcourt , Nigeria ( Para 5.G.2.).
    C. UN-chartered aid cargo ship hijacked 25 Feb, off the northeastern coast near Bargal , Somalia ( Para 5.H.1.).
    D. Sri Lankan Navy destroys LTTE rebel boats, killing 15 27 Feb, evening timeframe 360km Northeast of the capital in the Pulmoddai area, Sri Lanka ( Para 5.H.9.).
    E. Sri Lankan Navy destroys suspicious boat 28 Feb, 180nm off Dondra Point, Sri Lanka ( Para 5.G.10.).
    F. US soldiers engaged gunmen attempting to smuggle weapons by boat, 23 Feb, Tigris River , Iraq ( Para 5.J.1.).
    G. Tanker boarded 18 Feb, SM Balongan , Indonesia ( Para 5.K.1.).
    N. ENVIRONMENTAL AND ECONOMIC NON-STATE ACTIVIST GROUPS:
        1. Sea Shepherd vessel (ROBERT HUNTER) and Japanese whaling vessel (KAIKO MARU) collide 12 Feb, Ross Sea .
        2. Whaling vessel (NISSHIN MARU) harassed by Sea Shepherd vessels (FARLEY MOWAT) and (ROBERT HUNTER) 09 Feb, Southern Ocean.
        3. Bulk carrier (MACIEJ RATAJ) blocked by protesters from entering port of Amsterdam 31 Jan, Netherlands .

The week before NIMA posted the following:
N. ENVIRONMENTAL AND ECONOMIC NON-STATE ACTIVIST GROUPS:
.
                   1. SEA SHEPHERD CONSERVATION SOCIETY: Sea Shepherd vessel
(ROBERT HUNTER) and Japanese whaling vessel (KAIKO MARU) collide 12 Feb, Ross Sea . A Japanese fisheries spokesman reported the (KAIKO MARU)'s propeller was damaged and forced to send a distress signal. Thefounder of Sea Shepherd claimed the (ROBERT HUNTER) had been deliberately side-swiped by the Japanese vessel, leaving a gash in the hull in two places and damaging the ship beneath the water line. On 14 Feb,Sea Shepherd announced it was departing the area due to fuel constraints but would return to the Southern Ocean unless they are delayed in port by international registration requirements. On 15 Feb, the factory whaling vessel (NISSHIN MARU) reported a fire emergency due to an accident unrelated to protest activity. As of 16 Feb, the stricken vessel was latched to two other Japanese vessels while they clear out the smoke, look for a missing crewmember, and assess repair options (REUTERS, AP, Sea Shepherd News, RTTNews).
                   2. SEA SHEPHERD CONSERVATION SOCIETY: Whaling vessel
(NISSHIN MARU) harassed by Sea Shepherd vessels (FARLEY MOWAT) and (ROBERT HUNTER) 09 Feb, starting at 0530 local time approximately 100 NM ENE of Sturge Island , Southern Ocean. According to Sea Shepherd news releases, six liters of butyric acid was “successfully delivered” onto the flensing deck of the (NISSHIN MARU) and plates have been nailed over the vessel's scuppers with the use of Hilt nail guns. Japan expressed outrage, terming these activities as “piratical, terrorist acts”. Two Japanese crewmen were reportedly injured, one when he was hit in the face by an empty container of acid, and the other when acid was squirted into one of his eyes. According to Sea Shepherd, two crewmembers from the (FARLEY MOWAT) went missing for eight hours after their Zodiac sustained damage when it struck the side the whaling vessel in heavy seas. After the (FARLEY MOWAT) issued an official maritime distress callfor the missing crewmembers, all vessels, including the whaling vessels, worked together to find the missing protesters. After finding the two crewmembers, the master of the (FARLEY MOWAT) thanked the whaling vessels for their assistance then declared they were recommencing their harassment efforts. In a 09 Feb news release,
Sea Shepherd reported they were pursuing the whaling fleet in position 66:46S-169:52E, 122 NM ENE of
Sturge Island and has requested the Greenpeace vessel (ESPERANZA), believed to be in the area, to join them in their harassment efforts (Sea Shepherd News, REUTERS, AFP). 

 

 

 

Canada's behaviour disgusting, says Beijing

Accused … Stephen Harper with the Dalai Lama.
Accused … Stephen Harper with the Dalai Lama.


Michel Comte in Ottawa

BEIJING: China condemned Canada's Prime Minister yesterday for "disgusting conduct" for playing host to the Dalai Lama and demanded that Ottawa stop supporting anti-Chinese activities by exiled Tibetans.
The Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, defied China on Monday by receiving Tibet's exiled spiritual leader in his office in Parliament.
The Secretary of State for Multiculturalism, Jason Kenney, said: "I hope that the entire world gets the message that attacking a 72-year-old pacifist Buddhist monk who advocates nothing more than cultural autonomy for his people is counterproductive."
The two leaders met for about 40 minutes and had "a very full and frank exchange of views", Mr Kenney said. They had discussed human rights, Tibet's history and the plight of its people. The Dalai Lama also thanked Mr Harper for making him an honorary Canadian citizen.
But the Chinese were furious. "It's gross interference in China's internal affairs. The Chinese side expresses its strong dissatisfaction and resolute opposition," a Foreign Ministry spokesman, Liu Jianchao, said. "This disgusting conduct has seriously hurt the feelings of the Chinese people and undermined Sino-Canadian relations," Mr Liu told a regular news briefing.
The Dalai Lama fled his predominantly Buddhist homeland in 1959 after a failed uprising against communist rule.
The Dalai Lama says he wants greater autonomy, not independence, for his homeland. But China maintains he is a separatist, underscoring the gulf between the sides. "For decades the Dalai Lama's words and deeds have demonstrated that he is a political exile who wears a religious cloak while engaging in activities splitting the motherland and sabotaging ethnic unity," Mr Liu said.
The US President, George Bush, and leaders of Congress presented the Dalai Lama with the Congressional Gold Medal in Washington last month.
China cancelled an annual human rights dialogue with Germany to show its displeasure with the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel's meeting last month with the Dalai Lama.
For his part, the Dalai Lama said his visit was "non-political".
"My main interest or my main commitment is promotion of human value, promotion of religious harmony."
Reuters, Agence France-Presse

 

The Dali Lama and Captain Paul Watson of the Seashepherd Society

 

The miners China left for dead

Deserted … cousins Meng Xianchen, left, and Meng Xianyou, who rescued themselves after a coalmine collapse.
Deserted … cousins Meng Xianchen, left, and Meng Xianyou, who rescued themselves after a coalmine collapse.
Photo: AP

September 8, 2007
Far from APEC's fanfare, Chinese miners endure a system run on bribes and lies. John Garnaut, in Beijing, talks to two of its survivors.
THE Meng cousins joked about the price they might one day pay for hacking at a coal seam 12 hours a day, every day, in an illegal 1.2-metre tunnel propped up by tree branches.
They could join the 5000 or so miners each year who become "rou jia mo" - a meat sandwich - in a collapsed, flooded or exploded Chinese coalmine: the bodies buried beneath a spectacular coal-powered economy.
At 10pm on August 18, Meng Xianchen and Meng Xianyou were working 20 metres underground when the hillside above them collapsed and replaced their exit tunnel with a 13-metre earthen wall. For six days they survived in this tomb by chewing finger-sized pieces of coal and swallowing their own urine. They joked about whether their wives were pretty enough to find new husbands.
After interviews with more than a dozen relatives, workers and witnesses, it seems being buried alive was only half of their trouble. They were also up against a corrupt alliance of mine owners, police and district government officials. The system left them for dead.
The official rescue team did not attempt a rescue. When fellow miners tried to dig them out and they nearly succeeded they were arrested for illegal mining.
"We would have got them out within 10 hours, at most," says one would-be rescuer, who has just got out of jail with five colleagues after being locked up for10 days.
The six men were filthy, half-starved and still wearing the same tattered mining clothes. The three mine owners, meanwhile, are widely believed to have received police protection and no punishment.
China produces and burns 40 per cent of the world's coal, two tonnes a year for each of its 1.3 billion people, and its appetite is growing at 12 per cent a year. Most of the growth, and deaths, involves illegal mines.
The Government knows that accidents, pollution and global warming are out of control. But in the coal fields, with corruption rampant and prices higher than ever, lives count for little and central government edicts even less - even in the hills just west of Beijing.
The Fangshan district government is trying to lure tourists to the region's impressive cliffs, terraced farmland and once idyllic river.
But now grey-black rocks and dirt spill out from almost every rock face and even the trees are caked in grime. The river bank is one long coal depot. The road is jammed with an endless convoy of trucks over-burdened with coal and coal-smeared workers.
Up the valley at the end of the road is a village called Jingjitai where the Government's crackdown on illegal mining is proclaimed in huge red characters on a whitewashed wall. Above the village is a large state-owned coalmine, surrounded by about 20 tiny illegal ones.
The tiny entrance to the collapsed mineshaft is surrounded by a vast carpet of shiny, graphite-like anthracite coal. It is difficult to miss from the road above.
The workers who watch us from their huts are tough, muscular and caked in coal dirt. But most are too scared to talk. On a nearby hilltop, two clean-clothed men shout and wave at us in frantic disapproval.
It requires cash and connections to run an illegal mine in the midst of a high-profile crackdown. This one produced about 900 tons of coal a month, sold for 200 yuan ($32) a ton. The nine workers each received about 3000 yuan a month. The remaining 150,000 was distributed between the three mine owners and legions of officials and police.
"More than half of the profits are paid in bribes, although the appropriate level of payout depends on the depth of the relationship," says one source not directly involved with the collapsed mine.
Workers say their colleagues frequently die and their deaths are usually not reported, thanks to settlements negotiated with bereaved families.
The price of life, and silence, has increased to between 200,000 and 500,000 yuan in a state-owned mine. But it is said to be about a 10th of that in an illegal mine, assuming the owners can be found.
On the night of the accident, six workers dug through the night to get to their buried colleagues, Meng Xianchen and Meng Xianyou. The trapped cousins drew comfort from the hum of a mechanical drill, drawing ever closer. But at midday the sound stopped.
They assumed their friends must have broken for lunch or a smoke and would soon be back.
"Digging three or four more meters would have got these guys out," says a man who came from a nearby mine to help.
Instead, the police came and cordoned off the rescue site. They arrested the rescue team "for working in an illegal mine" and threw them in solitary-confinement cells. No one came to ask them about the tunnel layout and terrain, although they were the only ones who knew.
Then an official rescue team arrived from the neighboring state-owned Da'anshan mine. Two men donned oxygen tanks and peered into the tunnel opening, only to return to their seats and smoke cigarettes.
Then came a heavyweight official, identified as the deputy director of Fangshan district, Chen Yong. Someone quickly arranged a pack of mineral water for him to sit on.
"What style he had," says one observer. "He was afraid of the dust on his leather shoes, so he stuck out his feet and someone slipped a pair of sneakers on.
"He sat on the pack of mineral water, but maybe he felt it was too hard or uncomfortable. A security guard raced off and brought back a soft, comfortable 'boss' chair [from the village, a kilometre away]."
The next morning, August 20, a relative of the trapped miners arrived to find security officers warming themselves by burning the wooden planks that had been prepared for the rescue. The official rescuers were all resting or sleeping, although they claimed to be "studying" the situation.
"It was like acting in a play, hanging around there for two days without a shovel being moved," says the relative.
The official rescuers said they were waiting for an order from their commander, who was staying in the Saint Lotus resort hotel down the valley.
The relative of the trapped miners found them there drinking tea. He asked why the rescue had not begun.
"Don't you know this is an illegal mine?" said the rescue commander.
"Yes, but people are inside," said the relative. "You get them out first, then implement the law, right?"
The commander stared down the relative, and replied, "Do you know what you're asking? These incidents can cast a long shadow." In other words, a high-profile rescue could bring central government attention to illegal mining in the district.
Without another word being said, two burly lads escorted the relative out of the hotel.
About a dozen relatives arrived from Inner Mongolia's Chifang county, desperate to dig the miners out themselves. They kowtowed in front of village security men, but got nowhere.
Finally, nearly two days after the accident, a decision was made: there would be no rescue.
So, down in their tomb, Meng Xianchen and Meng Xianyou realised they would have to dig themselves out. They had been born just two months apart in a tiny village and had lived like brothers for 45 years. But they were not ready to die together.
They salvaged two iron shovels, two empty water bottles and a mobile phone. They made two heart-breaking false starts, striking boulders.
Then they decided to burrow back through the rubble.
On day three the phone battery died, leaving them in total darkness.
They began eating coal and drinking urine conserved in the plastic bottles. The coal was OK if ingested slowly, the urine made them want to vomit but they forced it down.
By day four the older cousin, Meng Xianchen, was hallucinating. Great slabs of white light would vanish when touched, or would turn into pitch dark stone. By day six they were grinding slowly towards the surface, but barely alive. They knew if they miscalculated their position they would get no second chance.
"Ge [elder brother]", said Xianyou. "There's a little speck of light."
Xianchen, stronger and taller, wedged his shovel sideways into the tunnel wall at waist height and hauled himself onto it. Xianyou dragged himself onto his cousin's shoulders.
They knew what needed to be done, but lacked any energy to do it. They tried, collapsed, rested, and tried again. And again. Xianchen harnessed one final burst of strength and pushed his cousin out.
Now, two weeks after their miraculous escape, their shredded fingertips are infected, their faces are a pale yellow and they have energy to walk only 30 metres at a time. They have received no apologies and no compensation, and have no money to call a doctor.
They fled from Fangshan's hospital because they were monitored by plainclothes police, threatened with "consequences" if they talked too much, and charged half a day's labour for two bowls of the hospital's rice gruel.
At home in Chifang county, each of the 80 families in the village has tipped in between two and five yuan totalling 300 yuan for fireworks, sunflower seeds, sweets and a two-person performance troupe. Marriage celebrations go for two days; this survival party will go for seven.
Aren't they angry at their treatment?
"We climbed out of the inferno," says Xianchen. "I feel satisfied." He adds: "Why bother complaining when nobody will take any notice?"
The cousins knew the deal. They earned more in 10 days underground than in a good year farming the family's dusty corn and sorghum patch. In exchange, their bodies were understood to be expendable.
Xianchen was working to pay for his son's wedding next year. The younger cousin, Xianyou, had dreamt of owning a two-storey house, a large colour TV and a "mobile phone with a lid".
In a corner of his village home are a two-storey house and a mobile phone made out of coloured paper, which the family ordered from the funeral shop when he was presumed dead. On the wall are large framed photos of each of them. The captions read: "We will always remember you."
What will they do now?
Xianyou says his children are still at school. He named his son Qinghua, after one of China's most prestigious universities. If Qinghua passes next year's university entry exams then the family must cover about 10,000 yuan a year in tuition fees.
To his wife, Xianyou swears he will never work underground again. But his answer lacks conviction.
"If I don't work in the mines then my children will not go to school and their lives will be just like mine," he says. "Every day that I work I know that I could die, but there is no other way.'

 

 

Climate change threatens China's food supply

Mary-Anne Toy Herald Correspondent in Beijing
August 24, 2007

GLOBAL warming will cut China's annual grain harvest by up to 10 per cent, placing extra demands on the country's shrinking farmland and threatening its notion of food security, an official has warned. This would mean China would have to find another 10 million hectares of farmland by 2030, when its population is expected to peak at 1.5 billion.
The head of the State Meteorological Administration, Zheng Guogang, told an agricultural forum in northern China that global warming would increase the cost of production because more money would be needed to fight new insects and diseases.
A onedegree rise would also exacerbate ground-water evaporation by 7 per cent in a country where drought already affects 22 of 31 provinces.
A fall in the grain harvest of up to 10 per cent would mean 30 million to 50 million tonnes less grain at a time when an extra 100 million tonnes of food would be needed to feed an additional 200 million people in 2030, Mr Zheng said.
China has 20 per cent of the world's population but just 7 per cent of its arable land.
Chinese officials have warned that the country is already nearing the "red line" for the minimum amount of arable land needed to ensure the country can meet the bulk of its food needs.
At the end of 2006, China had 121.8 million hectares of arable land, just over the 120 million hectares deemed the minimum requirement by 2010.
Part of the soaring annual growth rate has been due to rapid urbanisation - which has seen the loss of more than 8 million hectares of arable land since 1996 for factories, industrial estates and housing.
Global warming would cause more drought in already dry areas in low-lying and mid-altitude regions because rainfall would drop 10 to 30 per cent by 2030, Mr Zheng said, while wet, high-altitude areas would experience more drastic flooding.
Although climate change would have little impact on wheat production it would cause corn and rice production to fall. Though some places in north-eastern China had increased grain production because warmer winters meant rice could be grown there, most regions' grain output was falling.
Mr Zheng is one of a growing number of experts to warn against the negative impact of global warming. Last month environmental authorities said climate change was shrinking wetlands at the source of China's two greatest rivers - the Yangtze and the Yellow - and other studies found that glaciers, the source for many of Asia's rivers, in north-western China's Xinjiang region and in the Himalayas have been shrinking rapidly. Summer droughts and floods have already affected a fifth of China's arable land this year and agriculture experts have warned that a decline in the autumn harvest - which usually provides 70 per cent of grain production - could fuel inflation.
China's inflation surged to a 10-year high of 5.6 per cent last month on the back of rising grain and other food prices, prompting the Government to lift interest rates for the fourth time this year.

 

Toxic soup on Games menu

Mary-Anne Toy in Beijing and Ben Cubby
May 22, 2007
 
FIFTEEN months out from the Beijing Olympics, China is wallowing in the toxic by-products of its lightning economic expansion, prompting fears for athletes and tourists who will travel there, as well as the Chinese population.
Chronic water and air pollution caused by industrial toxins and pesticides mean cancer has risen to be China's leading killer, accounting for 23 per cent of all deaths, it emerged yesterday.
At the same time, it was revealed that 40 of China's top athletes fell ill because of foul air-conditioning in the country's sports headquarters in January and have been forced to withdraw from competition.
Filthy air-conditioning systems have been blamed for outbreaks of disease in hotels and apartment blocks in the capital.
Australia's Olympic committee is about to begin a program of inoculation for athletes who may be involved in the Olympics, and may issue health warnings in co-operation with the Department of Foreign Affairs as the Games draw closer.
But the committee denied last night that it had any concerns for the health of athletes and officials, saying Beijing's new Olympic Village would be clean and safe, and that the vaccinations were standard procedure for teams travelling to Asia.
Chinese authorities have promised to crack down on air-conditioning in Olympic hotels and sporting venues after a recent investigation by China's national broadcaster CCTV.
It found many air-conditioning systems were rarely cleaned because it was cheaper to risk being inspected and paying the paltry fine, just 800 yuan ($130) in Shanghai, than spend tens of thousands of yuan maintaining the systems.
In one case, two tonnes of waste, including dead rats and takeaway food left by construction workers, was collected when the ventilation system of a 19-storey Beijing office building was cleaned recently for the first time since it was built in the early 1990s.
Despite the health fears, Australian Olympic authorities said there would be no preliminary scouting of venues or hotels before the Games, and that the Olympic village, where food will be supplied by an international catering company, was considered safe.
"Other team support staff will be staying in modern hotels in the city, and we are not concerned about health standards at these hotels," an Australian Olympic Committee spokesman said. Athletes will drink bottled water and are allowed to take some packaged foods to China.
About 1000 potential team members will be offered jabs for hepatitis, typhoid, polio, tetanus, whooping cough and diptheria, measles, mumps and rubella, and influenza.
"This is simply a precautionary measure to ensure the athletes don't fall ill before or during competition," said the committee's president, John Coates.
China's Olympic organising committee has said air pollution will be its first priority before the Games.
But the use of pesticides and food additives was the main cause of the alarming rise in cancer rates, said the Chinese Health Ministry, which surveyed 30 cities and 78 counties.
"Many chemical and industrial enterprises are built along rivers so that they can dump the waste into water easily," said Chen Zhizhou, a health expert who works with the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences.
"Excessive use of fertilisers and pesticides also pollute underground water. The contaminated water has directly affected soil, crops and food," Mr Chen told the China Daily, adding that pollution "is getting worse day by day".
Big contributors to the growing cancer rates were found to be air pollution that causes harmful particles to become lodged in the lungs, formaldehyde and other compounds used in building renovations and furniture, and additives used to make livestock grow faster.
After the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in 2003, the Government legislated that all air-conditioning in public places had to be cleaned at least annually, but a Ministry of Health official told CCTV that less than 1 per cent of buildings in Shanghai and Beijing complied.
The health figures come amid a rash of related health scandals. Yesterday the Herald reported that some textiles imported from China contained up to 10 times the amount of formaldehyde permitted under international standards.
The Chinese Government moved to soothe the anxieties, saying it paid attention to consumer safety.

 

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